Week 1 Recap
September 8, 2013
By Kevin Rogers
The Sunday afternoon action for Week 1 is in the books with 12 games going final. Underdogs put together a 4-4-1 ATS record in the 1:00 contests, with the Titans, Jets, and Dolphins all winning outright in the 'dog role. The resounding number from the early games was the eight 'unders,' including four of those matchups finishing at least 10 points below the posted total.
The Patriots beat the Bills, 23-21, but failed to cash as 10-point road favorites. New England held a pair of 10-point leads (10-0, 17-7), as Buffalo rallied back to take a 21-17 advantage in the third quarter. The Pats needed a pair of late field goals to grab the win, the 19th in the last 20 matchups with the Bills. The game finished 'under' the total of 51, while the first-half total of 27 sailed 'over' thanks to a Buffalo touchdown in the final minute. The Bills cashed as 4 ½-point underdogs in the second half by outscoring the Pats, 7-6.
Tennessee held off Pittsburgh, 16-9 to take home tickets as six-point away underdogs. The Steelers took a 2-0 lead out of the chute, but the offense was limited to just 195 yards, while the lone touchdown came in the final two minutes. The Titans grabbed a 7-2 halftime edge with a touchdown run, while three Rob Bironas field goals put the game away. The contest easily went 'under' the total of 42, while Tennessee covered the first half (+3 ½) and second half (+3).
The Saints took care of the Falcons, 23-17 as 3 ½-point home favorites. Atlanta was ready to pull away with a 10-0 lead in the first quarter, but New Orleans scored 13 unanswered points to grab a 13-10 halftime edge (Saints -3 in first half). The Saints outscored the Falcons in the second half, 10-7 in the pick-em role, while the first half (27 ½), second half (27 ½), and the game (54) total stayed 'under.'
The Jets rallied to edge the Buccaneers, 18-17 as four-point home underdogs. Tampa Bay jumped out to a 14-5 advantage on a Doug Martin touchdown run, but a Geno Smith touchdown pass to Kellen Winslow before the half cut the deficit to 14-12. The Bucs cashed as 1 ½-point favorites in the first half, while the first half total went 'over' 20. In a low-scoring second half that saw three field goals in the final five minutes, the Jets outscored the Bucs, 6-3 to cash as three-point underdogs.
In the biggest blowout in the early contests, the Chiefs destroyed the Jaguars, 28-2 as four-point road favorites, as the 'under' of 42 ½ hit. Following an early safety by Jacksonville, Kansas City scored three consecutive touchdowns to take a 21-2 lead into the half to cash first half tickets (-2 ½), while the safety vaulted the first half 'over' of 21. The second half saw a defensive touchdown for the Chiefs, helping Kansas City cash as three-point 'chalk,' 7-0, while the 'under' of 20 in the second half easily came through.
In the lone 'push,' the Bears rallied past the Bengals, 24-21 as three-point home favorites. Cincinnati built a 14-7 lead thanks to a pair of Andy Dalton touchdown passes to A.J. Green, but Chicago kicked a late 58-yard field goal to trim the deficit to 14-10 at halftime. The Bengals cashed as three-point underdogs in the first half, while the first half 'over' of 20 ½ hit late in the second quarter. Following another Cincinnati touchdown, Chicago found the end zone twice to grab the opening week win, while the Bears cashed second half tickets (-1).
The Dolphins went back and forth with the Browns before holding off Cleveland for a 23-10 victory as 2 ½-point road underdogs. Miami kicked a pair of field goals before Cleveland took a 7-6 halftime lead on a late touchdown pass (Browns 'pushed' as one-point favorites in first half). The game stayed 'under' the total for the game (40 ½), first half (20 ½), and second half (20 ½), while Miami scored outscored Cleveland in the second half, 17-3.
The Seahawks were one of the big public favorites in Week 1, as Seattle came through as three-point 'chalk' over Carolina, 12-7. The Panthers took a 7-3 halftime edge to cash first half tickets as one-point underdogs. However, Seattle grinded out the win by outscoring Carolina, 9-0 in the second half as three-point favorites, while the first half (22 ½), second half (22 ½), and game (44 ½) total all went 'under.'
Detroit avenged a pair of losses to Minnesota last season with a 34-24 victory as four-point favorites at Ford Field. A pair of Adrian Peterson touchdowns put the Vikings ahead, 14-6 in the first half before the Lions scored a touchdown in the final seconds to cut the deficit to 14-13 at intermission. Minnesota cashed first half tickets as three-point underdogs, while the first half total of 23 ½ hit on the late Detroit score. The Lions outscored the Vikings, 21-10 in the second half as 3 ½-point favorites, while the game total of 46 ½ cashed.
The Colts were on their way to an easy victory over the Raiders, but Indianapolis held off Oakland, 21-17 as 11-point favorites. Indianapolis jumped out to a 14-0 advantage on two Andrew Luck touchdown passes, but Oakland got on the scoreboard with a touchdown run to get within 14-7 at the half. Oakland rallied for a 17-14 lead in the fourth quarter, but Luck bailed out the Colts with a touchdown scamper for the 21-17 triumph. The Raiders cashed second half tickets as four-point 'dogs, while the game total remained 'under' 45.
St. Louis overcame an 11-point fourth quarter deficit to stun Arizona, 27-24, but failed to cash as four-point home favorites. The Cardinals and Rams were knotted up at 10-10 at halftime, but Arizona outscored St. Louis in the third quarter, 14-3. The Rams owned the fourth quarter with a 13-0 output to 'push' the second half side (-3), while the game hit the 'over' of 42 ½.
In a rematch of an NFC Divisional Playoff showdown, the 49ers outlasted the Packers, 34-28 to barely cash as five-point home favorites. Both teams exchanged touchdowns for three quarters, as San Francisco and Green Bay entered the fourth quarter knotted up at 21-21. The Niners finished off the Packers, 13-7 in the final 15 minutes to take the money in the second half as three-point ‘chalk.’ The game was never in doubt finishing ‘over’ the total of 47.
You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at email@example.com
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8-0 L8 G-Plays, 12-6 L18 Picks
8-1 Sun., 8-3 G-Plays, 67% +1,550
7-0 L2 Sundays, 17-5 L6 Sundays
10-3 Sun., 28-12 Run, 6-0 Totals
8 Wins in a Row, 5-1 L6 G-Plays
16-7 L5 Sundays, 62% +1,269 TY
11-4 Week 6, 30-13 L43 Totals
4-0 L2 Sundays, 9-2 L11 Picks
18-7 Record Last 4 Sundays
12-6 L3 Sun, 20-11 Run, +898 TY
12-7 L19 G-Plays, 7-2 L5 Sundays
4-1 Sun., 13-7 L20, 5-2 G-Plays
5-1 L6 G-Plays, 8-2 L10 Totals
3-0 Sunday, 8-4 Over/Unders TY
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