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Andy Iskoe┬┤s NFL Power Rankings

 
LINEAR REGRESSION POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Kansas City 112.52 0.37 112.71 112.34
2 New Orleans 108.78 2.18 109.87 107.69
3 Philadelphia 108.52 2.14 109.59 107.45
4 Jacksonville 107.92 3.14 109.49 106.35
5 New England 106.61 2.23 107.72 105.49
6 Houston 106.38 2.00 107.38 105.38
7 Carolina 104.79 1.64 105.61 103.97
8 Minnesota 104.45 3.84 106.37 102.53
9 L.A. Rams 103.91 1.92 104.87 102.95
10 Washington 103.88 -0.03 103.87 103.90
11 Buffalo 103.75 2.02 104.76 102.74
12 Detroit 103.18 2.74 104.55 101.81
13 Pittsburgh 102.96 3.27 104.60 101.33
14 Atlanta 101.96 1.71 102.82 101.11
15 Denver 101.47 2.20 102.57 100.37
16 Green Bay 101.34 4.64 103.66 99.02
17 L.A. Chargers 99.80 0.95 100.27 99.32
18 Seattle 99.49 3.29 101.13 97.84
19 Cincinnati 99.14 1.35 99.81 98.46
20 Oakland 98.57 1.01 99.07 98.06
21 Tampa Bay 97.77 1.67 98.60 96.93
22 Dallas 97.37 -0.46 97.14 97.60
23 N.Y. Giants 96.85 2.12 97.91 95.79
24 Baltimore 96.49 4.71 98.85 94.14
25 N.Y. Jets 96.40 2.23 97.52 95.29
26 Miami 95.86 2.28 97.00 94.72
27 Tennessee 95.36 2.55 96.63 94.08
28 Chicago 93.66 4.19 95.76 91.57
29 San Francisco 91.88 4.49 94.13 89.64
30 Arizona 90.28 0.38 90.47 90.09
31 Cleveland 86.72 0.96 87.20 86.24
32 Indianapolis 81.94 1.94 82.91 80.97
NFL Average 100.00 2.18 101.09 98.91
 
AVERAGE LINE PLAYED AGAINST POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 New England 108.32 2.23 109.44 107.21
2 Atlanta 106.01 1.71 106.87 105.16
3 Denver 105.18 2.20 106.28 104.08
4 Dallas 105.01 -0.46 104.78 105.24
5 Pittsburgh 104.13 3.27 105.76 102.49
6 Green Bay 104.10 4.64 106.42 101.78
7 Kansas City 103.65 0.37 103.83 103.46
8 Oakland 102.56 1.01 103.06 102.05
9 Tampa Bay 102.16 1.67 103.00 101.33
10 Seattle 101.57 3.29 103.21 99.92
11 Carolina 101.08 1.64 101.90 100.26
12 Philadelphia 100.88 2.14 101.95 99.81
13 Tennessee 100.77 2.55 102.05 99.50
14 Cincinnati 100.50 1.35 101.17 99.82
15 Minnesota 100.43 3.84 102.35 98.51
16 L.A. Chargers 100.22 0.95 100.69 99.74
17 Baltimore 100.20 4.71 102.55 97.84
18 New Orleans 100.01 2.18 101.10 98.92
19 Arizona 99.05 0.38 99.24 98.86
20 Houston 98.94 2.00 99.94 97.94
21 Washington 98.88 -0.03 98.87 98.90
22 L.A. Rams 98.82 1.92 99.78 97.86
23 Detroit 98.58 2.74 99.95 97.21
24 N.Y. Giants 98.42 2.12 99.48 97.36
25 Buffalo 98.17 2.02 99.18 97.16
26 Jacksonville 97.33 3.14 98.90 95.76
27 Miami 97.12 2.28 98.26 95.98
28 Chicago 96.59 4.19 98.68 94.49
29 Cleveland 93.58 0.96 94.06 93.10
30 N.Y. Jets 93.10 2.23 94.21 91.98
31 Indianapolis 92.63 1.94 93.60 91.66
32 San Francisco 92.00 4.49 94.25 89.76
NFL Average 100.00 2.18 101.09 98.91
 
AVERAGE RESULT VERSUS LINE POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Jacksonville 110.59 3.14 112.16 109.02
2 Kansas City 108.88 0.37 109.06 108.69
3 New Orleans 108.77 2.18 109.86 107.68
4 Philadelphia 107.64 2.14 108.71 106.57
5 Houston 107.44 2.00 108.44 106.44
6 Buffalo 105.58 2.02 106.59 104.57
7 L.A. Rams 105.09 1.92 106.05 104.13
8 Washington 105.00 -0.03 104.98 105.01
9 Detroit 104.60 2.74 105.97 103.23
10 Minnesota 104.02 3.84 105.94 102.10
11 Carolina 103.71 1.64 104.53 102.89
12 N.Y. Jets 103.31 2.23 104.42 102.19
13 San Francisco 99.88 4.49 102.12 97.63
14 L.A. Chargers 99.58 0.95 100.06 99.11
15 Pittsburgh 98.83 3.27 100.47 97.20
16 Miami 98.74 2.28 99.88 97.60
17 Cincinnati 98.64 1.35 99.31 97.96
18 N.Y. Giants 98.43 2.12 99.49 97.37
19 New England 98.28 2.23 99.40 97.17
20 Seattle 97.92 3.29 99.56 96.27
21 Green Bay 97.24 4.64 99.56 94.92
22 Chicago 97.08 4.19 99.17 94.98
23 Baltimore 96.30 4.71 98.65 93.94
24 Denver 96.29 2.20 97.39 95.19
25 Oakland 96.01 1.01 96.51 95.50
26 Atlanta 95.95 1.71 96.80 95.09
27 Tampa Bay 95.61 1.67 96.44 94.77
28 Tennessee 94.58 2.55 95.86 93.31
29 Cleveland 93.14 0.96 93.62 92.66
30 Dallas 92.36 -0.46 92.13 92.59
31 Arizona 91.23 0.38 91.42 91.04
32 Indianapolis 89.31 1.94 90.28 88.34
NFL Average 100.00 2.18 101.09 98.91
Updated Wed Oct 18 12:05 PM EDT

-- Explanation of Data Items --

Linear Regression Power Ratings - Based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.

Average Line Played Against Power Ratings - Uses a similar concept as the Linear Regression Power Ratings, but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.

Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings - Uses the concept described above for Average Line Played Against Power Ratings, but does so from the perspective of how a team has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins by 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of over-achievement and under-achievement by each team.

NOTES: Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road (away) Rating.