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 Andy Iskoe Power Rankings  

LINEAR REGRESSION POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 New England 118.87 -0.16 118.79 118.95
2 Indianapolis 111.54 4.10 113.59 109.49
3 Green Bay 109.64 -0.12 109.58 109.70
4 San Diego 109.34 2.98 110.83 107.85
5 Dallas 109.08 1.97 110.07 108.10
6 Jacksonville 106.83 4.41 109.03 104.62
7 N.Y. Giants 105.37 1.84 106.29 104.45
8 Philadelphia 105.31 0.53 105.58 105.05
9 Pittsburgh 105.08 1.40 105.78 104.38
10 Minnesota 104.03 3.94 106.00 102.06
11 Washington 103.26 3.78 105.15 101.37
12 Seattle 102.20 4.26 104.33 100.07
13 Chicago 101.48 2.46 102.71 100.25
14 Tampa Bay 100.81 1.38 101.50 100.12
15 Tennessee 100.52 2.63 101.83 99.20
16 Houston 99.95 2.71 101.31 98.60
17 Cleveland 98.82 1.34 99.49 98.15
18 Cincinnati 97.49 -0.28 97.35 97.63
19 New Orleans 97.44 -1.73 96.57 98.30
20 Detroit 96.65 2.76 98.03 95.27
21 Denver 96.17 3.76 98.05 94.29
22 N.Y. Jets 96.11 0.77 96.50 95.73
23 Arizona 96.02 2.71 97.37 94.66
24 Buffalo 95.71 1.46 96.44 94.98
25 Kansas City 94.66 5.12 97.22 92.10
26 Carolina 94.15 -2.10 93.10 95.20
27 Oakland 94.14 1.28 94.78 93.50
28 Baltimore 93.14 4.55 95.42 90.87
29 Miami 91.44 4.00 93.44 89.44
30 Atlanta 89.47 0.43 89.69 89.26
31 San Francisco 88.21 3.69 90.06 86.37
32 St. Louis 87.06 2.98 88.55 85.57
NFL Average 100.00 2.15 101.08 98.92
 
AVERAGE LINE PLAYED AGAINST POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 New England 114.07 -0.16 113.99 114.15
2 Indianapolis 107.22 4.10 109.27 105.17
3 Dallas 105.94 1.97 106.92 104.95
4 San Diego 105.21 2.98 106.70 103.72
5 Pittsburgh 105.04 1.40 105.74 104.34
6 Jacksonville 102.33 4.41 104.54 100.13
7 Green Bay 102.24 -0.12 102.18 102.30
8 Seattle 101.92 4.26 104.05 99.79
9 Philadelphia 101.68 0.53 101.94 101.41
10 New Orleans 101.49 -1.73 100.62 102.35
11 Tennessee 100.79 2.63 102.11 99.48
12 N.Y. Giants 100.66 1.84 101.58 99.74
13 Cincinnati 100.65 -0.28 100.51 100.79
14 Washington 100.34 3.78 102.23 98.45
15 Denver 100.28 3.76 102.16 98.40
16 Chicago 99.91 2.46 101.14 98.68
17 Tampa Bay 99.61 1.38 100.30 98.92
18 Minnesota 99.46 3.94 101.43 97.49
19 Baltimore 99.18 4.55 101.45 96.90
20 Cleveland 98.84 1.34 99.51 98.17
21 Houston 98.44 2.71 99.79 97.08
22 Arizona 98.18 2.71 99.54 96.83
23 Detroit 97.79 2.76 99.17 96.41
24 Carolina 97.08 -2.10 96.03 98.13
25 Kansas City 96.55 5.12 99.11 93.99
26 N.Y. Jets 96.50 0.77 96.89 96.12
27 Buffalo 96.27 1.46 97.00 95.54
28 Oakland 95.47 1.28 96.11 94.83
29 Miami 94.87 4.00 96.87 92.87
30 St. Louis 94.71 2.98 96.20 93.22
31 Atlanta 93.96 0.43 94.18 93.75
32 San Francisco 93.35 3.69 95.19 91.50
NFL Average 100.00 2.15 101.08 98.92
 
AVERAGE RESULT VERSUS LINE POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Green Bay 107.40 -0.12 107.34 107.46
2 New England 104.80 -0.16 104.72 104.88
3 N.Y. Giants 104.71 1.84 105.63 103.79
4 Minnesota 104.58 3.94 106.55 102.61
5 Jacksonville 104.50 4.41 106.70 102.29
6 Indianapolis 104.32 4.10 106.37 102.27
7 San Diego 104.13 2.98 105.62 102.64
8 Philadelphia 103.63 0.53 103.90 103.37
9 Dallas 103.15 1.97 104.13 102.16
10 Washington 102.92 3.78 104.81 101.03
11 Chicago 101.57 2.46 102.80 100.34
12 Houston 101.51 2.71 102.87 100.16
13 Tampa Bay 101.20 1.38 101.89 100.51
14 Seattle 100.29 4.26 102.42 98.16
15 Pittsburgh 100.04 1.40 100.74 99.34
16 Cleveland 99.98 1.34 100.65 99.31
17 Tennessee 99.72 2.63 101.04 98.41
18 N.Y. Jets 99.61 0.77 99.99 99.22
19 Buffalo 99.44 1.46 100.17 98.71
20 Detroit 98.87 2.76 100.25 97.49
21 Oakland 98.67 1.28 99.31 98.03
22 Kansas City 98.11 5.12 100.67 95.55
23 Arizona 97.83 2.71 99.19 96.48
24 Carolina 97.08 -2.10 96.03 98.13
25 Cincinnati 96.85 -0.28 96.71 96.99
26 Miami 96.57 4.00 98.57 94.57
27 New Orleans 95.95 -1.73 95.08 96.81
28 Denver 95.89 3.76 97.77 94.01
29 Atlanta 95.51 0.43 95.72 95.29
30 San Francisco 94.86 3.69 96.71 93.02
31 Baltimore 93.97 4.55 96.24 91.69
32 St. Louis 92.35 2.98 93.84 90.86
NFL Average 100.00 2.15 101.08 98.92
 
Updated: Wed, Feb 13, 2008 at 12:25 PM EDT
 
-- Explanation of Data Items --

Linear Regression Power Ratings - Based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.

Average Line Played Against Power Ratings - Uses a similar concept as the Linear Regression Power Ratings, but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.

Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings - Uses the concept described above for Average Line Played Against Power Ratings, but does so from the perspective of how a team has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins by 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of over-achievement and under-achievement by each team.

NOTES: Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road (away) Rating.

 
 
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