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Matchup Analysis

Week 17
TAMPA BAY (4-11) vs ATLANTA (9-6) Game Time: 4:15 p.m. EDT Sunday, January 1 Stadium: Georgia Dome Surface: turf

RECORD ANALYSIS
	STRAIGHT-UP			VS. SPREAD			OVER/UNDER
TAMPA BAY	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL
Year-to-Date	3 - 5	1 - 6	4 - 11	2 - 6	2 - 5	4 - 11	4 - 4	5 - 2	9 - 6
Last 5 games	0 - 2	0 - 3	0 - 5	0 - 2	0 - 3	0 - 5	1 - 1	2 - 1	3 - 2
YTD vs. Div.	2 - 1	0 - 2	2 - 3	2 - 1	0 - 2	2 - 3	1 - 2	1 - 1	2 - 3
	STRAIGHT-UP			VS. SPREAD			OVER/UNDER
ATLANTA	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL
Year-to-Date	5 - 2	4 - 4	9 - 6	3 - 2	3 - 5	6 - 7	2 - 5	4 - 4	6 - 9
Last 5 games	2 - 0	1 - 2	3 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 1	2 - 1	3 - 2
YTD vs. Div.	1 - 1	1 - 2	2 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 2	2 - 3	0 - 2	2 - 1	2 - 3
	AWAY VS. SPREAD					HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date	FAV	DOG	GRASS	TURF		FAV	DOG	GRASS	TURF
TAMPA BAY	0 - 1	2 - 4	1 - 4	1 - 1		1 - 2	1 - 4	2 - 6	0 - 0
ATLANTA	2 - 3	1 - 2	1 - 3	2 - 2		2 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	3 - 2

TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

TAMPA BAY
					LINE			OVER/UNDER
DATE	DAY	OPP	SCORE	SU	OPEN	CLOSE	ATS & MARGIN	OPEN	CLOSE	O/U & MARGIN	G/T
09/11/11	Sun	DET	20 - 27	L	-3	-1	L -8	41.0	43.5	O + 3.5	G
09/18/11	Sun	@MIN	24 - 20	W	+3	+1	W +5	40.5	41.5	O + 2.5	T
09/25/11	Sun	ATL	16 - 13	W	-1.5	-1	W +2	45.5	45.0	U -16.0	G
10/03/11	Mon	IND	24 - 17	W	-10	-10	L -3	41.0	40.5	O + 0.5	G
10/09/11	Sun	@SF	3 - 48	L	+0	+2.5	L -42.5	40.5	41.5	O + 9.5	G
10/16/11	Sun	NO	26 - 20	W	+4.5	+6	W +12	49.5	49.5	U -3.5	G
10/23/11	Sun	CHI	18 - 24	L	-1	+1	L -5	44.0	44.0	U -2.0	G
11/06/11	Sun	@NO	16 - 27	L	+7.5	+9	L -2	51.0	51.0	U -8.0	T
11/13/11	Sun	HOU	9 - 37	L	+3.5	+3.5	L -24.5	45.5	45.5	O + 0.5	G
11/20/11	Sun	@GB	26 - 35	L	+13	+13.5	W +4.5	49.0	48.5	O +12.5	G
11/27/11	Sun	@TEN	17 - 23	L	+3	+3	L -3	42.5	43.5	U -3.5	G
12/04/11	Sun	CAR	19 - 38	L	-3.5	+1.5	L -17.5	47.5	46.0	O +11.0	G
12/11/11	Sun	@JAC	14 - 41	L	-2	-3	L -30	39.0	41.5	O +13.5	G
12/17/11	Sat	DAL	15 - 31	L	+6	+7	L -9	46.5	47.0	U -1.0	G
12/24/11	Sat	@CAR	16 - 48	L	+7	+8	L -24	47.5	48.5	O +15.5	G

ATLANTA
					LINE			OVER/UNDER
DATE	DAY	OPP	SCORE	SU	OPEN	CLOSE	ATS & MARGIN	OPEN	CLOSE	O/U & MARGIN	G/T
09/11/11	Sun	@CHI	12 - 30	L	+0	-1	L -19	41.0	40.5	O + 1.5	G
09/18/11	Sun	PHI	35 - 31	W	+2.5	+2.5	W +6.5	49.5	49.0	O +17.0	T
09/25/11	Sun	@TB	13 - 16	L	+1.5	+1	L -2	45.5	45.0	U -16.0	G
10/02/11	Sun	@SEA	30 - 28	W	-4	-6	L -4	41.0	39.5	O +18.5	T
10/09/11	Sun	GB	14 - 25	L	+3.5	+6	L -5	53.5	53.0	U -14.0	T
10/16/11	Sun	CAR	31 - 17	W	-5	-3.5	W +10.5	51.0	49.0	U -1.0	T
10/23/11	Sun	@DET	23 - 16	W	+4.5	+4.5	W +11.5	47.5	46.5	U -7.5	T
11/06/11	Sun	@IND	31 - 7	W	-8	-7	W +17	44.5	44.5	U -6.5	T
11/13/11	Sun	NO	23 - 26	L	+1	-1	L -4	51.0	49.5	U -0.5	T
11/20/11	Sun	TEN	23 - 17	W	-5	-6	L 0	44.0	44.0	U -4.0	T
11/27/11	Sun	MIN	24 - 14	W	-9.5	-10	L 0	44.5	44.0	U -6.0	T
12/04/11	Sun	@HOU	10 - 17	L	-2.5	-1	L -8	38.5	38.0	U -11.0	G
12/11/11	Sun	@CAR	31 - 23	W	-2.5	-2.5	W +5.5	48.0	47.5	O + 6.5	G
12/15/11	Thu	JAC	41 - 14	W	-11.5	-13.5	W +13.5	42.5	41.5	O +13.5	T
12/26/11	Mon	@NO	16 - 45	L	+7	+7	L -22	53.0	53.0	O + 8.0	T

PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

						LINE			OVER/UNDER
DATE	DAY	VIS	SC	HOM	SC	OPEN	CLOSE	ATS & MARGIN	OPEN	CLOSE	O/U & MARGIN	G/T
11/18/07	Sun	TB	31	ATL	7	+3	+3	ATL --21	36.5	35.5	O +-2.5	T
12/16/07	Sun	ATL	3	TB	37	-13.0	-13.0	TB +21	39.0	38.0	O +-2	G
09/14/08	Sun	ATL	9	TB	24	-9.5	-7.0	TB +8	38.5	37.5	U -4.5	G
12/14/08	Sun	TB	10	ATL	13	-3.0	-5.0	ATL --2	45.0	43.5	U -20.5	T
11/29/09	Sun	TB	17	ATL	20	-12.0	-12.0	ATL --9	46.0	46.0	U -9	T
01/03/10	Sun	ATL	20	TB	10	+3	+3	TB --7	41.5	41.5	U -11.5	G
11/07/10	Sun	TB	21	ATL	27	-8.0	-10.0	ATL --4	40.5	45.0	O +-3	T
12/05/10	Sun	ATL	28	TB	24	+3	+3	TB --1	44.0	43.5	O +-8.5	G
09/25/11	Sun	ATL	13	TB	16	-1.5	-1.0	TB +2	45.5	45.0	U -16	G

STATISTICAL AVERAGES:

			RUSHING			PASSING					TOT	TURNOVERS
AWAY/HOME			RUSHING			PASSING					TOT	TURNOVERS
	PTS	FD	AT	YDS	AVG	AT	CO	PCT	YDS	AVG	YDS	INT	FUM	FGP
TB (off)	16.6	18	21	98	4.7	35	23	0.7	235	6.7	333	1.4	1.7	.00
ATL (def)	20.6	18	21	85	4.0	35	22	0.6	249	7.1	334	0.9	0.9	.00
	PTS	FD	AT	YDS	AVG	AT	CO	PCT	YDS	AVG	YDS	INT	FUM	FGP
TB (def)	34.6	23	31	182	5.9	29	19	0.7	214	7.4	396	0.9	0.6	.00
ATL (off)	27.3	23	31	120	3.9	33	22	0.7	239	7.2	359	0.7	0.3	.00
ALL GAMES			RUSHING			PASSING					TOT	TURNOVERS
	PTS	FD	AT	YDS	AVG	AT	CO	PCT	YDS	AVG	YDS	INT	FUM	FGP
TB (off)	17.5	17	22	95	4.3	36	22	0.6	226	6.3	321	1.4	1.0	.00
ATL (def)	21.7	18	24	101	4.2	34	21	0.6	235	6.9	336	1.1	0.6	.00
			RUSHING			PASSING					TOT	TURNOVERS
	PTS	FD	AT	YDS	AVG	AT	CO	PCT	YDS	AVG	YDS	INT	FUM	FGP
TB (def)	29.9	22	31	150	4.8	31	19	0.6	243	7.8	393	0.9	0.6	.00
ATL (off)	23.8	22	28	106	3.8	38	23	0.6	268	7.1	374	0.8	0.5	.00

SCORING AVERAGES:

TAMPA BAY (away)	Q1	Q2	H1	Q3	Q4	OT	H2+OT
POINTS FOR	1.9	5.3	7.2	3.3	6.1	0.0	9.4
POINTS ALLOWED	6.4	13.1	19.5	5.4	9.6	0.0	15

ATLANTA (home)	Q1	Q2	H1	Q3	Q4	OT	H2+OT
POINTS FOR	6.9	8.1	15	5.4	6.9	0.0	12.3
POINTS ALLOWED	0.9	4.7	5.6	9.3	5.3	0.4	15

TAMPA BAY (all)	Q1	Q2	H1	Q3	Q4	OT	H2+OT
POINTS FOR	2.3	5.9	8.2	3.6	5.7	0.0	9.3
POINTS ALLOWED	7.0	10.5	17.5	5.7	6.7	0.0	12.4

ATLANTA (all)	Q1	Q2	H1	Q3	Q4	OT	H2+OT
POINTS FOR	6.6	6.3	12.9	4.9	6.0	0.0	10.9
POINTS ALLOWED	2.6	6.9	9.5	7.7	4.3	0.2	12.2

VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

	OPEN	CURRENT	RATING	LINE	EDGE
	LV POINTSPREAD		VALUE INDEX	VALUE INDEX
TAMPA BAY			48.5		4.0
ATLANTA			53	-8.0
	LV OVER/UNDER		VALUE INDEX	VALUE INDEX
	OPEN	CURRENT	RATING	EDGE
OVER/UNDER			44	3 under

Updated Wed, Dec 28 2:20 PM EST

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