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Andy Iskoe┬┤s NFL Power Rankings

 
LINEAR REGRESSION POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 New Orleans 109.69 1.64 110.51 108.87
2 Kansas City 109.07 -0.53 108.81 109.34
3 L.A. Rams 108.72 3.63 110.53 106.90
4 New England 106.52 1.63 107.33 105.70
5 Baltimore 106.47 3.72 108.33 104.61
6 Chicago 106.11 4.14 108.18 104.04
7 L.A. Chargers 105.57 1.70 106.42 104.72
8 Pittsburgh 105.47 3.86 107.40 103.54
9 Seattle 104.21 5.10 106.76 101.66
10 Indianapolis 103.50 3.74 105.37 101.63
11 Houston 103.17 3.33 104.83 101.50
12 Philadelphia 102.13 0.45 102.35 101.90
13 Dallas 101.33 2.65 102.66 100.01
14 Carolina 100.82 1.93 101.79 99.86
15 Minnesota 100.70 4.13 102.77 98.64
16 Tennessee 100.27 1.91 101.22 99.31
17 Atlanta 99.80 3.36 101.48 98.12
18 Cleveland 99.47 1.10 100.02 98.92
19 Denver 99.35 -1.91 98.40 100.31
20 N.Y. Giants 97.83 -0.07 97.79 97.86
21 Green Bay 97.37 2.50 98.62 96.12
22 Tampa Bay 97.33 1.51 98.09 96.58
23 Detroit 97.11 3.83 99.03 95.20
24 Cincinnati 96.43 1.19 97.03 95.84
25 Jacksonville 96.08 3.37 97.76 94.39
26 Washington 95.07 0.02 95.08 95.06
27 San Francisco 94.43 5.62 97.24 91.62
28 Buffalo 93.23 2.49 94.48 91.99
29 N.Y. Jets 92.33 1.31 92.99 91.68
30 Miami 91.34 1.10 91.89 90.79
31 Oakland 90.59 -3.38 88.90 92.28
32 Arizona 88.47 2.64 89.79 87.15
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
 
AVERAGE LINE PLAYED AGAINST POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 L.A. Rams 107.65 3.63 109.46 105.83
2 New Orleans 106.37 1.64 107.19 105.55
3 New England 106.26 1.63 107.08 105.45
4 Kansas City 105.15 -0.53 104.89 105.42
5 L.A. Chargers 103.99 1.70 104.84 103.14
6 Pittsburgh 103.67 3.86 105.60 101.74
7 Baltimore 103.07 3.72 104.93 101.21
8 Minnesota 102.71 4.13 104.77 100.64
9 Chicago 102.47 4.14 104.54 100.40
10 Green Bay 102.08 2.50 103.33 100.83
11 Houston 101.69 3.33 103.35 100.02
12 Atlanta 101.47 3.36 103.15 99.79
13 Philadelphia 101.41 0.45 101.64 101.19
14 Seattle 100.70 5.10 103.25 98.15
15 Carolina 100.20 1.93 101.17 99.24
16 Jacksonville 99.76 3.37 101.44 98.07
17 Indianapolis 99.57 3.74 101.44 97.70
18 Dallas 99.26 2.65 100.58 97.93
19 Denver 99.20 -1.91 98.25 100.16
20 Tennessee 98.99 1.91 99.95 98.04
21 Cleveland 98.00 1.10 98.55 97.45
22 N.Y. Giants 97.55 -0.07 97.51 97.58
23 Tampa Bay 97.49 1.51 98.24 96.73
24 Detroit 97.47 3.83 99.38 95.55
25 Cincinnati 97.41 1.19 98.01 96.82
26 San Francisco 96.78 5.62 99.59 93.97
27 Washington 96.56 0.02 96.57 96.55
28 N.Y. Jets 95.22 1.31 95.87 94.56
29 Miami 95.20 1.10 95.75 94.65
30 Oakland 94.92 -3.38 93.23 96.61
31 Arizona 93.89 2.64 95.21 92.57
32 Buffalo 93.82 2.49 95.07 92.58
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
 
AVERAGE RESULT VERSUS LINE POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Indianapolis 103.93 3.74 105.80 102.06
2 Kansas City 103.92 -0.53 103.66 104.19
3 Chicago 103.64 4.14 105.71 101.57
4 Seattle 103.51 5.10 106.06 100.96
5 Baltimore 103.40 3.72 105.26 101.54
6 New Orleans 103.32 1.64 104.14 102.50
7 Dallas 102.08 2.65 103.40 100.75
8 Pittsburgh 101.80 3.86 103.73 99.87
9 L.A. Chargers 101.57 1.70 102.42 100.72
10 Houston 101.48 3.33 103.14 99.81
11 Cleveland 101.47 1.10 102.02 100.92
12 Tennessee 101.28 1.91 102.23 100.32
13 L.A. Rams 101.07 3.63 102.89 99.26
14 Philadelphia 100.71 0.45 100.94 100.49
15 Carolina 100.62 1.93 101.58 99.65
16 N.Y. Giants 100.28 -0.07 100.25 100.32
17 New England 100.26 1.63 101.07 99.44
18 Denver 100.15 -1.91 99.20 101.11
19 Tampa Bay 99.85 1.51 100.60 99.09
20 Detroit 99.64 3.83 101.56 97.73
21 Buffalo 99.41 2.49 100.66 98.17
22 Cincinnati 99.02 1.19 99.62 98.43
23 Washington 98.51 0.02 98.52 98.50
24 Atlanta 98.32 3.36 100.00 96.64
25 Minnesota 97.99 4.13 100.06 95.93
26 San Francisco 97.65 5.62 100.46 94.84
27 N.Y. Jets 97.11 1.31 97.77 96.46
28 Jacksonville 96.32 3.37 98.00 94.63
29 Miami 96.15 1.10 96.70 95.60
30 Oakland 95.68 -3.38 93.99 97.37
31 Green Bay 95.29 2.50 96.54 94.04
32 Arizona 94.57 2.64 95.89 93.25
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
Updated Mon Jan 28 12:55 PM EDT

-- Explanation of Data Items --

Linear Regression Power Ratings - Based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.

Average Line Played Against Power Ratings - Uses a similar concept as the Linear Regression Power Ratings, but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.

Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings - Uses the concept described above for Average Line Played Against Power Ratings, but does so from the perspective of how a team has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins by 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of over-achievement and under-achievement by each team.

NOTES: Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road (away) Rating.