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Clippers-Grizzlies Outlook

No. 4 Los Angeles Clippers vs. No. 5 Memphis Grizzlies

Series Price: Los Angeles -170, Memphis +150

Series Format: Memphis, 2-2-1-1-1

Game 1 - Saturday, April 20 (10:30 PM EST, ESPN)
Game 2 - Monday, April 22 (10:30 PM EST, TNT)
Game 3 - Thursday, April 25 (9:30 PM EST, TNT)
Game 4 - Saturday, April 27 (4:30 PM EST, TNT)
Game 5* - Tuesday, April 30 (TBD)
Game 6* - Friday, May 3 (TBD)
Game 7* - Sunday, May 5 (TBD)

HEAD TO HEAD COMPARISONS
TEAM SU ATS HOME AWAY OVER/UNDER PPG DPPG
Los Angeles Clippers 56-26 45-37 32-9 24-17 45-37 101.1 94.6
Memphis Grizzlies 56-26 46-34-2 32-9 24-17 31-50-1 93.4 89.3
2012-13 Head to Head Meetings
Date Results Total
04/13/13 Los Angeles 91 (+2) @ Memphis 87 UNDER 182.5
03/13/13 Memphis 96 (+6) @ Los Angeles 85 UNDER 185
01/14/13 Los Angeles 99 (+4.5) @ Memphis 73 UNDER 192.5
10/31/12 Memphis 92 @ Los Angeles 101 (-4) OVER 187.5

Skinny: In order to grab home-court advantage in the opening round, the Clippers needed to stave off the feisty Kings on the final day of the regular season. Los Angeles meets Memphis for the second consecutive postseason in the first round in the 4/5 matchup. However, the Grizzlies are looking for revenge after getting bounced by the Clippers in seven games last May, as Los Angeles stole the decisive contest at FedEx Forum, 82-72.

The Clips pretty much cruised to their first Pacific Division title in franchise history thanks in large part to a 17-game winning streak from Thanksgiving through the end of December. Vinny Del Negro's team stole the headlines from the rival Lakers for most of the season as the Clips put together a solid 32-9 record at Staples Center (34-9 including the two "road" victories over the Lakers). Los Angeles finished the regular season with seven consecutive wins, while covering five of their last seven home contests.

The Grizzlies owned the league's best defense this season by allowing 89.3 points per game, resulting in 50 'unders.' Memphis cashed the 'under' in 11 of 16 opportunities as an underdog, which will be its role in the first two games of this series. Lionel Hollins' club finished with the fifth seed in spite of winning nine of their final 11 games, while hitting the 'under' at a 9-1 clip down the stretch.

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Head-to-Head Matchups:
Los Angeles dominated the season series with three victories in four tries, which started on opening night at Staples Center. The Clips beat the Grizzlies, 101-92 to cash as four-point favorites, but needed a 28-15 run in the final quarter to put away the victory. L.A. torched the normally stifling Memphis defense with 51% shooting from the floor, including 29 points off the bench from Jamal Crawford.

Nearly 2 ½ months later when the two teams met up in Memphis, the Clippers took the court without star point guard Chris Paul. It didn't matter as Los Angeles cruised to a 99-73 road triumph as 4 ½-point underdogs, as the Clips limited the Grizzlies to just 30% shooting. Eric Bledsoe filled in for Paul with 14 points, while Crawford and Matt Barnes put in 16 points apiece off the bench.

The lone victory in the season series for the Grizzlies came at Staples Center in March, as Memphis beat up Los Angeles, 96-85 to cash outright as six-point 'dogs. The Clippers were limited to 33 points in the second half, as Marc Gasol, Tayshaun Prince, and Zach Randolph combined for 52 points. 'Under' bettors lucked out following a 106-point first half on a 185-point total, as the two teams contributed just 75 points after halftime.

The Clips captured the final meeting at FedEx Forum last Saturday, 91-87 as two-point 'dogs. L.A. rallied in the fourth quarter by outscoring Memphis, 23-14, while the game finished 'under' the total of 182 ½. The two teams combined to miss 14 free throws, as the Clips and Grizzlies put up just 76 points in the second half, which could be a good 'under' look following halftime in this series.

Betting Notes: Los Angeles put together a 25-16 ATS record at Staples Center, including an 11-7 ATS mark as a single-digit favorite. The Clips made money as a road 'dog, posting an 8-4 ATS ledger, while winning outright at New York, Indiana, San Antonio, and Houston (not to mention the two victories at Memphis).

The Grizzlies were an average squad when receiving points on the highway, going 7-7-1 ATS, but compiled a 5-10 SU record in these 15 contests. As a home favorite, Memphis went 21-18-1 ATS, while cashing the 'under' in 27 of 41 games at FedEx Forum.

Series Outlook: Memphis squandered a 27-point lead in the series opener last April to Los Angeles, while failing to close out the series finale at home. The Grizzlies definitely have revenge on their minds, but they won't have home-court advantage in this series. The Clips have the pressure on them after a strong regular season, but Memphis will advance in six games.

You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at rogers@vegasinsider.com

Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.

  
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