VegasInsider.com
VI Mobile Scores and Betting OddsVI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds Be Social
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Golf
Auto
Horses
Soccer
Boxing/MMA
More
Betting Tools

 
Upset Alert - Miami
Editor's Note: The Prez's pro basketball selections can be purchased throughout the playoffs. Click to win!

When looking at all eight of the NBA’s first-round matchups, I foresee really only one higher seed having a good chance of upsetting a lower one, and that’s No. 5 Miami over No. 4 Boston in the East.

As of this writing none of the books have released series lines, but the Celtics

probably will also be the shortest favorites of them all. I guarantee you that Boston was hoping that New Jersey could have upset the Heat in double overtime last night because that would have gotten the Celtics a Milwaukee team without Andrew Bogut. It almost seemed like the Heat wanted to lose and potentially get Boston because they didn’t play Dwyane Wade, Udonis Haslem and Jermaine O'Neal against New Jersey. Haslem and O’Neal had minor injuries but will be on the floor for Game 1 in Boston on Saturday.

The Celtics rested pretty much everyone in getting bombed at home by the Bucks on Wednesday night, so don’t read too much into that. I would also say not to read much into the fact that Boston was 3-0 (2-1 ATS) against the Heat this year – all three games were decided by less than seven points and one in overtime on a Rajon Rondo miracle shot. The Heat actually are 1-11 in their last 12 games against Boston, with Miami’s only win coming when the Celtics were without Kevin Garnett and Rondo.

Advertisement
However, Miami closed the season winning 12 of its final 13 games (only two opponents reached 100 points) and going 7-1 ATS on the road. Boston has lost seven of 10 -- five of six at home -- and is 27-27 since Christmas (Miami is 32-23 since Dec. 25). Plus the Celtics have had no answer for Wade this season, with “Flash” averaging 33.7 points (50.7 percent shooting), 8.7 assists and 5.0 rebounds. Rondo and Ray Allen likely will share the main assignment on Wade, who averaged more against Boston than any Eastern Conference opponent.

`We feel we're a different team now,'' Miami coach Erik Spoelstra said to the Miami Herald of the 0-3 record against Boston in 2009-10. ``All three games were competitive, so it is a little bit deceptive. You have to respect what they have done.''

The Boston media is reporting the locker room is “fractured” (gee, what did the C’s expect by adding Rasheed Wallace?) and there’s talk that Coach Doc Rivers will walk away after this season because he is fed up.

Young, athletic teams like Miami have given Boston trouble in the playoffs in the past – think Atlanta taking the Celtics to seven games in 2008 and Chicago doing the same last year. And these Celtics, particularly Garnett, look old. The key no doubt will be Michael Beasley for Miami. He is just as capable of putting up a 25-point, 13-rebound line like he did Wednesday as he is 5 points and 5 rebounds like he did in a 112-106 loss to Boston on Jan. 6.

Boston has been able to flip the switch against some of the league’s elite teams this season, and maybe the Celtics will be able to do so starting Saturday. But if Wade is simply Wade, Beasley is at least good and O’Neal is healthy, the Heat can pull this upset. If you are going to take one underdog in the first round, it has to be Miami.

  
HEADLINES
Edwards: Sunday's Early Tips
Mejia: Sunday's Late Tips
Bookmaker: Warriors go for sweep
News: First Round Series Odds
News: 2018 Playoff Results
News: First Round Predictions
76ers take control, top Heat for 3-1 edge
Rubio's triple-double leads Jazz past OKC
Dominant Davis wills Pels into 2nd round
MORE HEADLINES
 
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
NBA Pro Basketball Expert Handicapper Sports Picks Records
NBA Hot Streaks
7-0 L4 Days, 16-4 L20 Streak
6-0 +672 L3 Days, 3-0 G-Plays
10-2 L12 Guarantees, 4-2 L2 Days
23-10 L33 Picks, +3,696 Overall
18-6 Win Streak, 8-3 L11 G-Plays
3-0 Y'day, 5-1 Totals, 3-0 G-Plays
5-1 L6 G-Plays, +2,034 Picks TY
2-0 LN, 4-1 G-Plays, 8-3 Totals
4-1 L2 Days, 14-4 L18 G-Plays
8-4 L12, 24-12 Run, 9-2 L11 G-Plays
5-1 L6 G-Plays, 14-8 L22 Picks
5-2 Record L3 Days, +1,123 TY
19-6 L25 Totals, 28-13 L41 Picks
6-1 Last 7 NBA Picks
7-2 L9 Picks/Guarantees
NBA Pro Basketball Expert Sports Picks
2017 NBA SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Alex Smart + 3796
Antony Dinero + 2965
Kevin Rogers + 1934
Last 7 Day Leaders
Handicapper Money
Mark Franco + 580
Brian Edwards + 467
Zack Cimini + 390
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Alex Smart 57 %
Joe Nelson 56 %
Kevin Rogers 55 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Alex Smart + 2802
Antony Dinero + 2376
Kevin Rogers + 2216
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Antony Dinero + 2844
Scott Rickenbach + 735
The Gold Sheet + 531
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
Antony Dinero + 965
Bruce Marshall + 897
Joe Nelson + 812
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, SAVE 10% off a Live Odds Pro subscription, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!
VI Gold Membership