Dinero Tracker - Feb. 10
February 10, 2018
By Tony Mejia
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Last night's ATS Records
NBA: 7-2 | NCAA BB: 3-6
The NBA continues to be great, while college is slip, sliding away. The NBA lock is now 18-for-26 (69%- nice!) since Jan. 11. Here's Thursday's recap, complete with some of the highlights (and lowlights):
SATURDAY'S FREE SELECTION
The pick: Texas Tech ML -117
This is a massive game for both programs, each of which have illusions of making the NCAA Tournament. The Red Raiders have won five straight and have already made it to 20 wins, so pulling off a victory at home here would do wonders for Kansas State's resume, while a loss would drop them to 6-6 in Big 12 play. Look for a competitive game here, but expect rebounding to make the difference as the visitors pull off a win in the Little Apple. Ride Texas Tech on the money line to avoid laying the point on the road.
FRIDAY'S FREE SELECTION
The pick: Timberwolves -7
Jimmy Butler is back in town playing the best basketball of his career, and since LeBron James got the last word in Wednesday's classic OT game in Cleveland, I don't think a hangover ensues for the Timberwolves. The Bulls have a lot of moving parts keeping them from gaining a rhythm, from Zach LaVine still working his way back to Kris Dunn barely out of concussion protocol and still not playing. Lauri Markkanen returns from paternity leave, so the expectation here is that the Timberwolves will be able to put this game away. Ride Minnesota and lay the points.
Result: I don't like losing freebies, especially when up double-digits at halftime. The Wolves scored 40 second-quarter points and led by 11 in Chicago, but were outscored 33-19 in an ugly third quarter and then couldn't stop Zach LaVine from endearing himself to his new fans in the fourth, allowing him to score 15 of his 35 points in the final 12 minutes. At one point, the Bulls were down 17, so there will be no apologies offered for this call. Butler scored 37 points, one off his season-high.
The pick: Rockets/Nuggets OVER 222
The Nuggets struck out in their pursuit of Memphis wing Tyreke Evans, but should still have enough firepower to run with the Rockets in Houston. Denver is deep and has Will Barton and Gary Harris playing at a high level, so expect them to hang with a fast pace. Ride the over for Friday's NBA guaranteed winner.
Result: This total was cleared by a dozen, clinched with 1:24 left as the Nuggets finally reached the century mark in a dreadful 130-104 loss. Will Barton needs to bring it every night, like the Rockets do. The Warriors should win the Western Conference finals, but they'll have a battle on their hands. Those boys are serious.
LOCK THAT DIDN'T CLICK
The pick: Brown/Cornell OVER 154
Neither of these teams are well-equipped to play defense, so they often don't bother. Brown has been involved in shootouts throughout the Ivy League season, Weill Cornell has gifted scores that they can depend on the stretch a defense. Count on both teams getting into the 80s and ride the over, guaranteed.
Result: Unfortunately, Brown failed to show up. Que paso? The Bears shot 31 percent Top scorer Desmond Cambridge shot 9-for-24, good for 36 percent, and was the most lethal Brown scorer. Sometimes life doesn't go your way. Or math. Step it up, Brown. The pace was there.
The pick: Penn/Dartmouth OVER 138
The Big Green were able to score effectively enough to notch a pair of covers last week, losing at Cornell and Columbia. They're home for this one, but take a step up in class with the first-place Quakers coming into town. The unbeaten Ivy League leaders are shooting the ball extremely well and face a defense that can't cover. Ride Penn and the over for the in-game parlay.
Result: Dartmouth shot 28 percent and hung around. So, yes, I lost this both ways. Because Dartmouth shot 28 percent and hung around. 11-for-42 from the field. And hung around. There are ways you can't win.
SWING AND A MISS
The pick: Princeton +2
The Tigers come into Cambridge looking to bounce back from a blowout home loss to Penn by getting past a Crimson team that has won five of the last six in the Ancient Eight. The Crimson have persevered despite point guard Bryce Aiken, the team's most dynamic player, being healthy enough to rely on. He was listed as doubtful for this one, but since he's not 100 percent, the call here is that the visitors will walk out of Lavietes Pavilion with a win. Take the bucket and ride Princeton.
Result: Harvard won by 15. Aiken didn't play. Christian Juzang is running with his opportunity.
PROOF OF CLAIRVOYANCE
The pick: Heat PK'em/UNDER 199
Expect a playoff atmosphere in South Florida tonight for Dwyane Wade's return. The Bucks are down a number of regulars, so even with Jabari Parker back, Giannis Antetokounmpo will have his hands full against one of the league's top defensive teams. Ride Miami in this pick'em and back the under for the in-game parlay. ?
Result: Spot on. Google details.
Follow Tony Mejia on Twitter at @TonyMejiaNBA or e-mail him at firstname.lastname@example.org
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