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 Andy Iskoe´s Power Rankings  

LINEAR REGRESSION POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 New Orleans 119.17 0.49 119.42 118.93
2 New England 115.59 -1.54 114.82 116.36
3 Baltimore 111.61 3.95 113.58 109.63
4 Indianapolis 109.93 3.75 111.80 108.05
5 Atlanta 109.53 2.40 110.73 108.33
6 Denver 109.12 2.85 110.55 107.70
7 N.Y. Jets 108.30 -0.19 108.20 108.39
8 Miami 107.70 -1.27 107.06 108.33
9 Cincinnati 107.54 -1.29 106.89 108.18
10 Dallas 106.57 3.43 108.28 104.85
11 Minnesota 106.13 3.80 108.03 104.23
12 Philadelphia 104.83 2.05 105.85 103.80
13 Green Bay 104.07 1.73 104.94 103.21
14 San Diego 102.98 3.43 104.70 101.27
15 Pittsburgh 102.71 1.91 103.66 101.75
16 San Francisco 101.57 2.57 102.85 100.28
17 N.Y. Giants 101.30 0.79 101.70 100.91
18 Houston 101.14 5.46 103.87 98.41
19 Arizona 100.95 4.44 103.17 98.73
20 Chicago 100.68 3.20 102.28 99.08
21 Buffalo 96.67 0.92 97.13 96.21
22 Seattle 96.58 4.19 98.68 94.49
23 Carolina 93.41 1.15 93.98 92.83
24 Kansas City 89.45 2.47 90.69 88.22
25 Jacksonville 88.70 3.36 90.38 87.02
26 Cleveland 88.44 1.31 89.10 87.79
27 Tennessee 88.29 2.74 89.66 86.92
28 Washington 87.74 1.91 88.69 86.78
29 Oakland 87.14 -0.84 86.72 87.56
30 Detroit 86.89 1.57 87.67 86.10
31 Tampa Bay 85.59 2.78 86.98 84.20
32 St. Louis 79.70 4.28 81.84 77.56
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
 
AVERAGE LINE PLAYED AGAINST POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 New Orleans 106.94 0.49 107.18 106.69
2 New England 106.68 -1.54 105.91 107.45
3 Pittsburgh 106.19 1.91 107.15 105.24
4 Baltimore 105.10 3.95 107.07 103.12
5 Indianapolis 104.83 3.75 106.71 102.96
6 N.Y. Giants 104.61 0.79 105.00 104.21
7 Philadelphia 104.35 2.05 105.38 103.33
8 Dallas 104.33 3.43 106.05 102.62
9 Green Bay 103.36 1.73 104.22 102.49
10 San Diego 103.03 3.43 104.74 101.31
11 Minnesota 102.44 3.80 104.34 100.54
12 Arizona 101.60 4.44 103.82 99.38
13 Chicago 101.25 3.20 102.85 99.65
14 Tennessee 101.20 2.74 102.57 99.83
15 Atlanta 101.07 2.40 102.27 99.87
16 N.Y. Jets 100.95 -0.19 100.86 101.05
17 Cincinnati 100.15 -1.29 99.50 100.79
18 Houston 99.15 5.46 101.88 96.42
19 Washington 98.87 1.91 99.83 97.92
20 Denver 98.84 2.85 100.27 97.42
21 Jacksonville 98.81 3.36 100.49 97.13
22 Miami 98.71 -1.27 98.08 99.35
23 Carolina 98.26 1.15 98.84 97.69
24 Seattle 98.23 4.19 100.32 96.13
25 San Francisco 97.32 2.57 98.61 96.04
26 Buffalo 95.72 0.92 96.18 95.26
27 Kansas City 95.40 2.47 96.63 94.16
28 Cleveland 93.63 1.31 94.29 92.98
29 Tampa Bay 93.40 2.78 94.79 92.01
30 Detroit 92.64 1.57 93.43 91.86
31 Oakland 91.98 -0.84 91.56 92.40
32 St. Louis 90.94 4.28 93.08 88.80
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
 
AVERAGE RESULT VERSUS LINE POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 New Orleans 112.24 0.49 112.48 111.99
2 Denver 110.28 2.85 111.71 108.86
3 Miami 108.98 -1.27 108.35 109.62
4 New England 108.90 -1.54 108.13 109.67
5 Atlanta 108.45 2.40 109.65 107.25
6 Cincinnati 107.39 -1.29 106.75 108.04
7 N.Y. Jets 107.35 -0.19 107.25 107.44
8 Baltimore 106.51 3.95 108.49 104.54
9 Indianapolis 105.10 3.75 106.97 103.22
10 San Francisco 104.24 2.57 105.53 102.96
11 Minnesota 103.69 3.80 105.59 101.79
12 Dallas 102.24 3.43 103.95 100.52
13 Houston 101.99 5.46 104.72 99.26
14 Buffalo 100.95 0.92 101.41 100.49
15 Green Bay 100.72 1.73 101.58 99.85
16 Philadelphia 100.48 2.05 101.50 99.45
17 San Diego 99.95 3.43 101.67 98.24
18 Chicago 99.43 3.20 101.03 97.83
19 Arizona 99.34 4.44 101.56 97.12
20 Seattle 98.36 4.19 100.45 96.26
21 N.Y. Giants 96.69 0.79 97.09 96.30
22 Pittsburgh 96.52 1.91 97.47 95.56
23 Oakland 95.16 -0.84 94.74 95.58
24 Carolina 95.14 1.15 95.72 94.57
25 Cleveland 94.81 1.31 95.47 94.16
26 Detroit 94.24 1.57 95.03 93.46
27 Kansas City 94.06 2.47 95.29 92.82
28 Tampa Bay 92.18 2.78 93.57 90.79
29 Jacksonville 89.89 3.36 91.57 88.21
30 Washington 88.87 1.91 89.82 87.91
31 St. Louis 88.76 4.28 90.90 86.62
32 Tennessee 87.09 2.74 88.46 85.72
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
Updated Wed Nov 4 1:00 PM EDT
-- Explanation of Data Items --

Linear Regression Power Ratings - Based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.

Average Line Played Against Power Ratings - Uses a similar concept as the Linear Regression Power Ratings, but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.

Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings - Uses the concept described above for Average Line Played Against Power Ratings, but does so from the perspective of how a team has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins by 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of over-achievement and under-achievement by each team.

NOTES: Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road (away) Rating.

 


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