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 Andy Iskoe´s Power Rankings  

LINEAR REGRESSION POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 New England 113.81 -1.54 113.04 114.58
2 New Orleans 112.81 0.49 113.06 112.57
3 Indianapolis 112.06 3.75 113.93 110.18
4 Baltimore 108.00 3.95 109.98 106.03
5 Cincinnati 107.84 -1.29 107.20 108.49
6 Minnesota 105.80 3.80 107.70 103.90
7 Arizona 105.44 4.44 107.66 103.22
8 Atlanta 105.41 2.40 106.61 104.21
9 Dallas 105.20 3.43 106.92 103.49
10 N.Y. Jets 105.08 -0.19 104.98 105.17
11 Pittsburgh 104.89 1.91 105.84 103.93
12 Philadelphia 103.94 2.05 104.96 102.91
13 Miami 103.46 -1.27 102.83 104.10
14 Houston 102.98 5.46 105.71 100.25
15 Green Bay 102.77 1.73 103.63 101.90
16 Denver 102.58 2.85 104.01 101.16
17 San Diego 102.28 3.43 104.00 100.57
18 N.Y. Giants 101.76 0.79 102.15 101.36
19 San Francisco 101.25 2.57 102.54 99.97
20 Chicago 98.32 3.20 99.92 96.72
21 Seattle 98.03 4.19 100.12 95.93
22 Carolina 97.25 1.15 97.82 96.67
23 Tennessee 95.08 2.74 96.45 93.71
24 Jacksonville 94.28 3.36 95.96 92.60
25 Buffalo 93.13 0.92 93.59 92.67
26 Washington 92.37 1.91 93.32 91.41
27 Tampa Bay 90.52 2.78 91.91 89.13
28 Kansas City 89.57 2.47 90.81 88.34
29 Cleveland 87.15 1.31 87.80 86.49
30 Detroit 87.10 1.57 87.89 86.32
31 Oakland 85.67 -0.84 85.25 86.09
32 St. Louis 84.16 4.28 86.30 82.02
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
 
AVERAGE LINE PLAYED AGAINST POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 New Orleans 106.99 0.49 107.24 106.75
2 New England 106.73 -1.54 105.96 107.50
3 Indianapolis 105.96 3.75 107.84 104.09
4 Pittsburgh 105.58 1.91 106.54 104.63
5 Baltimore 104.77 3.95 106.74 102.79
6 N.Y. Giants 104.73 0.79 105.12 104.33
7 Dallas 104.08 3.43 105.80 102.37
8 Philadelphia 104.05 2.05 105.07 103.02
9 Minnesota 102.96 3.80 104.86 101.06
10 Green Bay 102.89 1.73 103.75 102.02
11 San Diego 102.81 3.43 104.53 101.10
12 Arizona 102.23 4.44 104.45 100.01
13 Atlanta 101.62 2.40 102.82 100.42
14 N.Y. Jets 101.57 -0.19 101.47 101.66
15 Tennessee 100.89 2.74 102.26 99.52
16 Chicago 100.80 3.20 102.40 99.20
17 Cincinnati 100.09 -1.29 99.45 100.74
18 Denver 99.45 2.85 100.88 98.03
19 Houston 99.45 5.46 102.18 96.72
20 San Francisco 99.43 2.57 100.71 98.14
21 Miami 99.10 -1.27 98.47 99.74
22 Jacksonville 98.90 3.36 100.58 97.22
23 Seattle 98.67 4.19 100.77 96.58
24 Carolina 97.97 1.15 98.55 97.40
25 Washington 97.51 1.91 98.47 96.56
26 Buffalo 95.49 0.92 95.95 95.03
27 Kansas City 94.20 2.47 95.44 92.97
28 Cleveland 93.53 1.31 94.19 92.88
29 Tampa Bay 92.67 2.78 94.06 91.28
30 Oakland 92.48 -0.84 92.06 92.90
31 St. Louis 91.27 4.28 93.41 89.13
32 Detroit 91.12 1.57 91.91 90.34
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
 
AVERAGE RESULT VERSUS LINE POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Cincinnati 107.75 -1.29 107.11 108.40
2 New England 107.09 -1.54 106.32 107.86
3 Indianapolis 106.09 3.75 107.97 104.22
4 New Orleans 105.82 0.49 106.06 105.57
5 Miami 104.36 -1.27 103.73 105.00
6 Atlanta 103.79 2.40 104.99 102.59
7 Houston 103.53 5.46 106.26 100.80
8 N.Y. Jets 103.51 -0.19 103.41 103.60
9 Baltimore 103.24 3.95 105.21 101.26
10 Arizona 103.21 4.44 105.43 100.99
11 Denver 103.13 2.85 104.55 101.70
12 Minnesota 102.84 3.80 104.74 100.94
13 San Francisco 101.83 2.57 103.11 100.54
14 Dallas 101.12 3.43 102.83 99.40
15 Philadelphia 99.89 2.05 100.91 98.86
16 Green Bay 99.88 1.73 100.75 99.02
17 San Diego 99.47 3.43 101.18 97.75
18 Seattle 99.36 4.19 101.45 97.26
19 Pittsburgh 99.31 1.91 100.26 98.35
20 Carolina 99.27 1.15 99.85 98.70
21 Tampa Bay 97.85 2.78 99.24 96.46
22 Buffalo 97.64 0.92 98.10 97.18
23 Chicago 97.52 3.20 99.12 95.92
24 N.Y. Giants 97.03 0.79 97.43 96.64
25 Detroit 95.98 1.57 96.77 95.20
26 Kansas City 95.37 2.47 96.61 94.14
27 Jacksonville 95.37 3.36 97.05 93.69
28 Washington 94.86 1.91 95.81 93.90
29 Tennessee 94.19 2.74 95.56 92.82
30 Cleveland 93.62 1.31 94.27 92.96
31 Oakland 93.20 -0.84 92.78 93.62
32 St. Louis 92.89 4.28 95.03 90.75
NFL Average 100.00 2.12 101.06 98.94
Updated Wed Nov 18 1:20 PM EDT
-- Explanation of Data Items --

Linear Regression Power Ratings - Based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.

Average Line Played Against Power Ratings - Uses a similar concept as the Linear Regression Power Ratings, but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.

Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings - Uses the concept described above for Average Line Played Against Power Ratings, but does so from the perspective of how a team has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins by 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of over-achievement and under-achievement by each team.

NOTES: Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road (away) Rating.

 


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