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Preseason Coaching Trends

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Preseason QB Rotations

In addition to QB rotations, coaching trends are also a critical aspect of preseason handicapping. Why you may ask? The answer is some coaches take these games more serious than others – for some winning these games is believed to strengthen a team’s confidence, while others are more worried about getting through each game without injuries. Which coaches do well or poorly in the preseason? Here are Preseason records as researched by my buddy Jeff Loop, aka, “The Mayor of Indy”:

Head Coach Trends as measured by Total ATS record:


BEST/WORST ATS RECORDS
TEAM COACH ATS RECORD WIN % NOTES
DETROIT SCHWARTZ 10-5-1 66.7% 12-4 SU
PITTSBURGH TOMLIN 15-10 60% 19-6 SU
SEATTLE CARROLL 19-9-1 67.9% 8-4 ATS, 7-1 L2 YRS
WASHINGTON SHANAHAN 7-5 58.3% 49-23 SU LIFETIME
ATLANTA SMITH -- -- 1-8 SU L9; 2-7-1 ATS on road
MIAMI PHILBIN 0-5 0% --

Head Coach Trends as measured by SU record in Specific Weeks:

BEST SU RECORDS
TEAM COACH ATS RECORD WIN % SITUATION NOTES
CINCINNATI LEWIS 14-6 70% WEEKS 1 & 4 --
DETROIT SCHWARTZ 4-0 100% WEEK 4 --
GREEN BAY MCCARTHY 10-4 71.4% WEEKS 1 & 2 --
HOUSTON SCHAUB 10-4 71.4% WEEK 1 --
NEW ENGLAND BELICHICK 10-4 71.4% WEEKS 2 & 4 --
NY GIANTS COUGHLIN 12-6 66.7% WEEKS 2 & 4 --
NEW ORLEANS PAYTON 6-1 85.7% WEEK 3 --
PITTSBURGH TOMLIN 6-0 100% WEEK 4 --
ST. LOUIS FISHER 25-9 73.5% WEEKS 2 & 4 INCLUDES TEN AND STL
WASHINGTON SHANAHAN 25-8 75.8% WEEKS 1 & 4 INCLUDES DEN AND WSH

WORST SU RECORDS
TEAM COACH ATS RECORD WIN % SITUATION
CINCINNATI LEWIS 2-8 20% WEEK 3
GREEN BAY MCCARTHY 4-10 28.6% WEEKS 1 & 4
NY GIANTS COUGHLIN 2-7 22.2% WEEK 3
NY JETS RYAN 0-4 0% WEEK 1
NEW ORLEANS PAYTON 1-6 14.3% WEEK 4
ST. LOUIS FISHER 4-11 26.7% WEEK 3

Over/Under Trends by Head Coach:

BEST OVER/UNDER RECORDS
TEAM COACH O/U RECORD WIN % NOTES
DETROIT SCHWARTZ 9-4-3 69.2% --
GREEN BAY MCCARTHY 20-8 71.4% Just 1-3 OVER in 2012
HOUSTON KUBIAK 20-8 71.4% --
NEW ENGLAND BELICHICK 45-27 62.5% Just 4-4 L2 yrs
NY JETS RYAN 9-6-1 60.0% Just 1-3 OVER in 2012
SEATTLE CARROLL 11-5 68.8% 8-4 with SEA
ST. LOUIS FISHER 17-7-1 70.8% includes TEN & STL; 3-1 OVER in 2012

BEST UNDER RECORDS
TEAM COACH O/U RECORD WIN % NOTES
BALTIMORE HARBAUGH, JOHN 11-7-1 61.1% Just 2-4-1 UNDER L7 gms
ATLANTA SMITH 12-8 60.0% Just 4-4 L2 yrs
PITTSBURGH TOMLIN 15-10 60.0% Just 2-6 UNDER L2 yrs
SAN FRANCISCO HARBAUGH, JIM 5-2-1 71.4% --

Check back in the coming weeks leading up to the season as we continue breaking down & analyzing the biggest, baddest, most critical metrics for handicapping the NFL Regular Season.

  
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