User ID
Password
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
VegasInsider.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Golf
Auto
Horses
Soccer
Boxing/MMA
More
Betting Tools

 
NFL Rewind - Week 9
Editor's Note: The SportsBoss joined the VegasInsider.com handicapping stable this football season. Start cashing tickets with his discounted season package. Click to win!

Nine weeks down, most teams have played eight games (eight have played nine and those teams will be split into 4's and have bye weeks over next two) - so close to the exact halfway point. This week I will not be updating any discussion below - I will be writing at least one additional NFL article this week discussing a new topic - but I still wanted to provide the updated numbers from all the charts I show below.

Performance Ratings (max grade is 160, 80 on offense and 80 on defense, calculated using 16 different stats with 5 points per stat being the best score = 16x5 = 80).

Performance Ratings
Category Offense Defense Total Team Blended
Wins Team Rating Rank Rating Rank Rating Rank SOS
7 HOU 50.9 3 49.3 3 100.2 1 24
6 SF 48.0 7 50.6 2 98.6 2 11
5 DEN 52.8 2 45.2 5 97.9 3 7
5 SEA 46.6 8 50.8 1 97.4 4 12
5 PIT 49.6 5 45.1 6 94.8 5 25
5 NE 57.1 1 34.6 22 91.6 6 22
7 CHI 41.6 18 49.3 4 90.9 7 30
6 GB 44.6 11 44.7 8 89.3 8 2 0
4 TB 45.1 10 39.3 13 84.4 9 27
8 ATL 48.8 6 35.5 20 84.3 10 15
4 DET 45.4 9 38.6 15 84.1 11 16
4 SD 42.3 15 41.7 10 84.0 12 32
3 DAL 41.8 17 41.5 11 83.3 13 3
3 PHI 42.6 13 39.6 12 82.3 14 14
3 WAS 50.4 4 30.2 28 80.7 15 26
6 NYG 43.3 12 36.1 18 79.4 16 13
4 MIA 35.9 27 43.5 9 79.4 16 30
6 BAL 42.6 13 34.3 24 76.9 18 19
1 KC 40.4 21 36.4 17 76.8 19 18
5 MIN 39.6 23 37.1 16 76.6 20 23
2 CAR 40.3 22 35.8 19 76.1 21 4
5 IND 41.2 20 33.1 27 74.3 22 31
4 ARI 28.9 31 44.8 7 73.8 23 10
3 NYJ 34.9 28 38.8 14 73.7 24 2
3 CIN 38.9 24 34.6 22 73.4 25 21
3 OAK 36.9 26 34.9 21 71.8 26 9
3 BUF 41.9 16 27.9 30 69.9 27 18
3 STL 33.4 29 33.2 26 66.6 28 1
2 CLE 30.9 30 34.2 25 65.2 29 30
3 NO 41.6 18 22.1 32 63.7 30 8
3 TEN 37.8 25 23.1 31 60.9 31 5
1 JAC 28.7 32 29.9 29 58.6 32 6

Next up, here are my projected standings after Wk9. As a reminder, this process involves playing out the entire season based on my power ratings for each team.

AFC East Wins Loss
NE 9.92 6.08
MIA 7.94 8.06
NYJ 6.80 9.20
BUF 6.65 9.36
NFC East Wins Loss
NYG 9.62 6.38
PHI 7.39 8.61
DAL 7.21 8.79
WAS 6.28 9.72
AFC North Wins Loss
PIT 10.90 5.10
BAL 9.33 6.67
CIN 6.28 9.72
CLE 4.34 11.66
NFC North Wins Loss
CHI 10.77 5.23
GB 10.21 5.79
DET 8.33 7.67
MIN 7.74 8.26
AFC South Wins Loss
HOU 13.05 2.96
IND 7.98 8.02
TEN 5.51 10.49
JAC 4.00 12.01
NFC South Wins Loss
ATL 12.37 3.63
TB 7.55 8.45
NO 6.05 9.95
CAR 5.63 10.37
AFC West Wins Loss
DEN 11.26 4.74
SD 7.54 8.46
OAK 6.88 9.12
KC 4.42 11.59
NFC West Wins Loss
SF 11.76 4.24
SEA 9.27 6.73
ARI 6.82 9.18
STL 6.22 9.78

AFC Playoff Picture
#1 Houston
#2 Denver
#3 Pittsburgh vs. #6 Indianapolis
#4 New England vs. #5 Baltimore

NFC Playoff Picture
#1 Atlanta
#2 San Francisco
#3 Chicago vs. #6 Seattle
#4 N.Y. Giants vs. #5 Green Bay

I have updated the power rating of nine teams, four up and four down, but maintained the balance in the ratings. Following those adjustments, and updating for actual wins and losses in Week 9, here are the teams that have a +/- 0.75 win move in the latest projections (since we are entering the second half of the season I will now show movement of 0.75 games because it is more significant; there will not be many one game moves going forward because of the less number of games remaining):

UP
PIT +1.5
SEA +1.1
NO +0.8

DOWN
DAL (1.0)
TEN (0.8)
NYG (0.8)

Last analysis for this week (I will post each week just like the standings above) is my power rankings. My rankings are comprised of a pair of numbers: one measures team performance in my performance ratings (discussed in the opener of this entry); two measures team performance vs. the spread. These two ratings are weighted and combined for my official power rankings. I will only provide the order of the teams, not the actual power ranking as that is for my eyes only because it is used in my weekly handicapping process as potential model plays.

Power Rankings - Week 10
Rank Team
1 Houston
2 San Francisco
3 Denver
4 Pittsburgh
5 New England
6 Seattle
6 Green Bay
8 Chicago
9 Atlanta
10 New York Giants
11 Detroit
12 Dallas
13 San Diego
14 Carolina
15 Philadelphia
15 Baltimore
17 New York Jets
17 Miami
19 Washington
19 New Orleans
19 Minnesota
19 Arizona
23 Tampa Bay
23 St. Louis
25 Oakland
26 Cincinnati
26 Buffalo
28 Kansas City
28 Indianapolis
30 Cleveland
31 Jacksonville
32 Tennessee

  
HEADLINES
News: Thursday's Preseason Tips
Lawrence: Week 3 Preseason Trends
Sportsbook: NFC West Win Totals
Mejia: Dinero Talks: Preseason Week 3
Sportsbook: NFC South Win Totals
Sportsbook: NFC North Win Totals
Nelson: Close Calls - Preseason Week 2
Lawrence: NFC Betting Preview
Lawrence: AFC Betting Preview
MORE HEADLINES
 
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
NFL Pro Football Handicapper Sports Picks Records
NFL Hot Streaks
3-1 G-Plays, 4-1 +315 L5 Picks
2-0 G-Plays, 5-2 Picks TY
9-4 NFL Totals TY
4-1 Last 5 NFL Selections
10-6 Last 16 Plays
2-0 Totals, 3-0 Guarantees TY
4-1 Picks This Year
6-2 L8 Over/Under Plays
3-0 Record L3 Selections
4-2 Last 6 Guarantees
4-1 Last 5 NFL Picks
NFL Pro Football Expert Sports Picks- Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks
2016 NFL SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Gary Bart + 339
Marc Lawrence + 305
Joe Nelson + 290
Last Week's Leaders
Handicapper Money
Chip Chirimbes + 300
Kevin Rogers + 290
Don Anthony + 288
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Jimmy Boyd 100 %
Joe Nelson 80 %
Marc Lawrence 71 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Scott Pritchard + 300
Don Anthony + 205
Joe Nelson + 190
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Antony Dinero + 467
Stephen Nover + 200
Scott Pritchard + 200
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
Gary Bart + 379
Kevin Rogers + 290
Doc's Sports + 200
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!
VI Gold Membership