Sports.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter VI Mobile College Basketball March Mayhem Picks College Basketball March Mayhem Picks VegasInsider.com VegasInsider.com
Handicapper Bios Sports Picks Free Odds Contests Sportsbook
Sports.com
VI Home NFL NBANHLMLBNCAA FBNCAA BKGolfAutoHorsesBoxingVI More Sports
 
NBA Scores Matchups Teams Standings Schedules Injuries News
 
 · Latest News
 · Player Updates
 · Transactions
Buy Picks Vegas Odds
 
 · Vegas Odds
 · Offshore Odds
 · Future Odds

 
Game 4 Breakdown
 
 
 
Editor's Note: Matt Fargo's selections on the NBA Finals can be puchased at VegasInsider.com. Click to win!

Line Shift

The Lakers lost Game 3 by four points which fell right on the number for most bettors. It actually closed at -4.5 so for those who waited to bet Los Angeles got a never in doubt win by the hook. All sarcasm aside, it was very much in doubt but a win nonetheless and a tough loss for Orlando backers who played a team put together a solid effort, easily it best of the season, and they were given nothing in return at the window.

Linesmakers are thinking what a lot of the sharp players are thinking and that is the fact that the Lakers will come out and conceivably win Game Four. The line is already down to -2.5 and is actually -2 at some shops so the Magic win is not swaying action toward their side to even up this series. If not for a missed layup at the end of regulation in Game 2, Orlando would have the ball in its court and would really be able to put the pressure on the Lakers.

Advertisement
The first two games of this series stayed way under as Game 1 missed the total by 29.5 points while Game 2 missed the total by 26 points (in regulation). Game Three saw the first posted total of this series be under 200 and it ended up going over by 14 points. Now the linesmakers don’t know what to do and LVSC opened Game Four at 201.5 and that is where it currently sits. Based on the first three games, it is tough to decipher what sort of game will be played out on Thursday.

Shooting Blanks or Shooting Darts

The Magic shot a dismal 29.9 percent in Game 1 and 41.8 percent in Game 2. To no ones surprise, they lost both of those games. Orlando came back on Tuesday and shot a blistering 62.5 percent from the floor and it needed every bit of it to pull out the win. The Magic shoots 45.8 percent at home compared to 45.5 percent on the road so it isn’t like they have a big advantage when playing at Amway Arena.

While Orlando was able to pick things up, it cannot be overlooked what the Lakers have done. They have gone from 46.1 percent to 46.2 percent to 51.3 percent over the three games. If nothing else, they have been more consistent and that is a sure sign that it will continue as Orlando has been all over the place on the offensive end. The fact that Orlando played arguably the best it could play and won by just four points tells us something.

“We didn’t allow being down 0-2 to discourage us,” Orlando center Dwight Howard said. “We’ve come along way and we want to win a championship.” He made two great points in that quote but it will be tough for Orlando to play near perfect basketball for three more games to win the title. “The sad thing is we shot 62.5 percent and nearly lost the game,” said guard Rafer Alston. He is exactly right.

The Kobe Factor

The Lakers could have and should have won Game 3 in Orlando if Kobe Bryant played his normal game. He came far from it. After a hot start, he missed 10 of his final 12 shots while also missing five of his 10 free throw attempts. Not to mention the fact that “Mr. Clutch” became “Mr. Choke” after his lack of production and numerous miscues in the fourth quarter. Have we already seen the best of Kobe or was it just an aberration? I vote for the latter.

“It was disappointing,” Bryant said, his voice barely above a whisper. “I’m used to coming through in these situations, the team trusts me in those situations and it just didn’t happen tonight.” He is hungry for this title and we saw it after Game Two when he was as monotone as ever saying that two wins in two games means nothing and there is no reason to be happy.

Watching him at the end of the Nuggets series showed us how fatigued he really was. The time off in-between the Conference Finals and this series helped no one more than Bryant. He did have a bad game on Tuesday but every player does in these types of games. He will be back and whether it be Game 4 or Game 5, he is going to lead the Lakers to a win and send the series back to Los Angeles or he may just step it up both times and raise the trophy in Orlando. We will wait and see.

  
HEADLINES
ASA: Totals Report
Lawrence: Cram Session
Lakers edge Celtics in OT, 88-87
Kings cool off Thunder, 106-101
Rockets stay red-hot, drop Suns
Warriors hand Nuggets another loss
Cavs' Irving recovering from concussion
No panic yet, but Blazers concerned
Hawks sign Dampier to 10-day contract
MORE HEADLINES
 
 Joe Nelson
 11-5 L16, 24-11 L35, +1,173 TY
 ASA
 19-10 L29 Guaranteed Plays 
 Doc's Sports
 5-1 L6 NBA Guarantee Run
 Jamie Tursini
 5 NBA Wins In A Row
 Antony Dinero
 8-3 L11 Picks, 3-0 L3 G-Plays
 Marc Lawrence
 4 Straight NBA Winners
 Kevin Rogers
 13-6 Last 19 Selections
 Bruce Marshall
 4-1 L5 NBA Guarantees
 Andy Iskoe
 3-1 L4 Totals, 2-0 G-Plays TY
 Vince Akins
 7-3 Last 10 NBA Guarantees
 Dave Cokin
 11-6 Guarantee Record TY
 
NBA Basketball Expert Season Picks
 
2011-12 NBA SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Joe Nelson + 1273
Antony Dinero + 761
Doc's Sports + 664
Last 7 Day Leaders
Handicapper Money
Marc Lawrence + 500
Antony Dinero + 497
Jamie Tursini + 400
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Scott Pritchard 63 %
Joe Nelson 62 %
Keith Fredrick 59 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Doc's Sports + 890
Micah Roberts + 886
Bruce Marshall + 828
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Vince Akins + 876
Antony Dinero + 693
Joe Nelson + 663
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
Paul Bovi + 940
Vince Akins + 661
Matt Moore + 519
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
GOLD Membership
Receive a 20% discount on all Daily Picks. Signup Today!
 
 
Las Vegas Travel
 
 

NFL
NFL Picks
NFL Odds
NFL Matchups
NFL Scores

NBA
NBA Picks
NBA Odds
NBA Matchups
NBA Scores

MLB
MLB Picks
MLB Odds
MLB Matchups
MLB Scores


NCAA FB
NCAA FB Picks
NCAA FB Odds
NCAA FB Matchups
NCAA FB Scores

NCAA BK
NCAA BK Picks
NCAA BK Odds
NCAA BK Matchups
NCAA BK Scores

NHL
NHL Picks
NHL Odds
NHL Matchups
NHL Scores


More Sports
Golf
Auto Racing
Horse Racing
Boxing
UFC
WNBA
Soccer

Features
Free Odds
Mobile Odds
Contests
Newsletters
VI Radio
Las Vegas Travel
Follow us on Twitter
Join us on Facebook


Sports Betting Tools
Live Odds
Parlay Calculator
Gaming Terms
TV Listings
Handicapping Records
Sportsbook Reviews

VegasInsider Info
About Us
Help Center
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use
Contact Us
User Feedback

Sportsbooks
BetOnline.com
Bodog.ca
Bovada.lv
SBG Global.com
Sportsbook.com
TopBet.com

Rotation Schedules
Hockey:
 
 
Basketball:

Jan 31 - Feb 27
Feb 28 - Apr 07
 
Jan 31 - Feb 27

Copyright © 1997-2012, VegasInsider.com Inc., The Global Leader In Sports Gaming Information. All rights reserved.
For questions or comments, please contact us at 1-800-211-4759.