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Tech Trends - Week 11

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College Football Trends

Thursday, Nov. 15 - NFL Network, 8:30 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Miami 7-2 vs. line last nine on road. Dolphins 6-2 last eight in series and have won and covered last two years at Buffalo. Bills "over" 18-9 last 27. Dolphins and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
Sunday, Nov. 18 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins Birds 1-8 vs. line this season. Birds have, however, won and covered last three vs. the Shan. Philly has also won and covered last three at FedEx Field. Shan 1-3 vs. line at home TY, 3-8 last 11 as host. Slight to Skins, based on recent trends.
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions Lions "over" 29-14-2 since late in 2009 season, Pack "over" 19-8 last 27 since late 2010. Pack 10-2 vs. line last 12 meetings. "Over," based on "totals" trends.
Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons Cards now on 6-game spread slide after 10-3 mark vs. points previous 13 games. Falcons 2-2 vs. line at home TY but do not have a win at Georgia Dome by more than 6 points TY. Big Red "under" 7-2 TY and "under" 10-2 last 12 away. Also "under" 13-4-1 last 18 overall. "Under," based on "totals" trends.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers Bucs 7-2 vs. line TY and 4-0 vs. line on road and "over" last five in 2012. Cam no covers last four at home. "Over" and Bucs, based on "totals" and team trends.
Cleveland Browns at Dallas Cowboys Cowboys 0-6 last 6, 2-10 last vs. line at Jerry Jones Stadium. Browns, based on team trends.
New York Jets at St. Louis Rams Jets "over" 32-16-1 since late in 2009 season. Rams 3-1 SU and vs. line at Edward Jones Dome TY. "Over" and Rams, based on "totals" and team trends.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans "Road-in-Jag" trend still intact after home loss to Indy last Thursday. Visitor now 9-0 vs. line in J'ville games TY (Jags 4-0 away). But Houston 20-7 vs. line last 27 since late 2010 for Kubiak and has handily won and covered last four in series. Jags "under" 16-9 since LY. "Under," based on "totals" trends.
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs "over" 6-3 TY after "under" 12-4 LY. Marvin Lewis "over" 15-9-1 since LY. Slight to "over," based on "totals" trends.
Sunday, Nov. 18 - Games to start at 4:05 p.m. and 4:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
New Orleans Saints at Oakland Raiders Raiders 1-4 vs. line last five at home since late LY, also "over" last four this season. Oakland "over" 12-4 last 16 since late LY. "Over," based on "totals" trends.
Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots Colts have now won and covered last four after Thursday win at J'ville. Belichick only 4-8 vs. spread last 11 at Gillette Stadium. Note road team has covered last four meetings. Pats now "over" 35-12 last 47 since late 2009. "Over" and Colts, based on "totals" and recent trends.
San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos Broncos have won and covered last four TY, Denver also "over" 6-3 this season and "over" 32-15 since late in 2009. "Overs" 9-4 last 13 in series. Bolts have won and covered last three trips to Denver but Norv only 1-4 vs. line last five TY. "Over" and Broncos, based on "totals" and team trends.
Sunday, Nov. 18 - NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers Steelers "under" last seven at Heinz Field and "under" 10-2 last 12 as host, turning around previous "over" home trends. Ravens have won reg.-season games at Heinz last two years (although lost playoff game at Pitt. in 2010) and are 3-0-1 vs. line in reg. Season at Pitt. since 2008. "Under" and slight to Ravens, based on "totals" and series trends.
Monday, Nov. 19 - ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers 49ers no covers last three at Stick after 10-1-1 spread mark previous 12 at home for Jim Harbaugh. Bears 3-1 vs. line away TY and 7-3 vs. spread last 10 away since mid 2011. Bears, based on recent trends.
Teams on Bye - Week 11
   Minnesota Vikings    New York Giants   Seattle Seahawks    Tennessee Titans  

  
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