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Andy Iskoe┬┤s NFL Power Rankings

 
LINEAR REGRESSION POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 New Orleans 111.56 1.64 112.38 110.74
2 Kansas City 111.09 -0.53 110.83 111.36
3 Pittsburgh 110.12 3.86 112.05 108.19
4 L.A. Rams 110.06 3.63 111.88 108.25
5 Baltimore 108.39 3.72 110.25 106.53
6 Chicago 106.40 4.14 108.47 104.33
7 L.A. Chargers 104.19 1.70 105.04 103.34
8 New England 103.58 1.63 104.40 102.77
9 Seattle 103.52 5.10 106.07 100.97
10 Carolina 101.92 1.93 102.89 100.96
11 Tennessee 101.54 1.91 102.49 100.58
12 Houston 101.19 3.33 102.85 99.52
13 Denver 100.87 -1.91 99.91 101.82
14 Philadelphia 100.64 0.45 100.87 100.42
15 Dallas 100.47 2.65 101.80 99.15
16 Minnesota 100.26 4.13 102.32 98.19
17 Atlanta 100.16 3.36 101.84 98.48
18 Green Bay 99.83 2.50 101.08 98.58
19 Washington 99.60 0.02 99.61 99.59
20 Indianapolis 98.80 3.74 100.67 96.93
21 Cleveland 98.63 1.10 99.18 98.08
22 Cincinnati 97.48 1.19 98.08 96.89
23 Tampa Bay 96.39 1.51 97.15 95.64
24 Jacksonville 96.20 3.37 97.88 94.51
25 N.Y. Giants 95.06 -0.07 95.03 95.10
26 San Francisco 94.83 5.62 97.64 92.02
27 Detroit 94.58 3.83 96.49 92.66
28 N.Y. Jets 92.38 1.31 93.04 91.73
29 Miami 91.93 1.10 92.48 91.38
30 Arizona 91.16 2.64 92.48 89.84
31 Buffalo 90.26 2.49 91.50 89.01
32 Oakland 86.89 -3.38 85.20 88.58
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
 
AVERAGE LINE PLAYED AGAINST POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 L.A. Rams 107.18 3.63 109.00 105.37
2 New England 105.43 1.63 106.25 104.62
3 New Orleans 104.35 1.64 105.17 103.53
4 Kansas City 103.95 -0.53 103.69 104.22
5 Philadelphia 103.57 0.45 103.79 103.34
6 Pittsburgh 103.15 3.86 105.08 101.22
7 Minnesota 102.89 4.13 104.95 100.82
8 Atlanta 102.69 3.36 104.37 101.01
9 Green Bay 102.64 2.50 103.89 101.39
10 Baltimore 102.19 3.72 104.05 100.33
11 L.A. Chargers 102.17 1.70 103.02 101.32
12 Chicago 102.06 4.14 104.13 99.99
13 Jacksonville 101.76 3.37 103.44 100.07
14 Carolina 101.00 1.93 101.96 100.03
15 Houston 100.61 3.33 102.27 98.94
16 Cincinnati 100.19 1.19 100.79 99.60
17 Tampa Bay 99.24 1.51 100.00 98.49
18 Denver 98.98 -1.91 98.03 99.94
19 Washington 98.98 0.02 98.99 98.97
20 Dallas 98.93 2.65 100.25 97.60
21 Seattle 98.58 5.10 101.13 96.03
22 Detroit 98.52 3.83 100.43 96.60
23 Indianapolis 97.73 3.74 99.60 95.86
24 N.Y. Giants 97.54 -0.07 97.50 97.57
25 San Francisco 97.47 5.62 100.28 94.66
26 Cleveland 97.21 1.10 97.76 96.66
27 Tennessee 96.82 1.91 97.78 95.87
28 N.Y. Jets 96.23 1.31 96.89 95.58
29 Oakland 95.99 -3.38 94.30 97.68
30 Miami 95.42 1.10 95.97 94.87
31 Arizona 95.17 2.64 96.49 93.85
32 Buffalo 91.33 2.49 92.57 90.08
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
 
AVERAGE RESULT VERSUS LINE POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 New Orleans 107.21 1.64 108.03 106.39
2 Kansas City 107.14 -0.53 106.87 107.40
3 Pittsburgh 106.97 3.86 108.90 105.04
4 Baltimore 106.20 3.72 108.06 104.34
5 Seattle 104.94 5.10 107.49 102.39
6 Tennessee 104.72 1.91 105.67 103.76
7 Chicago 104.34 4.14 106.41 102.27
8 L.A. Rams 102.88 3.63 104.70 101.07
9 L.A. Chargers 102.02 1.70 102.87 101.17
10 Denver 101.88 -1.91 100.93 102.84
11 Dallas 101.54 2.65 102.87 100.22
12 Cleveland 101.42 1.10 101.97 100.87
13 Indianapolis 101.07 3.74 102.94 99.20
14 Carolina 100.93 1.93 101.89 99.96
15 Washington 100.62 0.02 100.63 100.61
16 Houston 100.58 3.33 102.25 98.92
17 Buffalo 98.93 2.49 100.17 97.68
18 New England 98.15 1.63 98.96 97.33
19 N.Y. Giants 97.52 -0.07 97.49 97.56
20 Atlanta 97.46 3.36 99.14 95.78
21 Minnesota 97.37 4.13 99.44 95.31
22 San Francisco 97.36 5.62 100.17 94.55
23 Cincinnati 97.29 1.19 97.89 96.70
24 Green Bay 97.19 2.50 98.44 95.94
25 Tampa Bay 97.15 1.51 97.90 96.39
26 Philadelphia 97.08 0.45 97.30 96.85
27 Miami 96.50 1.10 97.05 95.95
28 N.Y. Jets 96.15 1.31 96.81 95.50
29 Detroit 96.06 3.83 97.98 94.15
30 Arizona 95.99 2.64 97.31 94.67
31 Jacksonville 94.44 3.37 96.12 92.75
32 Oakland 90.90 -3.38 89.21 92.59
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
Updated Thu Nov 15 12:35 AM EDT

-- Explanation of Data Items --

Linear Regression Power Ratings - Based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.

Average Line Played Against Power Ratings - Uses a similar concept as the Linear Regression Power Ratings, but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.

Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings - Uses the concept described above for Average Line Played Against Power Ratings, but does so from the perspective of how a team has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins by 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of over-achievement and under-achievement by each team.

NOTES: Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road (away) Rating.