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Bosh injury creates 'under' value
May 15, 2012
By Chris David VegasInsider.com
Game 2 Winners - Pacers at Heat
The odds-on favorites, Miami Heat, to win this year’s NBA Finals took a major hit on Sunday when All-Star Chris Bosh left Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals against Indiana with an abdominal strain. After an MRI exam on Monday, the Heat has sidelined Bosh indefinitely. The expected recovery time for this type of injury is listed between three and six weeks.
Oddsmakers have adjusted for Game 2, making Miami a seven-point favorite over Indiana. The Heat gave 8 ˝-points in the first installment and barely covered with a nine-point victory (96-85).
The total on Game 1 closed at 187 and that number has dropped as well for Game 2, listed between 185 and 186 at most betting shops.
Since Bosh joined LeBron James and Dwyane Wade in South Beach, the All-Star forward has missed 14 games over the past two seasons.
Miami is 7-7 straight up and 6-8 against the spread without his duties. Those numbers are neither good or bad, but total players could be licking their chops here on out. Without Bosh in the lineup, Miami has seen the ‘under’ go 11-2-1 in the 14 games, largely due to an offense that can’t find a way to replace a serious scoring threat.
Listed below are the games Miami has played without Bosh for the past two seasons.
2011-2012 Betting Results
Straight Up: 4-5 Against the Spread: 4-5 Over/Under: 1-7-1 Points Per Game: 87.1
Apr. 26, 2012 Miami 70 at Washington 104
Apr. 24, 2012 Miami 66 at Boston 78
Apr. 22, 2012 Miami 97 vs. Houston 88
Apr. 21, 2012 Miami 84 vs. Washington 86
Apr. 19, 2012 Miami 83 vs. Chicago 72
Apr. 18, 2012 Miami 96 vs. Toronto 72
Mar. 4, 2012 Miami 83 at L.A. Lakers 93
Mar. 2, 2012 Miami 98 at Utah 99
Mar. 1, 2012 Miami 107 at Portland 93
2010-2011 Betting Results
Straight Up: 3-2 Against the Spread: 2-3 Over/Under: 1-4 Points per Game: 96.4 (90.4 PPG when you exclude the 1/22 affair)
Apr. 13, 2011 Miami 97 at Toronto 79
Jan. 28, 2011 Miami 88 vs. Detroit 87
Jan. 27, 2011 Miami 88 at New York 93
Jan. 22, 2011 Miami 120 at Toronto 103
Jan. 18, 2011 Miami 89 at Atlanta 93
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