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Andy Iskoe┬┤s NFL Power Rankings

 
LINEAR REGRESSION POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Philadelphia 111.12 2.14 112.19 110.05
2 New England 109.57 2.23 110.69 108.46
3 New Orleans 108.88 2.18 109.97 107.79
4 L.A. Rams 108.13 1.92 109.09 107.17
5 Minnesota 107.64 3.84 109.56 105.72
6 Jacksonville 106.22 3.14 107.79 104.65
7 Atlanta 105.27 1.71 106.13 104.42
8 Pittsburgh 104.68 3.27 106.31 103.04
9 Carolina 104.45 1.64 105.27 103.63
10 L.A. Chargers 103.88 0.95 104.36 103.41
11 Kansas City 103.22 0.37 103.41 103.04
12 Baltimore 103.13 4.71 105.49 100.78
13 Detroit 102.48 2.74 103.85 101.11
14 Seattle 101.88 3.29 103.53 100.24
15 Dallas 101.86 -0.46 101.63 102.09
16 Washington 98.83 -0.03 98.81 98.84
17 Tampa Bay 98.80 1.67 99.63 97.96
18 Chicago 98.56 4.19 100.65 96.46
19 Green Bay 97.87 4.64 100.19 95.55
20 San Francisco 97.10 4.49 99.34 94.85
21 Buffalo 96.34 2.02 97.35 95.33
22 Tennessee 96.31 2.55 97.58 95.03
23 Arizona 96.22 0.38 96.41 96.03
24 Oakland 95.52 1.01 96.02 95.01
25 N.Y. Jets 95.27 2.23 96.38 94.15
26 Cincinnati 94.76 1.35 95.44 94.09
27 Miami 93.96 2.28 95.10 92.82
28 Denver 93.52 2.20 94.62 92.42
29 Houston 93.37 2.00 94.37 92.37
30 N.Y. Giants 92.65 2.12 93.71 91.59
31 Indianapolis 89.71 1.94 90.68 88.74
32 Cleveland 88.78 0.96 89.26 88.30
NFL Average 100.00 2.18 101.09 98.91
 
AVERAGE LINE PLAYED AGAINST POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 New England 108.72 2.23 109.83 107.60
2 Pittsburgh 105.22 3.27 106.86 103.59
3 Atlanta 104.45 1.71 105.31 103.60
4 Kansas City 104.12 0.37 104.31 103.94
5 Philadelphia 103.90 2.14 104.97 102.83
6 Minnesota 103.82 3.84 105.74 101.90
7 New Orleans 103.78 2.18 104.87 102.69
8 Dallas 102.62 -0.46 102.39 102.85
9 Seattle 102.00 3.29 103.64 100.35
10 L.A. Rams 101.87 1.92 102.83 100.91
11 L.A. Chargers 101.79 0.95 102.26 101.31
12 Carolina 101.63 1.64 102.45 100.81
13 Baltimore 101.06 4.71 103.42 98.71
14 Oakland 100.76 1.01 101.27 100.26
15 Jacksonville 100.72 3.14 102.29 99.15
16 Denver 100.61 2.20 101.71 99.51
17 Detroit 100.44 2.74 101.81 99.07
18 Washington 100.09 -0.03 100.08 100.11
19 Tennessee 99.55 2.55 100.83 98.28
20 Green Bay 99.02 4.64 101.34 96.70
21 Tampa Bay 98.55 1.67 99.39 97.72
22 Cincinnati 98.29 1.35 98.97 97.62
23 Buffalo 97.95 2.02 98.96 96.94
24 Arizona 97.39 0.38 97.58 97.20
25 Miami 96.67 2.28 97.81 95.53
26 N.Y. Giants 96.37 2.12 97.43 95.31
27 Chicago 95.96 4.19 98.05 93.86
28 Houston 95.92 2.00 96.92 94.92
29 San Francisco 95.12 4.49 97.36 92.87
30 N.Y. Jets 94.77 2.23 95.89 93.66
31 Indianapolis 93.57 1.94 94.54 92.60
32 Cleveland 93.26 0.96 93.74 92.78
NFL Average 100.00 2.18 101.09 98.91
 
AVERAGE RESULT VERSUS LINE POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Philadelphia 107.22 2.14 108.29 106.15
2 L.A. Rams 106.26 1.92 107.22 105.30
3 Jacksonville 105.50 3.14 107.07 103.93
4 New Orleans 105.10 2.18 106.19 104.01
5 Minnesota 103.82 3.84 105.74 101.90
6 Carolina 102.82 1.64 103.64 102.00
7 Chicago 102.60 4.19 104.70 100.51
8 L.A. Chargers 102.10 0.95 102.57 101.62
9 Baltimore 102.07 4.71 104.42 99.71
10 Detroit 102.04 2.74 103.41 100.67
11 San Francisco 101.98 4.49 104.23 99.74
12 New England 100.85 2.23 101.97 99.74
13 Atlanta 100.82 1.71 101.68 99.97
14 N.Y. Jets 100.50 2.23 101.61 99.38
15 Tampa Bay 100.25 1.67 101.08 99.41
16 Seattle 99.88 3.29 101.53 98.24
17 Pittsburgh 99.45 3.27 101.09 97.82
18 Dallas 99.25 -0.46 99.02 99.48
19 Kansas City 99.10 0.37 99.29 98.92
20 Green Bay 98.85 4.64 101.17 96.53
21 Arizona 98.84 0.38 99.03 98.65
22 Washington 98.73 -0.03 98.72 98.75
23 Buffalo 98.40 2.02 99.41 97.39
24 Houston 97.45 2.00 98.45 96.45
25 Miami 97.29 2.28 98.43 96.15
26 Tennessee 96.76 2.55 98.03 95.48
27 Cincinnati 96.47 1.35 97.15 95.80
28 N.Y. Giants 96.28 2.12 97.34 95.22
29 Indianapolis 96.14 1.94 97.11 95.17
30 Cleveland 95.51 0.96 95.99 95.03
31 Oakland 94.75 1.01 95.26 94.25
32 Denver 92.91 2.20 94.01 91.81
NFL Average 100.00 2.18 101.09 98.91
Updated Fri Jan 26 12:35 PM EDT

-- Explanation of Data Items --

Linear Regression Power Ratings - Based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.

Average Line Played Against Power Ratings - Uses a similar concept as the Linear Regression Power Ratings, but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.

Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings - Uses the concept described above for Average Line Played Against Power Ratings, but does so from the perspective of how a team has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins by 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of over-achievement and under-achievement by each team.

NOTES: Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road (away) Rating.