November 29, 2012
By Kevin Rogers
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The final Friday card of November is a strong one with 11 contests to wager on. The Lakers look to bounce back following Tuesday's last-second loss to the Pacers as the Nuggets invade Staples Center. We'll start back east with a playoff team hitting the road against an improving squad seeking some early-season respect.
76ers at Bobcats - 7:05 PM EST
Philadelphia grabbed all three matchups from Charlotte last season, but the Bobcats aren't the same squad that won just nine games in the lockout-shortened campaign. The Bobcats have already won seven games this season under new head coach Mike Dunlap, as they go for their sixth victory at Time Warner Cable Arena.
The Sixers held off the Mavericks on Tuesday night, 100-98, as Philadelphia failed to cover all three games on its recent homestand. Philadelphia starts a brief two-game road trip that extends to Chicago on Saturday, as Doug Collins' club goes for its third winning streak of three games this season. Four of Philadelphia's last five games have hit the 'over,' but the Sixers have cashed just the 'over' on the highway just once in five tries.
The Bobcats return the highway after dropping two of three games, including a 94-91 loss at Atlanta as nine-point underdogs. The most embarrassing loss of the season came at Oklahoma City on Monday, a 114-69 trouncing by the Thunder, as Charlotte scored just 24 points in the first half. Charlotte has covered only once in its last four home games after starting the season at 3-1 ATS in North Carolina.
Jazz at Thunder - 8:05 PM EST
Oklahoma City is cashing tickets at a consistent rate recently by posting a 6-1 SU/ATS record the last seven games following Wednesday's double-digit victory over Houston. Utah comes to town on Friday going for its sixth win in seven tries after cruising past New Orleans as a three-point favorite, 96-84 to pick up only its third road triumph of the season.
The Jazz has failed to cover in five attempts as a road underdog this season, while breaking the 100-point mark just once in this span. Utah lost two of three meetings with Oklahoma City last season, including a 111-85 pounding at the hands of the Thunder at Chesapeake Energy Arena on Valentine's Day. Tyrone Corbin's squad is beat-up at the moment as swingman Marvin Williams is doubtful with a concussion, while starting point guard Mo Williams has missed the last two games with an ankle injury.
OKC is scoring plenty of points of late, as the Thunder has hit the 'over' in seven of the last eight games, while eclipsing the 110-point mark six times in this stretch. The Thunder is playing only their second divisional contest of the young season, as Scott Brooks' team knocked off the Blazers as 8 ½-point favorites on November 2.
Bucks at Wolves - 8:05 PM EST
Since Kevin Love returned to the Minnesota lineup on November 21, the Wolves are just 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS. Dating back to November 14, Rick Adelman's team has won only one of their last seven contests, coming at Sacramento on Tuesday night, 97-89 as short underdogs. The Bucks haven't been much better recently by dropping four of their previous five games, with the only victory coming in miraculous finish by rallying from a 27-point deficit to shock Chicago on Monday.
Minnesota heads back on the road after three days of rest following Friday's contest, as the Wolves have cashed three of four games at Target Center in the role of a favorite. In spite of getting Love back, Minnesota has failed to break the 100-point plateau in his five games in the lineup, while the Wolves have broken 100 points just once in 14 contests.
Milwaukee owns a perfect 4-0 ATS record as a road underdog this season, while winning three of those games outright at Boston, Philadelphia, and Chicago. The offense has slowed down recently by scoring 93 points or less in each of the last three games, but the Bucks are 4-0 ATS when coming off a SU/ATS loss.
Nuggets at Lakers - 10:35 PM EST
Denver plays its league-high 12th road game on Friday, finishing off a back-to-back set following Thursday's one-point setback at Golden State. The Nuggets face the Lakers for the first time since getting bounced by Los Angeles in seven games of the first round of the playoffs in April. The Purple and Gold isn't out for revenge, but out for a better effort after getting tripped up by the Pacers on Tuesday.
Indiana slowed down Los Angeles in a 79-77 barnburner, in spite of Kobe Bryant putting up more than half of the Lakers' points with 40. The Lakers were limited to less than 100 points for the fourth time in five games, while falling to 1-4 ATS in this span. Friday's game marks the first time this season the Lakers are facing a team that is playing with no rest.
The Nuggets have dropped four of the last five meetings at Staples Center, while breaking the 100-point mark just twice. Since starting the season at 0-2 ATS, George Karl's club has cashed 10 of the last 13 games, including a 4-1 ATS ledger as a road underdog. Playing with no rest hasn't been an issue either, as the Nuggets are 4-0 ATS on the second of a back-to-back.
You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at firstname.lastname@example.org
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