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Andy Iskoe┬┤s NFL Power Rankings

 
LINEAR REGRESSION POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Seattle 110.31 5.42 113.02 107.60
2 Cincinnati 110.19 2.23 111.30 109.07
3 Arizona 110.00 3.49 111.74 108.25
4 Kansas City 109.80 1.40 110.50 109.10
5 Carolina 109.68 -0.23 109.57 109.80
6 Pittsburgh 108.33 3.75 110.21 106.46
7 Denver 107.59 1.18 108.18 107.00
8 New England 107.47 3.23 109.09 105.86
9 Minnesota 106.04 3.76 107.92 104.16
10 Green Bay 105.81 5.66 108.64 102.98
11 N.Y. Jets 101.55 0.47 101.78 101.31
12 Oakland 100.11 1.67 100.94 99.27
13 Buffalo 100.06 3.74 101.93 98.19
14 Detroit 99.80 4.55 102.08 97.53
15 St. Louis 99.32 2.76 100.70 97.94
16 Chicago 98.76 3.33 100.43 97.10
17 Houston 98.30 2.11 99.35 97.24
18 Baltimore 97.87 5.16 100.45 95.29
19 San Diego 97.70 1.57 98.48 96.91
20 Washington 97.66 -0.70 97.31 98.01
21 N.Y. Giants 96.53 1.74 97.40 95.66
22 Atlanta 96.35 2.48 97.59 95.11
23 Philadelphia 95.35 0.84 95.77 94.93
24 San Francisco 93.98 3.27 95.61 92.34
25 Cleveland 93.67 2.03 94.68 92.65
26 Indianapolis 93.49 2.44 94.71 92.27
27 New Orleans 93.45 1.63 94.27 92.64
28 Miami 93.20 3.08 94.74 91.66
29 Dallas 93.15 -1.09 92.60 93.69
30 Jacksonville 92.53 0.52 92.79 92.27
31 Tampa Bay 92.41 2.40 93.61 91.21
32 Tennessee 89.54 2.66 90.87 88.21
NFL Average 100.00 2.39 101.20 98.80
 
AVERAGE LINE PLAYED AGAINST POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 New England 107.44 3.23 109.05 105.82
2 Seattle 105.60 5.42 108.31 102.89
3 Arizona 105.16 3.49 106.90 103.41
4 Carolina 104.00 -0.23 103.88 104.11
5 Green Bay 103.65 5.66 106.48 100.82
6 Cincinnati 103.61 2.23 104.73 102.50
7 Denver 102.95 1.18 103.54 102.36
8 Kansas City 102.82 1.40 103.52 102.12
9 Pittsburgh 102.21 3.75 104.08 100.33
10 N.Y. Jets 102.12 0.47 102.36 101.89
11 Philadelphia 101.04 0.84 101.46 100.62
12 Buffalo 100.88 3.74 102.75 99.01
13 Atlanta 100.35 2.48 101.59 99.11
14 Minnesota 99.87 3.76 101.75 97.99
15 Indianapolis 99.41 2.44 100.63 98.19
16 Houston 99.34 2.11 100.40 98.29
17 Detroit 98.96 4.55 101.23 96.68
18 St. Louis 98.90 2.76 100.28 97.52
19 Miami 98.88 3.08 100.42 97.34
20 N.Y. Giants 98.66 1.74 99.53 97.79
21 Dallas 98.41 -1.09 97.87 98.96
22 Baltimore 98.40 5.16 100.98 95.82
23 New Orleans 98.28 1.63 99.10 97.47
24 Oakland 97.88 1.67 98.71 97.04
25 San Diego 97.56 1.57 98.34 96.77
26 Jacksonville 97.18 0.52 97.44 96.92
27 Tampa Bay 97.01 2.40 98.21 95.81
28 Washington 96.98 -0.70 96.63 97.33
29 Chicago 96.36 3.33 98.02 94.69
30 Tennessee 96.20 2.66 97.53 94.87
31 Cleveland 95.50 2.03 96.52 94.49
32 San Francisco 94.40 3.27 96.03 92.76
NFL Average 100.00 2.39 101.20 98.80
 
AVERAGE RESULT VERSUS LINE POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Kansas City 106.98 1.40 107.68 106.28
2 Cincinnati 106.58 2.23 107.69 105.46
3 Minnesota 106.17 3.76 108.05 104.29
4 Pittsburgh 106.13 3.75 108.00 104.25
5 Carolina 105.69 -0.23 105.57 105.80
6 Arizona 104.84 3.49 106.59 103.10
7 Seattle 104.72 5.42 107.43 102.01
8 Denver 104.63 1.18 105.22 104.04
9 Chicago 102.40 3.33 104.07 100.74
10 Oakland 102.23 1.67 103.06 101.39
11 Green Bay 102.16 5.66 104.99 99.33
12 Detroit 100.84 4.55 103.12 98.57
13 Washington 100.68 -0.70 100.33 101.03
14 St. Louis 100.42 2.76 101.80 99.04
15 San Diego 100.14 1.57 100.93 99.36
16 New England 100.03 3.23 101.65 98.42
17 San Francisco 99.58 3.27 101.21 97.94
18 Baltimore 99.47 5.16 102.05 96.89
19 N.Y. Jets 99.42 0.47 99.66 99.19
20 Buffalo 99.18 3.74 101.05 97.31
21 Houston 98.96 2.11 100.01 97.90
22 Cleveland 98.17 2.03 99.18 97.15
23 N.Y. Giants 97.87 1.74 98.74 97.00
24 Atlanta 96.00 2.48 97.24 94.76
25 Tampa Bay 95.40 2.40 96.60 94.20
26 Jacksonville 95.35 0.52 95.61 95.09
27 New Orleans 95.17 1.63 95.98 94.35
28 Dallas 94.74 -1.09 94.19 95.28
29 Miami 94.33 3.08 95.87 92.79
30 Philadelphia 94.31 0.84 94.73 93.89
31 Indianapolis 94.08 2.44 95.30 92.86
32 Tennessee 93.34 2.66 94.67 92.01
NFL Average 100.00 2.39 101.20 98.80
Updated Thu Feb 25 3:10 PM EDT

-- Explanation of Data Items --

Linear Regression Power Ratings - Based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.

Average Line Played Against Power Ratings - Uses a similar concept as the Linear Regression Power Ratings, but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.

Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings - Uses the concept described above for Average Line Played Against Power Ratings, but does so from the perspective of how a team has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins by 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of over-achievement and under-achievement by each team.

NOTES: Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road (away) Rating.