Gridiron Angles - Week 3
September 21, 2013
By Vince Akins
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NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
-- The Browns are 16-0-1 ATS since Dec 10, 2000 the week after a loss in which they punted at least eight times and allowed more than 10 points.
NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
-- The Saints are 0-11 ATS since October 3, 2004 if not a home dog, when they won by 1-3 points last week.
TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
-- Steve Smith is 9-0 ATS since September 18, 2011 after a road game where he had at least 5 receptions.
NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
-- The Texans are 0-11 OU in franchise history with more than three days rest following a home game where they held their opponent on at least 10 third down attempts.
NFL SUPER SYSTEM:
-- Teams which are 0-2 and at least five point favorites are 23- 11 ATS. Active on Minnesota.
NFL O/U TREND:
-- The Bears are 12-0 OU since November 28, 2010 when the total is under 47 vs a non-divisional opponent with a divisional opponent next game.
PICK SIXTY SPORTS WEEKLY TIP:
Week 3 wraps up with the Raiders and Broncos in a Monday nighter and you can count Oakland as one of the teams who were most unhappy to see Peyton Manning making the move up to Mile High last season. Before 2012, the Raiders were riding a four-game SU/ATS win streak in Denver and Manning put an emphatic end to that run with a 37-6 win. Denver opened with a long TD drive and took a lead they would never relinquish. It was 10-6 at half-time and the Raiders were outscored 27-0 in the second-half. The Raiders amassed just 237 total yards on offense, more than 100 yards below their final season avg (344 yards).
The total this week is listed as high as 50 with some books and entering this code reveals a nice Over/Under angle that hitting 76-percent the past five seasons with 6 overs and 19 unders.
The Broncos are home for the first of two-straight and they have the Eagles on-deck. Philly will be playing on a long rest-week and HC Fox will probably want to have his team rested and ready to go. In the case of another blowout we could see some of Denver’s backup defenders get some work late in the game but against Oakland it shouldn’t make much of a difference. Look for Denver to utilize its strong stable of running backs as this game stays UNDER 50 points.
7-1 L2 Sundays, 25-11 NFL Run
12-3 G-Play Run, +1,225 TY
7-1 L8 Totals, 10-4 L14 Selections
7-1 L8 G-Plays, 11-5 Totals TY
3-1 L4 Mondays, 8-3 L11 G-Plays
6-1 Thursdays TY, 11-6 L17 GPlays
5-2 Last 7 NFL Guarantees
7-3 Last 10 Guaranteed Plays
3-1 L4 G-Plays, 7-2 L9 Over/Unders
3-0 L3 Thurs., 7-3 L10 Picks
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