Weekly Total Talk

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Pass The Buc
The Pirates and Padres hook up at Petco Park in San Diego with RHP Trevor Williams and LHP Eric Lauer getting the nods. Pittsburgh enters play with the under going 19-7 in the past 26 road starts for Williams, and 40-15-1 in the past 56 starts overall for the right-hander. The under is also 22-6-1 in the past 29 outings against a team with a winning overall mark. However, the over is 9-3 in the past 12 overall for Pittsburgh, and 5-1 in the past six away from home against a left-handed starting pitcher. The over is also 15-5-1 in the past 21 series openers for the Bucs.

 The Padres have watched the under connect in 15 of their past 22 at home, while going 7-3 in the past 10 at home against a right-handed startng pitcher and 15-7-2 in their past 24 series openers. For the Padres, the under is also 3-0-1 in Lauer's past four vs. a team with a winning overall mark, and 4-1 in his past five at Petco Park. The over is 5-2 across his past seven overall, and the over has cashed in four of the past five outings between these clubs. 

Looking Ahead

Thursday, May 16
The Cubs roll out LHP Jose Quintana to face RHP Luis Castillo of the Reds at GABP. The under has cashed in six in a row for the Cubbies, and is 5-0 in the past five vs. RHP. However, the over is 21-9 in their past 30 games on the road, while going 4-1 in the past five starts by Quintana. The under is 27-11 in their past 38 games overall against divisional foes, however. For the Reds, the under is a perfect 11-0 in their past 11 games played on Thursday, for whatever that's worth. The under is also 13-3 in the past 16 vs. LHP, while going a perfect 7-0 over Castillo's past seven against teams with a winning overall record. The under is also 12-2 in Castillo's past 14 games overall, and 5-2 un his past seven at home. The under has also cashed in five straight in this series, although the over is 5-1 in Q's past six vs. Cincinnati, incliuding 4-1 in his past five starts at Wrigley.

The Cardinals and Braves square off at SunTrust Park for the series finale after an under result on Wednesday night. The under is an impressive 5-1-1 in the past seven starts by Adam Wainwright, and 9-4-1 across the past 14 by the Cardinals vs. RHP. The under is also 5-2 in their past seven against NL East clubs. However, the over is 12-4-2 in the past 18 against the NL East, while going 14-6-2 in the past 22 road outings with Wainwright on the bump. Fort he Braves, the over is 28-13-3 in the past 44 against winning teams. However, the under is 21-9-1 in the past 31 at home by Julio Teheran, while going 10-4-1 in his past 15 starts at home vs. a winning team. In this series it's all over all the time. The over is 5-0 in the past five meetings in Atlanta, while going 4-0 in Wainwright's past four against the Braves. The over is also 16-5 in the past 21 meetings in this series, too.

Friday, May 17
The Mets and Marlins get together in Miami, and it's RHP Jacob deGrom and RHP Trevor Richards hooking up. DeGrom hasn't been his dominant self, but he is still 3-4 with a 3.26 ERA and 64 strikeouts over 47 innings. The under is a perfect 3-0 in his past three outings after a 4-0 over run from April 3-26. That includes an under result last time out at home vs. Miami, allowing one earned run, five hits and one walk with eight strikeouts over seven innings. Richards puts his 0-5 record and 4.46 ERA on the line in this one. The over is 4-3 in seven outings for Richards this season, including an over result on April 3 at home vs. the Mets.

The Dodgers turn to LHP Rich Hill for Friday's game against RHP Anthony DeSclafani and the Reds at GABP. The over is 2-1 in Hill's three outings so far this season. DeSclafani is 2-1 with a 4.17 ERA and 46 strikeouts over 46 1/3 innings so far. The over is 3-1 in the past four starts by DeSclafani, and 5-2 across his past seven outings, too.

LHP Martin Perez has been a godsend for the Twins so far, posting a 5-1 record, 3.11 ERA and 46 strikeouts over 46 1/3 innings in seven starts and nine appearances. The under has cashed in four straight outings, although the over is actually 3-1 in his past four outings on the road. For the M's, they counter with LHP Marco Gonzales. Overall he is 5-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 42 strikeouts over 56 2/3 innings. He has shown some chinks in the armor recently, as the Jays are 0-3 across his past three outings, but the over is 3-1 over the past four contests.

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