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Matchup Analysis

Week 17
INDIANAPOLIS (14-1) vs BUFFALO (5-10) Game Time: 1:00 p.m. EDT Sunday, January 3 Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium Surface: turf

RECORD ANALYSIS
	STRAIGHT-UP			VS. SPREAD			OVER/UNDER
INDIANAPOLIS	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL
Year-to-Date	7 - 1	7 - 0	14 - 1	3 - 5	7 - 0	10 - 5	4 - 4	4 - 3	8 - 7
Last 5 games	2 - 1	2 - 0	4 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 0	4 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 0	4 - 1
YTD vs. Div.	3 - 0	3 - 0	6 - 0	1 - 2	3 - 0	4 - 2	0 - 3	2 - 1	2 - 4
	STRAIGHT-UP			VS. SPREAD			OVER/UNDER
BUFFALO	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL
Year-to-Date	2 - 4	3 - 6	5 - 10	2 - 4	5 - 4	7 - 8	2 - 4	3 - 6	5 - 10
Last 5 games	1 - 1	1 - 2	2 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 2	2 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 3	1 - 4
YTD vs. Div.	1 - 1	1 - 3	2 - 4	1 - 1	2 - 2	3 - 3	1 - 1	2 - 2	3 - 3
	AWAY VS. SPREAD					HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date	FAV	DOG	GRASS	TURF		FAV	DOG	GRASS	TURF
INDIANAPOLIS	6 - 0	1 - 0	6 - 0	1 - 0		3 - 5	0 - 0	0 - 0	3 - 5
BUFFALO	1 - 0	4 - 4	5 - 2	0 - 2		1 - 1	1 - 3	0 - 0	2 - 4

TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

INDIANAPOLIS
					LINE			OVER/UNDER
DATE	DAY	OPP	SCORE	SU	OPEN	CLOSE	ATS & MARGIN	OPEN	CLOSE	O/U & MARGIN	G/T
09/13/09	Sun	JAC	14 - 12	W	-7.5	-6.5	L -4.5	43.0	45.0	U -19.0	T
09/21/09	Mon	@MIA	27 - 23	W	-3	-3	W +1	40.5	41.0	O + 9.0	G
09/27/09	Sun	@ARI	31 - 10	W	+0	+3	W +24	49.5	49.5	U -8.5	G
10/04/09	Sun	SEA	34 - 17	W	-9.5	-10	W +7	43.0	44.0	O + 7.0	T
10/11/09	Sun	@TEN	31 - 9	W	-4.5	-4	W +18	43.0	44.5	U -4.5	G
10/25/09	Sun	@STL	42 - 6	W	-11.5	-14	W +22	43.0	45.5	O + 2.5	T
11/01/09	Sun	SF	18 - 14	W	-9.5	-13	L -9	45.0	45.0	U -13.0	T
11/08/09	Sun	HOU	20 - 17	W	-9.5	-7.5	L -4.5	49.0	50.5	U -13.5	T
11/15/09	Sun	NE	35 - 34	W	-3	-2.5	L -1.5	46.5	48.5	O +20.5	T
11/22/09	Sun	@BAL	17 - 15	W	+0	-1	W +1	44.5	44.5	U -12.5	G
11/29/09	Sun	@HOU	35 - 27	W	-3.5	-3	W +5	49.0	48.0	O +14.0	G
12/06/09	Sun	TEN	27 - 17	W	-8.5	-6	W +4	44.5	46.5	U -2.5	T
12/13/09	Sun	DEN	28 - 16	W	-8.5	-6.5	W +5.5	44.0	43.5	O + 0.5	T
12/17/09	Thu	@JAC	35 - 31	W	-6.5	-3	W +1	46.5	43.0	O +23.0	G
12/27/09	Sun	NYJ	15 - 29	L	-7	-3.5	L -17.5	42.5	40.5	O + 3.5	T

BUFFALO
					LINE			OVER/UNDER
DATE	DAY	OPP	SCORE	SU	OPEN	CLOSE	ATS & MARGIN	OPEN	CLOSE	O/U & MARGIN	G/T
09/14/09	Mon	@NE	24 - 25	L	+10	+13	W +12	46.5	47.5	O + 1.5	G
09/20/09	Sun	TB	33 - 20	W	-6	-4	W +9	41.5	42.0	O +11.0	T
09/27/09	Sun	NO	7 - 27	L	+3	+6	L -14	51.5	51.0	U -17.0	T
10/04/09	Sun	@MIA	10 - 38	L	+3	+1	L -27	38.5	37.0	O +11.0	G
10/11/09	Sun	CLE	3 - 6	L	-5.5	-6	L -9	41.0	41.5	U -32.5	T
10/18/09	Sun	@NYJ	16 - 13	W	+9	+9.5	W +12.5	37.0	35.5	U -6.5	G
10/25/09	Sun	@CAR	20 - 9	W	+7	+7	W +18	37.0	37.0	U -8.0	G
11/01/09	Sun	HOU	10 - 31	L	+3	+3.5	L -17.5	42.0	41.5	U -0.5	T
11/15/09	Sun	@TEN	17 - 41	L	+5.5	+8	L -16	40.5	41.0	O +17.0	G
11/22/09	Sun	@JAC	15 - 18	L	+10	+8.5	W +5.5	44.0	41.0	U -8.0	G
11/29/09	Sun	MIA	31 - 14	W	+4	+3	W +20	39.5	38.5	O + 6.5	T
12/03/09	Thu	NYJ	13 - 19	L	+3	+3.5	L -2.5	37.0	37.0	U -5.0	T
12/13/09	Sun	@KC	16 - 10	W	+1.5	-2.5	W +3.5	41.0	38.0	U -12.0	G
12/20/09	Sun	NE	10 - 17	L	+6.5	+6.5	L -0.5	41.0	41.0	U -14.0	T
12/27/09	Sun	@ATL	3 - 31	L	+7.5	+8	L -20	40.5	40.0	U -6.0	T

PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

						LINE			OVER/UNDER
DATE	DAY	VIS	SC	HOM	SC	OPEN	CLOSE	ATS & MARGIN	OPEN	CLOSE	O/U & MARGIN	G/T
11/12/06	Sun	BUF	16	IND	17	-13.5	-12.0	IND --11	44.0	45.0	U -12	T

STATISTICAL AVERAGES:

			RUSHING			PASSING					TOT	TURNOVERS
AWAY/HOME			RUSHING			PASSING					TOT	TURNOVERS
	PTS	FD	AT	YDS	AVG	AT	CO	PCT	YDS	AVG	YDS	INT	FUM	FGP
IND (off)	31.1	21	23	93	4.0	33	24	0.7	293	8.9	386	1.0	0.3	.00
BUF (def)	19.2	19	35	150	4.3	31	16	0.5	168	5.4	318	1.7	0.3	.00
	PTS	FD	AT	YDS	AVG	AT	CO	PCT	YDS	AVG	YDS	INT	FUM	FGP
IND (def)	17.3	21	29	124	4.3	38	23	0.6	210	5.5	334	1.4	0.6	.00
BUF (off)	15.7	16	27	131	4.9	29	18	0.6	161	5.6	292	1.2	0.7	.00
ALL GAMES			RUSHING			PASSING					TOT	TURNOVERS
	PTS	FD	AT	YDS	AVG	AT	CO	PCT	YDS	AVG	YDS	INT	FUM	FGP
IND (off)	27.3	22	23	85	3.7	38	26	0.7	292	7.7	377	1.1	0.3	.00
BUF (def)	21.3	20	34	166	4.9	32	18	0.6	187	5.8	353	1.7	0.3	.00
			RUSHING			PASSING					TOT	TURNOVERS
	PTS	FD	AT	YDS	AVG	AT	CO	PCT	YDS	AVG	YDS	INT	FUM	FGP
IND (def)	18.5	20	28	118	4.2	37	24	0.6	217	5.9	335	1.1	0.7	.00
BUF (off)	15.2	14	26	108	4.2	28	16	0.6	157	5.6	265	1.3	0.7	.00

SCORING AVERAGES:

INDIANAPOLIS (away)	Q1	Q2	H1	Q3	Q4	OT	H2+OT
POINTS FOR	5.0	11.9	16.9	5.0	9.3	0.0	14.3
POINTS ALLOWED	6.0	5.0	11	3.4	2.9	0.0	6.3

BUFFALO (home)	Q1	Q2	H1	Q3	Q4	OT	H2+OT
POINTS FOR	4.5	3.3	7.8	0.5	7.3	0.0	7.8
POINTS ALLOWED	1.2	7.8	9	2.2	8.0	0.0	10.2

INDIANAPOLIS (all)	Q1	Q2	H1	Q3	Q4	OT	H2+OT
POINTS FOR	5.9	9.8	15.7	3.9	7.7	0.0	11.6
POINTS ALLOWED	3.9	5.9	9.8	3.1	5.6	0.0	8.7

BUFFALO (all)	Q1	Q2	H1	Q3	Q4	OT	H2+OT
POINTS FOR	4.5	3.3	7.8	2.1	5.1	0.2	7.4
POINTS ALLOWED	2.5	7.7	10.2	3.2	7.9	0.0	11.1

VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

	OPEN	CURRENT	RATING	LINE	EDGE
	LV POINTSPREAD		VALUE INDEX	VALUE INDEX
INDIANAPOLIS			56	-3.0
BUFFALO			49.5
	LV OVER/UNDER		VALUE INDEX	VALUE INDEX
	OPEN	CURRENT	RATING	EDGE
OVER/UNDER			41	UNKNOWN

Updated Tue, Dec 29 2:20 PM EST

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