Spurs at Warriors - Game 4
May 11, 2013
By Kevin Rogers
The lone game taking place on Sunday's card is an intriguing matchup simply from the tip time. The Warriors are playing their first early afternoon contest at home this season with a 12:35 PM PST tip-off, as Golden State looks to even up its series with San Antonio at 2-2. The Spurs actually pulled off quite an accomplishment in Game 3 to take the 2-1 series edge.
For the first time in the postseason, the Warriors lost at Oracle Arena, a 102-92 defeat to the Spurs, as San Antonio pretty much led for the final 38 minutes. Gregg Popovich's team cashed outright as 2 ½-point underdogs, while nailing the money-line at +125. Finally, San Antonio's defense slowed down Golden State's hot shooting from the perimeter, limiting the Warriors to 39% from the floor. Stephen Curry turned his ankle late in the fourth quarter, but the Golden State sharpshooter never got going by hitting 5-of-17 shots.
The Spurs counted on four players to lead the way from a scoring standpoint, as Tony Parker stepped up with a 32-point effort, the most he has scored this postseason. Manu Ginobili struggled again from three-point range by hitting just 1-of-8 shots from downtown, but Tim Duncan and Kawhi Leonard picked things up in the frontcourt with a combined 38 points.
'Over' bettors were shafted for a second straight game, as the Spurs and Warriors sat at 105 points at halftime in Game 3. The total closed at 201 ½, but Golden State's struggles from the floor resulted in just 44 second-half points, as the Warriors couldn't overcome a nine-point deficit. In Game 2, the two teams combined for 36 points in the final quarter after putting up 155 points in the first 36 minutes on a 205 total.
Curry is listed as a game-time decision on Sunday after receiving treatment on his sprained left ankle. The All-Star mildly sprained his ankle in Game 2 of the Denver series, but returned to score 29 points in the following contest at home, a 110-108 victory over the Nuggets. Parker sat out Saturday's practice with a bruised left calf, but he will likely play in Game 4.
The Warriors fell to 3-1 SU/ATS at Oracle Arena in the postseason following Friday's loss, while dropping to 11-5 in the last 16 home contests. Mark Jackson's club also suffered its ATS loss in the playoffs after eight straight covers, as that streak actually extended to 11 dating back to April 12.
The Spurs had issues in the postseason on the road in years' past by posting a 2-11 ATS record from 2010-2012. However, San Antonio has bounced back nicely by winning and covering all three away contests this postseason, while improving to 1-3 ATS the last four opportunities as an underdog. The role is flipping in Game 4 as the Spurs are listed as one-point favorites, as San Antonio has covered just three of the last nine times in the road 'chalk' role.
The total dropped to 198 ½ from the 200+ numbers in the first three games, but that has to do with Curry's status and the early tip-off. Golden State put together a 9-7-1 mark to the 'over' in home games with totals below 200, which included an 'over' in the final regular season home meeting with San Antonio, 116-106. The contest tips off at 3:35 PM EST and can be seen nationally on ABC.
You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at firstname.lastname@example.org
Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.
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