Fading the Cavs and LeBron
July 15, 2014
LeBron James - Wallet Burning Future Bet
We'll start by saying this: LeBron James is the best basketball player on the planet and by all accounts seems like a genuinely nice guy. But I'm not a fan. In LeBron's case "When the going gets tough, the tough get going"...literally.
When he realized he couldn't carry an average Cleveland team on his shoulders and win a Championship he bolted for Miami and a 'sure thing' with D-Wade and Chris Bosh. He then won a couple rings with the Heat with the help of the other "Big 2" and Ray Allen.
After losing in the NBA Finals this season to the San Antonio Spurs he looked at the aging roster of the Heat and instead of letting Pat Riley and Miami add a couple pieces to the puzzle to contend he took the easy road and went back to Cleveland.
With his recent announcement the oddsmakers at Sportsbook.ag immediately adjusted their odds to win in all in 2015 and made the Cavs the overall favorite at 4/1 odds (Bet $100 to win $400). Do NOT get suckered into making that bet!
The Cavs are maybe the 3rd best team in the East and there are at least four teams better than them in the West.
The oddsmakers clearly over-adjusted their price knowing 'Joe Public' would come in and wager on Cleveland.
So let's break this down for you:
Miami won 54 games last year with LeBron which was two less than the Pacers and just six more than Toronto and Chicago. Sure the Pacers had their issues down the final stretch of the regular season but they still won 56 games in the regular season and made the Eastern Conference Finals for the second straight year. If they lose Lance Stephenson they might become a better team by subtraction.
Despite only having Derek Rose for just 10 games the Chicago Bulls still managed to finish 4th in the East and have now added Pau Gasol and NBA ready rookie Doug McDermott so they'll only get better.
Toronto won 48 games last season and they kept their roster intact by resigning highly sought-after point guard Kyle Lowry to go with the likes of DeMar DeRozan and Terrance Ross.
If Cleveland does not make another move to add to their current roster they will not win a Championship this season. Cavaliers point guard Kyrie Irving is a solid talent but he's statistically not as good as the Miami Heat’s Dwyane Wade. Irving has a PER (player efficiency rating) of 20.14 with is 27th best in the NBA just one spot better than another point guard Mike Conley. By comparison D-Wade was 18th in PER and a much better fit to play alongside LeBron.
The rest of the Cavs roster is young, untested and for the most part lacks any playoff experience. Last year the Heat had four players with James that ranked in the top 52 in PER while the Cavs had just one with Irving.
Yes, Cleveland is going to be a much better team in 2014-15 but win it all? We're not interested unless they would add Minnesota Timberwolves power forward Kevin Love. Then our stance might change a little.
In our opinion better options to win the Finals next season would include:
Indiana Pacers (20/1)
Los Angeles Clippers (10/1)
Odds to win the 2014-15 NBA Finals from Sportsbook.ag listed below:
Cleveland Cavaliers 4/1
San Antonio Spurs 9/2
Oklahoma City Thunder 6/1
Chicago Bulls 10/1
Los Angeles Clippers 10/1
Houston Rockets 16/1
Indiana Pacers 20/1
Golden State Warriors 25/1
Portland Blazers 45/1
Washington Wizards 50/1
Dallas Mavericks 50/1
Memphis Grizzlies 50/1
Toronto Raptors 60/1
New York Knicks 60/1
Brooklyn Nets 70/1
Denver Nuggets 70/1
Miami Heat 75/1
Charlotte Hornets 75/1
Atlanta Hawks 75/1
Phoenix Suns 80/1
New Orleans Pelicans 100/1
Los Angeles Lakers 100/1
Boston Celtics 125/1
Minnesota Timberwolves 150/1
Orlando Magic 200/1
Detroit Pistons 300/1
Sacramento Kings 300/1
Utah Jazz 300/1
Milwaukee Bucks 400/1
Philadelphia 76ers 650/1
6-0 L6 Guarantees, 10-2 L12 Picks
6-0 Run, 10-1 L11 Postseason Run
12-3 L15 G-Plays, 14-5 L19 Picks
3-1 L4, 11-3 Picks, 8-3 G-Plays
20-8 L28 Guaranteed Plays
16-6 L22 Picks, 13-5 L18 G-Plays
21-11 L32 Over/Under Plays
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