User ID
Password
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
VegasInsider.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Soccer
Golf
Auto
Horses
More
Betting Tools

 
Overtime Winners

New Sportsbook.ag customers: Make your 1st bet, get your 2nd bet free, 100%, winnings paid in cash.
Join Now

Already have an account? Click here to view new Exclusive Rewards!

Momentum is a funny notion in sports as fans think that teams coming off a win will perform well again the next game. What about if the previous contest went to overtime? Looking back through the first six weeks of this NFL season, backing clubs that pulled off an overtime victory aren't exactly the best bet the following week.

Seven games have gone past regulation this season, as the Bills and Lions are the most recent teams to win in overtime. Buffalo rallied past Arizona, 19-16, as Chan Gailey's club return home to battle Tennessee this Sunday, looking for a third victory in the favorite role this season. The Titans are coming off a last-second triumph over the Steelers as a home underdog, as Tennessee tries to win its first road game in four tries. Detroit overcame a 10-point deficit to stun Philadelphia, picking up just its second victory (and cover) of the season.

Advertisement
This season, the Vikings, Chiefs, Jets, Titans, and Cardinals all failed to cover and lost outright after capturing an overtime win. We'll look at each case one by one, starting with Minnesota, who beat Jacksonville in the season opener, while actually having to stop the Jags' offense on fourth down to knock them off in OT. The Vikings traveled to Indianapolis the following week and closed as three-point road favorites, but the Colts picked up a 23-20 win.

In Week 3, three teams went the extra mile for a win, including the first of the season for Kansas City and Tennessee. The Chiefs rallied from a 24-6 deficit at New Orleans to shock the Saints, 27-24 as nine-point underdogs. Romeo Crennel's team went home and was immediately blasted by the Chargers, 37-20 as short underdogs. The Titans held off the Lions in a wild 44-41 affair in Nashville, but couldn't follow up big play after big play in Houston the next week. The Texans crushed the Titans as 13-point favorites, 38-14, as Tennessee was never really in the game, while quarterback Jake Locker got knocked out with a shoulder injury.

The Jets couldn't build momentum off an overtime victory at Miami, as New York's anemic offense was exposed in a 34-0 home defeat to San Francisco. There seems to be barely any value in backing these overtime winners even as an underdog, as the Jets, Chiefs, and Titans all were receiving points (granted against significantly better competition), but San Diego and San Francisco were also off of double-digit losses.

The Cardinals put together a putrid performance in a Week 5 defeat as short road favorites at St. Louis, mustering just a field goal in a 17-3 defeat. Arizona had pulled off an overtime victory over Miami the previous week, but Ken Whisenhunt's club is now 0-3 ATS in the 'chalk' role.

Dating back to last season, teams off an overtime victory playing without a bye week finished 4-7 ATS. Arizona was responsible for two of those covers, including one as a 13 ½-point underdog at Philadelphia in an outright win. In Tim Tebow's first start for the Broncos at Miami, Denver pulled off an improbable comeback for an 18-15 overtime shocker. The next week, the Broncos were steamrolled as three-point home underdogs against the Lions, 45-10.

Is this merely a coincidence or is this turning into a trend? Twelve of the last 16 overtime winners not off a bye have failed to cover the following week since the start of 2011, so you be the judge heading into Thursday and moving forward this season.

You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at rogers@vegasinsider.com

Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.

  
HEADLINES
Lawrence: Inside the Stats - Week 8
Marshall: Tech Trends - Week 8
Simo: Seattle ruins teasers in Week 7
Cutler a slouch in City of Big Shoulders
Spiller has chance to return from injury
Bengals staggered by horrid performance
Vikes try to recover from defensive lapse
Giants rookie Beckham Jr. is rising star
Panthers' D still searching for answers
MORE HEADLINES
 
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
NFL Pro Football Handicapper Sports Picks Records
NFL Hot Streaks
9-2 Record Sunday, +1,369 TY
5-1 L6, 19-9 L6 Sundays, +1,225
6-0 L3 Sundays, 10-1 Win Streak
9-2 Last 11 Guarantees
6-3 L2 Sundays, 13-6 NFL Run
4-2 Sunday, 8-2 Guarantees TY
6-2 Over/Unders This Year
8-2 L10 Guaranteed Plays
4-1 Record Sunday
7-2 L9 G-Plays, 10-6 L16 Totals
5-1 NFL Week 7 Record
11-2 L13 Guaranteed Plays
3-1 Sunday, 6-1 L7 Selections
2-0 Monday, 10-1 L11 Guarantees
NFL Pro Football Expert Sports Picks- San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos
2014 NFL SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Antony Dinero + 1369
ASA + 1225
Bruce Marshall + 724
Last Week's Leaders
Handicapper Money
Jimmy Boyd + 390
Kevin Rogers + 390
Doc's Sports + 300
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
ASA 63 %
Doc's Sports 63 %
Brian Edwards 61 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Bruce Marshall + 1055
Antony Dinero + 649
Marc Lawrence + 643
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Antony Dinero + 695
ASA + 555
Brian Edwards + 384
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
ASA + 590
Doc's Sports + 580
The SportsBoss + 285
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!
VI Daily Fantasy NFL Perfect Lineup Contest