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Matchup Analysis

Week 16
MIAMI (5-9) vs NEW ENGLAND (11-3) Game Time: 1:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, December 24 Stadium: Gillette Stadium Surface: grass

RECORD ANALYSIS
	STRAIGHT-UP			VS. SPREAD			OVER/UNDER
MIAMI	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL
Year-to-Date	3 - 4	2 - 5	5 - 9	3 - 4	4 - 3	7 - 7	2 - 5	1 - 6	3 - 11
Last 5 games	2 - 1	1 - 1	3 - 2	2 - 1	2 - 0	4 - 1	1 - 2	1 - 1	2 - 3
YTD vs. Div.	1 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 2
	STRAIGHT-UP			VS. SPREAD			OVER/UNDER
NEW ENGLAND	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL	HOME	AWAY	TOTAL
Year-to-Date	5 - 1	6 - 2	11 - 3	3 - 3	5 - 3	8 - 6	3 - 3	6 - 2	9 - 5
Last 5 games	2 - 0	3 - 0	5 - 0	1 - 1	2 - 1	3 - 2	1 - 1	3 - 0	4 - 1
YTD vs. Div.	1 - 0	2 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 0	2 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 0	3 - 0	4 - 0
	AWAY VS. SPREAD					HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date	FAV	DOG	GRASS	TURF		FAV	DOG	GRASS	TURF
MIAMI	1 - 1	3 - 2	2 - 3	2 - 0		3 - 1	0 - 3	3 - 4	0 - 0
NEW ENGLAND	4 - 3	1 - 0	4 - 2	1 - 1		3 - 3	0 - 0	3 - 3	0 - 0

TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

MIAMI
					LINE			OVER/UNDER
DATE	DAY	OPP	SCORE	SU	OPEN	CLOSE	ATS & MARGIN	OPEN	CLOSE	O/U & MARGIN	G/T
09/12/11	Mon	NE	24 - 38	L	+4	+7	L -7	46.0	47.0	O +15.0	G
09/18/11	Sun	HOU	13 - 23	L	+3	+3	L -7	46.0	47.0	U -11.0	G
09/25/11	Sun	@CLE	16 - 17	L	+3	-1.5	L -2.5	41.0	42.5	U -9.5	G
10/02/11	Sun	@SD	16 - 26	L	+8	+7	L -3	46.0	45.0	U -3.0	G
10/17/11	Mon	@NYJ	6 - 24	L	+7.5	+7	L -11	42.5	41.0	U -11.0	G
10/23/11	Sun	DEN	15 - 18	L	-3	+1	L -2	42.5	41.5	U -8.5	G
10/30/11	Sun	@NYG	17 - 20	L	+10	+9.5	W +6.5	43.0	43.0	U -6.0	G
11/06/11	Sun	@KC	31 - 3	W	+6	+5	W +33	39.5	40.5	U -6.5	G
11/13/11	Sun	WAS	20 - 9	W	-4	-4	W +7	37.5	38.0	U -9.0	G
11/20/11	Sun	BUF	35 - 8	W	-1	-3	W +24	43.0	44.0	U -1.0	G
11/24/11	Thu	@DAL	19 - 20	L	+7	+7	W +6	44.5	45.5	U -6.5	T
12/04/11	Sun	OAK	34 - 14	W	-3	-3	W +17	43.0	43.0	O + 5.0	G
12/11/11	Sun	PHI	10 - 26	L	-3	-3	L -19	45.0	44.5	U -8.5	G
12/18/11	Sun	@BUF	30 - 23	W	+0	-1	W +6	41.0	42.0	O +11.0	T

NEW ENGLAND
					LINE			OVER/UNDER
DATE	DAY	OPP	SCORE	SU	OPEN	CLOSE	ATS & MARGIN	OPEN	CLOSE	O/U & MARGIN	G/T
09/12/11	Mon	@MIA	38 - 24	W	-4	-7	W +7	46.0	47.0	O +15.0	G
09/18/11	Sun	SD	35 - 21	W	-6	-6.5	W +7.5	51.5	53.5	O + 2.5	G
09/25/11	Sun	@BUF	31 - 34	L	-9.5	-7	L -10	53.0	54.0	O +11.0	T
10/02/11	Sun	@OAK	31 - 19	W	-5	-6.5	W +5.5	53.5	55.5	U -5.5	G
10/09/11	Sun	NYJ	30 - 21	W	-9.5	-7.5	W +1.5	48.5	50.5	O + 0.5	G
10/16/11	Sun	DAL	20 - 16	W	-7	-6.5	L -2.5	55.0	55.5	U -19.5	G
10/30/11	Sun	@PIT	17 - 25	L	-1	-3	L -11	50.5	52.0	U -10.0	G
11/06/11	Sun	NYG	20 - 24	L	-7.5	-9.5	L -13.5	52.0	51.5	U -7.5	G
11/13/11	Sun	@NYJ	37 - 16	W	+1	+2	W +23	47.0	47.5	O + 5.5	G
11/21/11	Mon	KC	34 - 3	W	-14.5	-17	W +14	48.0	46.5	U -9.5	G
11/27/11	Sun	@PHI	38 - 20	W	-3.5	-3	W +15	49.5	50.5	O + 7.5	T
12/04/11	Sun	IND	31 - 24	W	-21	-20.5	L -13.5	47.5	48.5	O + 6.5	G
12/11/11	Sun	@WAS	34 - 27	W	-8	-7.5	L -0.5	47.5	46.5	O +14.5	G
12/18/11	Sun	@DEN	41 - 23	W	-5.5	-7	W +11	45.5	47.5	O +16.5	G

PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

						LINE			OVER/UNDER
DATE	DAY	VIS	SC	HOM	SC	OPEN	CLOSE	ATS & MARGIN	OPEN	CLOSE	O/U & MARGIN	G/T
10/21/07	Sun	NE	49	MIA	28	+14	+16	MIA --5	48.5	50.0	O +-27	G
12/23/07	Sun	MIA	7	NE	28	-24.0	-22.0	NE --1	48.5	45.0	U -10	G
09/21/08	Sun	MIA	38	NE	13	-11.5	-12.5	NE --37.5	37.5	37.0	O +-14	G
11/23/08	Sun	NE	48	MIA	28	-2.0	+2	MIA --18	41.0	42.0	O +-34	G
11/08/09	Sun	MIA	17	NE	27	-12.0	-11.0	NE --1	46.5	47.0	U -3	G
12/06/09	Sun	NE	21	MIA	22	+6.5	+5.5	MIA +6.5	46.5	46.0	U -3	G
10/04/10	Mon	NE	41	MIA	14	+1	0.0	MIA --27	44.0	48.0	O +-7	G
01/02/11	Sun	MIA	7	NE	38	-5.0	-4.5	NE +26.5	44.0	44.0	O +-1	G
09/12/11	Mon	NE	38	MIA	24	+4	+7	MIA --7	46.0	47.0	O +-15	G

STATISTICAL AVERAGES:

			RUSHING			PASSING					TOT	TURNOVERS
AWAY/HOME			RUSHING			PASSING					TOT	TURNOVERS
	PTS	FD	AT	YDS	AVG	AT	CO	PCT	YDS	AVG	YDS	INT	FUM	FGP
MIA (off)	19.3	18	28	132	4.7	27	16	0.6	200	7.4	332	0.9	0.9	.00
NE (def)	18.2	22	27	100	3.7	37	25	0.7	272	7.4	372	1.3	0.8	.00
	PTS	FD	AT	YDS	AVG	AT	CO	PCT	YDS	AVG	YDS	INT	FUM	FGP
MIA (def)	19.0	19	25	95	3.8	37	23	0.6	254	6.9	349	0.9	0.1	.00
NE (off)	28.3	24	28	114	4.1	38	26	0.7	304	8.0	418	0.8	0.8	.00
ALL GAMES			RUSHING			PASSING					TOT	TURNOVERS
	PTS	FD	AT	YDS	AVG	AT	CO	PCT	YDS	AVG	YDS	INT	FUM	FGP
MIA (off)	20.4	18	30	127	4.2	29	17	0.6	194	6.7	321	0.7	0.8	.00
NE (def)	21.2	23	25	117	4.7	39	24	0.6	297	7.6	414	1.3	0.7	.00
			RUSHING			PASSING					TOT	TURNOVERS
	PTS	FD	AT	YDS	AVG	AT	CO	PCT	YDS	AVG	YDS	INT	FUM	FGP
MIA (def)	19.2	19	25	92	3.7	37	22	0.6	247	6.7	339	0.9	0.2	.00
NE (off)	31.2	25	27	108	4.0	38	25	0.7	319	8.4	427	0.8	0.4	.00

SCORING AVERAGES:

MIAMI (away)	Q1	Q2	H1	Q3	Q4	OT	H2+OT
POINTS FOR	4.9	5.6	10.5	5.7	3.1	0.0	8.8
POINTS ALLOWED	3.9	5.3	9.2	2.3	7.6	0.0	9.9

NEW ENGLAND (home)	Q1	Q2	H1	Q3	Q4	OT	H2+OT
POINTS FOR	3.3	8.3	11.6	8.0	8.7	0.0	16.7
POINTS ALLOWED	2.2	2.8	5	3.3	9.8	0.0	13.1

MIAMI (all)	Q1	Q2	H1	Q3	Q4	OT	H2+OT
POINTS FOR	5.6	4.9	10.5	6.5	3.4	0.0	9.9
POINTS ALLOWED	3.3	6.0	9.3	2.4	7.4	0.2	10

NEW ENGLAND (all)	Q1	Q2	H1	Q3	Q4	OT	H2+OT
POINTS FOR	5.9	9.6	15.5	7.9	7.9	0.0	15.8
POINTS ALLOWED	4.5	4.9	9.4	3.6	8.2	0.0	11.8

VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

	OPEN	CURRENT	RATING	LINE	EDGE
	LV POINTSPREAD		VALUE INDEX	VALUE INDEX
MIAMI			51.5
NEW ENGLAND			60	-12.0	2.5
	LV OVER/UNDER		VALUE INDEX	VALUE INDEX
	OPEN	CURRENT	RATING	EDGE
OVER/UNDER			45.5	UNKNOWN

Updated Thu, Dec 22 10:30 PM EST

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