Matchup: Giants at Redskins
Time: 8:30pm ET
12/1 Free Pick: GIANTS PK (+105)
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Analysis: Ny Giants over WASHINGTON - The Redskins have seem to have mailed things in and one area which they are really struggling is protecting the QB. That works perfectly with for the Giants, who become a dangerous D when they are getting to the QB and it'll happen here.
New York is coming off a tough lost last week, 24-21 to the Cowboys. The Giants are 8-0 ATS (8.00 ppg) since Nov 20, 2005 when they lost 1-3 points last week (team=Giants and -3<=p:margin<0 and NB and date>=20051120).
Despite falling behind early, they committed to the running game with success. They had 202 rushing yards with Andre Brown going for 127 on 21 carries. The Giants are 9-0 ATS (7.72 ppg) since Jan 02, 2005 after a loss where they had a ball carrier with more than 20 carries (team=Giants and 20<max:p:rushes and p:L and date>=20050102).
Washington is able to be beat through the air though, allowing 12.3 yards per catch. The Giants are 14-0 ATS (11.5 ppg) since Sep 26, 1999 on the road if not favored by 9 or more when they are facing a team that has allowed at least 12 yards per completion season-to-date (team=Giants and A and line>-9 and 12<=Average(1.*passing yards@o:team and season) / Average(completions@o:team and season) and date>=19990926).
Their rushing defense is not that great either, and they are allowing 382 yards per game. The Giants are 7-0 ATS (13.14 ppg) since Sep 20, 2009 as a road dog or pick when facing a team that has allowed an average of at least 375 yards of offense per game season-to-date (team=Giants and A and 0<= line and 375<=Average(rushing yards+passing yards@o:team and season) and date>=20090920).
Washington is on short rest after a 27-6 loss to San Francisco Monday night. The Redskins are 0-8 ATS (-12.8 ppg) since Oct 10, 1993 after playing on Monday Night Football vs a non-divisional opponent (team=Redskins and p:day=Monday and p:NDIV and date>=19931010).
They allowed six sacks in that game and four the week prior against Philly. The Redskins are 0-6-2 ATS (-6.25 ppg) since Sep 21, 2003 at home when they suffered at least three sacks in each of the last two weeks (team=Redskins and H and 3<=po:sacks and 3<=ppo:sacks and NB and p:NB and date>=20030921).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: New York 27, WASHINGTON 17