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Conensus Prop Plays
February 2, 2013
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Hundreds of props are available to be bet on for Super Bowl XLVII, as there is no shortage of wagers to be made between the Ravens and 49ers. The range is wide going from the longest pass to the amount of passes Dennis Pitta will catch for Baltimore. We narrowed the list down to six of the most popular props and surveyed some of the top NFL handicappers on VegasInsider.com to get their opinions on these plays.
The total heading into Sunday's action sits at 48, but each team's individual team total can be bet on. The math is easy on how to figure out each club's number, as the Niners are four-point favorites, so their team total is 26, while Baltimore's is 22. Brian Edwards believes the Ravens will eclipse their team total, "Joe Flacco is playing the best football of his career, evidenced by eight touchdown passes without an interception in these playoffs. Flacco has been the better quarterback in games against Andrew Luck, Peyton Manning and Tom Brady. He has great weapons in Ray Rice, Torrey Smith and Anquan Boldin, which will produce points."
The Ravens compiled at least 24 points in all three playoff victories, while sailing over that number in four of the last five games. Joe Nelson agrees with Edwards on Baltimore putting up at least 23 points, "While San Francisco had great defensive numbers on the year, they have allowed more than this number in four of the last five games, showing some vulnerability against the pass."
One of the more interesting props is whether or not a team will score three consecutive times. In the last five Super Bowls, a team has put together three straight scores on four occasions, but only three squads accomplished this. In Super Bowl XLVI last February, both the Patriots and Giants cashed this prop, while the Saints scored three straight times twice in Super Bowl XLIV.
Nelson doesn't feel one squad will go on this type of scoring run on Sunday, "While these teams have had great scoring stretches in the playoffs including both teams holding their opponent scoreless in the second half of the conference championship games, there should be opportunities for both teams to score and with long field goals very possible indoors it will be tough to hold a team scoreless for an extended period."
Focusing on individual props, plenty of the money will be wagered on the two quarterbacks, Flacco and Colin Kaepernick. The total on Flacco's passing yards in Super Bowl XLVII is set at 255 ½, as the Baltimore quarterback eclipsed this number in two of three playoff games. Nelson points out that the 'under' is the look, "While the Ravens should have the ability to score, they will be a run-first team if they gain a lead in a game of this magnitude. Flacco had big numbers in the playoffs thanks to a few big plays and playing on a team that had to come from behind in the last two wins."
The Ravens' defense is facing the most mobile quarterback is has seen in the postseason with Kaepernick's ability to run, as the 49ers' signal-caller is listed at 54 ½ rushing yards on Sunday. Antony Dinero believes that the 'over' on this prop is the winning one, "While the Ravens are going to funnel many option read looks to go to the running back and have a spy in place for Kaepernick to deal with more often than not, the likelihood of him piecing together a few big gains is too great not to ride with his legs. Be it in a two-minute situation, comeback effort or to kill the clock, he'll break off a few huge runs."
Below is the full list of each handicapper's best prop bets for Super Bowl XLVII:
|
First Score |
FG |
TD |
FG |
TD |
|
Ravens - 22 points |
UNDER |
OVER |
OVER |
UNDER |
|
49ers - 26 points |
UNDER |
UNDER |
OVER |
OVER |
|
Three straight scores |
NO |
NO |
NO |
YES |
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Flacco 255.5 passing yds |
OVER |
OVER |
UNDER |
UNDER |
|
Kaepernick 54.5 rushing yds |
OVER |
OVER |
UNDER |
OVER |
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You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at rogers@vegasinsider.com
Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.
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