MNF - Giants at Redskins
December 2, 2012
By Kevin Rogers
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The Giants are slowly running away from the rest of the NFC East pack with a two-game advantage over the second-place Redskins heading into Monday night. New York heads to the Nation's Capital, going for the season sweep of Washington, while trying to improve its position in the NFC playoff race.
Tom Coughlin's club is fresh off their most complete victory of the season, trouncing the Packers, 38-10 as one-point home favorites. New York improved to 7-4 with its second blowout of Green Bay in less than a calendar year, as the Giants rolled the Packers at Lambeau Field in the divisional round in January. Eli Manning tossed three touchdowns passes, while the Giants jumped out to a 31-10 halftime advantage. Bettors that took the 'over' are still bitter as the total of 50 ½ wasn't eclipsed thanks to just seven combined points scored in the second half.
The Redskins impressed on a national television stage by holding off the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, 38-31 as 3 ½-point road underdogs. Washington put together a 28-point second quarter blitz to nearly put the game out of reach, but Dallas cut the deficit to seven in the fourth quarter to make things interesting. Both teams exchanged field goals as the Redskins improved to 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS against NFC East competition, while Robert Griffin III had another stellar performance with four touchdown passes.
In the first meeting at Met Life Stadium in Week 7, the Giants won a see-saw affair in a 27-23 triumph over the Redskins. Washington cashed as 6 ½-point underdogs, but had an opportunity to win outright after taking a 23-20 lead with less than two minutes remaining. Griffin hit Santana Moss on a 30-yard touchdown strike, but Manning did the Heisman trophy winner one better with a 77-yard bomb to Victor Cruz for the go-ahead score. Unfortunately for 'over' bettors, the game finished just a shade below the closing total of 51 ½.
That victory by the Giants snapped a two-game losing streak to the Redskins, as Washington stole both matchups last season. The 'Skins took care of the Giants at FedEx Field in the 2011 opener as short home 'dogs, 28-14, as Mike Shanahan's squad outscored New York, 14-0 in the second half. The loss snapped a five-game winning streak by the Giants in D.C. dating back to 2006.
Washington owns just a 2-3 ATS record at FedEx Field this season, but the most impressive number is the 5-2 ATS mark as an underdog overall. The Redskins have been a hard team to figure out from a totals standpoint, scoring 30 points or more five times, but tallying 17 points or fewer three times.
The Giants are one of the top 'under' teams in the league by cashing in eight of 11 games, including a 4-1 'under' ledger on the highway. New York is 5-1 to the 'under' in the last six contests, but the only 'over' in this stretch came at Dallas in a Week 8 thriller, 29-24.
New York is playing in its fourth primetime game this season, but just the first under the Monday night lights. In Coughlin's tenure, the Giants have won and covered six of nine Monday night contests, including a 2-1 SU/ATS mark as a road favorite. Griffin will be showcased on Monday night for the first time, as the Redskins try to snap a five-game skid on Mondays dating back to 2008. To make matters worse, Washington has failed to win (or cover) a Monday night home contest since beating Dallas in 1997, while compiling an 0-10 SU/ATS record in this span.
From the Monday night trend standpoint this season, the 'over' has cashed each of the last two weeks following a run of four consecutive 'unders.' Favorites are on a nice roll, covering in four of the previous five weeks, including San Francisco (Week 7) and Carolina (Week 12) as road 'chalk.'
The Giants head into Monday listed as three-point favorites, but look for that number to potentially move to 3 ½ by game-time thanks to public money. The total is set between 50 and 51 depending on your sportsbook, as the game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen nationally on ESPN.
You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at firstname.lastname@example.org
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