Best Bets - Win Totals
October 19, 2014
By Don Anthony
Editor’s Note: Don Anthony will be making his pro basketball handicapping debut on VegasInsider.com this season. Click to win!
The 2014-15 NBA regular season begins at the end of October as 32 teams look to hoist the Larry O’Brien Championship Trophy next summer.
Most bettors don’t like to tie up their money in long-term investments but I believe NBA Win Total wagers provide great value.
Listed below are my Top 3 Win Total wagers for the upcoming season.
Odds provided by Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook
Philadelphia 76ers - UNDER 16.5
Similar to last year, it’s pretty clear that this team is going to tank this season. The 76ers have young stars, but they are ALL injured. Michael Carter-Williams, Nerlens Noel, and Joel Embiid all have nagging injuries. Yes we may see them play early on, but once the season starts to get away from this team, they will all sit and go into tank mode.
The 76ers did go over last year, but that’s because they snuck up on a few teams and won their first three games and went 5-4 their first 9 games of the season. However, they finished the season with a 19-63 record. That means this team went 14-59 over 73 games.
If it wasn’t for the last two games of the season that were practically handed to them, they are at 17 wins on the season. This team has shown that they don’t care and can take a complete nose dive. This team had some SERIOUS blowout losses and actually suffered 26 consecutive setbacks last season.
If you’re in the mood for a good laugh, go check out this team’s depth chart. I promise you, that you have never heard of half of these guys. The East has gotten better this year and Philadelphia has one thing in mind this season and that’s ping pong balls for the 2015 NBA Draft Lottery.
New Orleans Pelicans - UNDER 43.5
The Pelicans went 34-48 last year.
You mean to tell me that this team is 10 wins better? Absolutely not!
The Western Conference is the real deal and there are so many good teams that I can’t see any scenario where New Orleans is anywhere near six games over .500 this season. San Antonio, Oklahoma City, BOTH Los Angeles teams (since Kobe Bryant is back and they have rookie Julius Randle), Houston, Portland, Golden State, Memphis, Dallas, and Phoenix. All of these teams are great, are improved, and they are miles ahead of the Pelicans.
Coaching in the NBA, especially in the West is vital and this team doesn’t have it with Monty Williams. Do I expect this team to have a better record from last year? I sure do, but getting over 41 wins (.500) is hard to accomplish in the might West.
Portland Trail Blazers - OVER 48
I love this Portland squad. They have one of the best homecourt advantages, playing in front of loyal fans at the Moda Center, formerly known as the Rose Garden. The Trail Blazers do two things exceptionally well, and that’s rebounding the basketball and being deadly from 3-point land.
This team still has the same starting five that includes one of the top point guards in the league in Damian Lilliard and possibly the third best player in the league in power forward Lamarcus Aldridge. This guy has an unstoppable turn-around jumper and if they double him, Nicolas Batum and Wesley Mathews are going to drop trey’s left and right. This gives these guys another year to gel and they are a well-coached bunch behind leader Terry Stotts.
I believe that this is definitely a 50-win team.
8-0 G-Play Run, 11-1 L12 Picks
7-3 L10, 15-6 Streak, 13-6 G-Plays
4-1 L5, 11-3 Run, 6-2 L8 Totals
22-12 Last 34 Picks, +1,293 TY
5-2 L7 G-Plays, 14-6 L20 Picks
13-2 L15 Over/Under Plays
16-8 L8 Days, 17-7 L24 G-Plays
3-0 Sunday, 21-11 L32 G-Plays
2-0 Sun., 25-13 G-Plays, +1,145 TY
12-6 L18 Guaranteed Plays
9-2 L11 Picks, 13-4 G-Plays TY
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