Ballpark Figures – Week 4

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

Wild Cards
The St. Louis Cardinals meet the Milwaukee Brewers in a key early season matchup in the National League Central. The Cards enter play with six victories over the past seven outings, and they're a perfect 5-0 in the past five games against teams with a winning overall record. In addition, they're 4-1 in the past five games against a right-handed starting pitcher, while going 17-8 in the past 25 on the road vs. RHP. While all of that is well and good, they're 1-7 in the past eight matchups against the Brewers.

The Brewers have emerged as a contender in the National League Central over the past two seasons, and they're have dominated against division foes lately. They're 23-8 in the past 31 games against NL Central teams. The Brewers are also 19-7 in the past 26 games against teams with a winning record, and they're 36-17 in the past 53 games at Miller Park, too. The Brewers have also handled themselves agaisnt winning teams, winning 19 of the past 26 against opponents over .500.

Looking Ahead

Monday, April 15
The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies do battle at Citizens Bank Park in what should be a solid pitching matchup. RHP Noah Syndergaard will go up against RHP Aaron Nola in what could be a low-scoring affair. The Mets roll into this one with an 8-3 record across the past 11 road games, while going 7-1 in their past eight games on the road against a right-handed starting pitcher. In addition, they're 9-4 in the past 13 overall vs. RHP. All of that is great, but the Mets are actually 2-5 in the past seven starts on the road by Syndergaard against teams with a winning record.

For the Phillies, they're 11-5 in the past 16 games overall, and they're 8-3 in the past 11 at 'The Vault'. In addition, they are 9-4 in the past 13 games inside the division, while going 4-1 in the past five against teams with a winning overall mark. They're 21-6 in the past 27 home outings by Nola, and they're 22-10 in his past 32 starts overall, too. The Phillies have also won 13 of his past 19 starts against NL East opponents. The Mets have made themselves at home in Philly, going 36-17 in their past 53 trips to the City of Brotherly Love. However, the Phillies are 5-0 in Nola's past five starts against the Mets, and 4-0 in his past four at home against the Amazins. The under is also 4-0 in his past four home starts against New York, and 6-0-1 in the past seven meetings overall against the Mets with Nola on the bump.

The Indians and Mariners hook up at T-Mobile Park (formerly Safeco Field) on Monday night, and it's a great pitching matchup with RHP Trevor Bauer and rookie LHP Yusei Kikuchi hooking up. Bauer has posted a 1-1 record with a 2.29 ERA through 19 2/3 innings across three outings. Kikuchi has yet to factor into a decision yet through 21 2/3 innings with just three walks and 15 strikeouts.

The Indians have won just once in the past five games, and they're 1-4 in the past five on the road, too. That includes a three-game sweep at the hand of the lowly Kansas City Royals. Bauer should be the stopper, as the Indians are 8-3 in the past 11 starts overall by Bauer, and 5-2 in the past seven road outings weith Bauer on the hill. They're also 11-5 in the past 16 starts by Bauer against teams with a winning record. The M's have won 16 of the past 21 games overall, and they're 13-4 in the past 17 vs. RHP. However, they're just 0-4 in the past four against teams with a winning record.

Weather Report
In Philadelphia, the Mets and Phillies will be facing winds blowing left to right at 19-23 mph, potentially favoring left-handed hitters. At Target Field, the Blue Jays and Twins will be facing a stiff wind of 10-13 mph blowing in from right field to home plate. The Angels and Rangers will also see a strong wing blowing from the right-field foul pole into the face of batters, and the winds will be gusting from 15-18 mph.

Tuesday, April 16
The Red Sox and Yankees renew their rivalry for a quickie two-game set in the Bronx on Tuesday night. Neither team has gotten off to the kind of start they were hoping for, as the Red Sox enter the week at 6-10, while the Yankees are just 6-9. Boston tries to get LHP Chris Sale on track. They're just 1-4 in his past five starts, and he enters the game with a dismal 0-3 record, 9.00 ERA and .361 OBP by opponents, while managing just eight strikeouts over 13 innings. That's definitely not what we've come to expect from Sale over the years. The Yankees counter with LHP James Paxton, who isn't that much better at 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA and .388 OBP.

Boston heads into this one 9-3 in the past 12 vs. LHP, and they'e 2-7 over the past nine games on the road, too. For the Yankees, they're just 1-4 in their past five home outings, and 1-5 in the past six games overall. They're also just 1-5 in the past six games at home vs. LHP. In the past five meetings, the Red Sox have won four of them, with the 'over' cashing in seven of the past nine games overall. The over is also 5-2 in the past seven tangles in the Bronx, while going 4-0 in Sale's past four against the Yankees.

The Astros and Athletics kick off a set in Oakland with RHP Collin McHugh and RHP Marco Estrada squaring off. Oakland looks to cool off Houston, as they enter on a nine-game winning streak. The Astros have won six in a row against winning teams, and they're 6-0 in the past six against RHP, too. They're also 20-7 in the past 27 games against AL West foes. In addition, the Astros are an impressive 33-6 in the past 39 starts by McHugh against AL West opponents. On the flip side, the A's have dropped each of Estrada's past four outings, and they're 1-4 in the past five starts against AL West foes, and 2-5 in the past seven vs. RHP.

Weather Report
The winds will be gusting at 10-13 mph from home plate to Pesky's Pole in right field, so it could be a high-scoring affair. It will be the opposite conditions in Arlington, as the Angels and Rangers will have a strong 15-18 mph wind blowing in from right field to home plate. In San Diego, the Rockies and Padres will be battling winds blowing in from left-center field to home plate at an 11-14 mph clip.

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