NFL Week 10 Betting Recap
Sunday night's matchup of 7-1 teams Houston and Chicago was the most-hyped game of the pro football season thus far - called the biggest regular-season game in Texans history - and to no surprise also the most-wagered NFL game of Week 10 at Bovada.
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It wasn't a pretty game if you are a fan of offense as Houston won 13-6 in the driving rain at Soldier Field. Neither team was able to reach 250 yards of total offense and the Bears' starting quarterback Jay Cutler didn't play in the second half due to a concussion. The Texans' victory gave them the NFL's best record with Atlanta and stamped Houston as the Super Bowl favorite: it is 5/1 at the book. It was a decent result overall for the book as the Bears closed as one-point favorites (first time this season Houston was a dog) and took almost 51% of the lean. The under 38 points took slightly more than 32%. The loss dropped the Bears to 10/1 to win the Super Bowl.
The top overall game for bettors was Denver's 36-14 win at Carolina. Peyton Manning completed 27 of 38 passes for 301 yards and a touchdown in the Broncos' fourth straight win. The touchdown pass was the 420th of Manning's career, tying him with Dan Marino for No. 2 all-time - Brett Favre leads with 508. Manning also completed at least 70% of his passes for the sixth straight game, breaking a tie with Favre for the longest streak in NFL history. Denver has now jumped to the third-favorite to win the Super Bowl at 6/1.
The Broncos were 4.5-point favorites in the game and took more than 85% of the lean. At -210, Denver took almost 91%. Bettors made it three-for-three on the total with more than 72% on the over 47 points. Bettors also fared well on the Indianapolis Colts covering as a four-point favorite at Jacksonville and the Dallas Cowboys covering at -2 at Philadelphia. In that one, Eagles QB Michael Vick suffered a "significant" concussion that could end his season and perhaps his time in Philly with the Eagles struggling so much. Rookie Nick Foles will start this week against Washington.
The Texans-Bears game also was good for bettors on player props. Two of the biggest results were Houston QB Matt Schaub under 33.5 passing attempts and Texans running back Arian Foster over 2.5 catches.
The book's top game result on the spread was the New Orleans Saints at +2 beating Atlanta 31-27 at the Superdome. The Falcons had been the NFL's lone remaining unbeaten team. Atlanta, now 9/1 to win the Super Bowl, jumped out to a quick 10-0 lead but became the first team with a record of 8-0 or better to lose by blowing a double-digit lead since the Miami Dolphins in 1984. The Falcons-Saints game was also notable because Atlanta tight end Tony Gonzalez and Saints counterpart Jimmy Graham each had at least 120 yards receiving and two scores. It's the first time in NFL history two tight ends reached those numbers in the same game.
Two of the book's top player prop results also were from Texans-Bears: Houston's Foster under 17 receiving yards and Chicago WR Brandon Marshall over 89.5 receiving yards.
Thursday's Live Betting Preview: Dolphins at Bills
The Chan Gailey Watch continues at Buffalo as the Bills have dropped three straight and five of six, meaning it's almost a certainty the franchise will miss the playoffs for the 13th straight year, extending the longest current postseason drought in the NFL. That could get Gailey fired. Buffalo is an opening 1.5-point favorite against AFC East rival Miami for Thursday night's game and there will be live betting at the book.
The Bills (3-6) nearly upset the Patriots on Sunday, falling 37-31 when a Ryan Fitzpatrick pass into the end zone was intercepted by New England's Devin McCourty with less than 30 seconds remaining. Fitzpatrick otherwise had one of his best games of the season, throwing for 337 yards and two scores. The Bills had a whopping 35 first downs, a franchise record and the most ever allowed by New England. Buffalo also had three turnovers and 14 penalties for 148 yards, the most penalty yards since 1970.
Buffalo lost starting running back Fred Jackson to injury on the final drive and he already has been ruled out Thursday with a concussion. C.J. Spiller, who had nine carries for 70 yards against New England, will start in Jackson's place.
Miami (4-5) was surprisingly routed 37-3 at home by Tennessee on Sunday. It's the Dolphins' second straight loss following a three-game winning streak. The Titans entered that game on pace to set an NFL record for points allowed in a season, but they picked off rookie QB Ryan Tannehill three times. It was Miami's worst home loss in 44 years and worst anywhere since 2000. Dolphins running back Reggie Bush was benched in the first half after fumbling. Miami also allowed a 100-yard rusher for the first time in 22 games.
The Dolphins swept the Bills last season. In the most recent game, a 30-23 victory on December 18, 2011, Bush rushed for a career-high 203 yards, including a 76-yard touchdown. Fitzpatrick was picked off three times.
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