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Week 3 Betting Recap

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Betting Notes
-- Home teams went 11-5 straight up in Week 3
-- Home teams are 32-16 SU through three weeks
-- Favorites went 11-5 straight up in Week 3
-- Favorites are 35-13 SU through three weeks
-- Favorites went 9-5-2 against the spread in Week 3
-- Favorites are 23-22-3 ATS through three weeks

-- Kansas City (+3), Cleveland (+7), Cincinnati (+3), Carolina (+2 ½), Indianapolis (+10 ½) were the five underdogs that won outright
-- The Colts’ 27-7 win at San Francisco in Week 3 was the biggest upset of the season. Indianapolis had money-line odds as high as 4/1 (Bet $100 to $400)

-- There were two pushes in Week 3
-- Tennessee (-3) defeated San Diego 20-17 and Denver (-16) defeated Oakland 37-21

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Total Notes

-- The ‘under’ went 9-7 in Week 3
-- Through three weeks, the ‘under’ is 25-23
-- Chicago, Denver, Minnesota and Green Bay have all seen the ‘over’ go 3-0
-- Kansas City, New Orleans, Tampa Bay and New England have all seen the ‘under’ go 3-0

League Notes
-- Miami and Seattle are the only teams to start the season 3-0 both SU and ATS
-- There are four teams that have failed to win or cover a game this season – Jacksonville, N.Y. Giants, Pittsburgh, Washington
-- The AFC has gone 12-3 against the NFC this season. The three wins earned by the NFC came from Seattle against Jacksonville in Week 3 and two victories from Chicago, who beat Cincinnati in Week 1 and Pittsburgh in Week 3.

Power Rankings and Projections
Every Tuesday, Tony Mejia offers up his NFL Power Poll and Predictions. After watching the AFC continue its dominance in Week 3, it’s no surprise which group he’s high on.

He explained, "Given San Francisco's early issues and a 1-3 week from the division as a whole, there's a new No. 1 here. Similarly, the NFC East continued to disappoint, going 1-3 as well. Is it true that the Cowboys are the most consistent, dependable team among the league's most visible foursome? That's a scary thought. With three teams in the Top 15, the AFC South suddenly looks formidable in spite of being home to Jacksonville. The Colts made the NFL's biggest statement in Week 3, so with three 2-1 teams, the division gets bumped to No. 1 in spite of Houston's disastrous performance in Baltimore. The AFC East also has three teams with winning records, so despite being rightfully dubious, there's no choice but to move them up substantially."

Tony’s Division Rankings and Playoff Projections listed below:

Division Rankings
1) AFC South
2) AFC North
3) NFC West
4) AFC East
5) NFC South
6) NFC North
7) AFC West
8) NFC East

Playoff Projections
NFC
1) Seattle
2) Atlanta
3) Chicago
4) Dallas
5) San Francisco
6) New Orleans

AFC
1) Denver
2) New England
3) Houston
4) Baltimore
5) Cincinnati
6) Indianapolis

LVH adjusts Futures

Despite owning the early bragging rights, Jay Kornegay and his staff of oddsmakers at the Las Vegas Hotel and Casino SuperBook believe the NFC has more depth and the conference would be a favorite in this year’s finale.

Super Bowl XLVIII Early Game Line (2/2/14)
NFC -1
AFC         Total 49 ½

Last week, the LVH had this line at a pick ‘em. Along with the NFC getting a slight push, the total also dropped from 50 ½ to 49 ½ points.

The LVH futures have also been adjusted after three weeks of play and most of the attention at the betting counter has been given to the unbeaten teams. New Orleans dropped from 18/1 to 10/1 to win Super Bowl XLVIII and Chicago moved from 25/1 to 12/1. Kansas City (20/1) and Miami (25/1) are two other undefeated clubs that were adjusted.

Below are the current odds at the LVH SuperBook and the Preseason Odds that were offered prior to Week 1.

Odds to Win 2014 Super Bowl XLVIII
Team Current Odds Preseason Odds
Denver Broncos 7/2 5/1
Seattle Seahawks 7/2 7/1
New England Patriots 8/1 9/1
San Francisco 49ers 10/1 7/1
New Orleans Saints 10/1 18/1
Green Bay Packers 12/1 9/1
Chicago Bears 12/1 25/1
Cincinnati Bengals 14/1 25/1
Dallas Cowboys 20/1 30/1
Houston Texans 20/1 10/1
Kansas City Chiefs 20/1 50/1
Baltimore Ravens 25/1 30/1
Miami Dolphins 25/1 40/1
Indianapolis Colts 30/1 30/1
Atlanta Falcons 30/1 16/1
Tennessee Titans 50/1 100/1
Detroit Lions 50/1 50/1
New York Jets 75/1 70/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 100/1 20/1
New York Giants 100/1 20/1
Washington Redskins 100/1 251
San Diego Chargers 100/1 60/1
Carolina Panthers 100/1 40/1
Philadelphia Eagles 100/1 70/1
Buffalo Bills 200/1 100/1
St. Louis Rams 200/1 50/1
Cleveland Browns 200/1 50/1
Arizona Cardinals 200/1 100/1
Minnesota Vikings 300/1 60/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 300/1 70/1
Oakland Raiders 300/1 300/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 9999/1 300/1
Odds to Win 2014 NFC Championship
Team Current Odds Preseason Odds
Seattle Seahawks 7/4 7/2
San Francisco 49ers 9/2 7/2
New Orleans Saints 9/2 9/1
Green Bay Packers 11/2 5/1
Chicago Bears 11/2 13/1
Dallas Cowboys 10/1 15/1
Atlanta Falcons 15/1 8/1
Detroit Lions 25/1 25/1
New York Giants 50/1 10/1
Washington Redskins 50/1 13/1
Carolina Panthers 50/1 20/1
Philadelphia Eagles 50/1 35/1
St. Louis Rams 100/1 25/1
Arizona Cardinals 100/1 50/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 150/1 35/1
Minnesota Vikings 150/1 30/1
Odds to Win 2014 AFC Championship
Team Current Odds Odds - Preseason
Denver Broncos 3/2 2/1
New England Patriots 7/2 7/2
Cincinnati Bengals 6/1 11/1
Houston Texans 9/1 4/1
Kansas City Chiefs 9/1 23/1
Miami Dolphins 11/1 18/1
Baltimore Ravens 11/1 13/1
Indianapolis Colts 13/1 14/1
Tennessee Titans 23/1 45/1
New York Jets 30/1 30/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 45/1 9/1
San Diego Chargers 45/1 28/1
Cleveland Browns 90/1 23/1
Buffalo Bills 90/1 45/1
Oakland Raiders 135/1 125/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 4500/1 125/1

  
HEADLINES
Rogers: Saturday's Preseason Tips
Marshall: Ravens rising up
Mejia: Week 2 Preseason Notes - NFC
Lawrence: 2014 AFC Season Preview
Mejia: Week 2 Preseason Notes - AFC
ASA: NFC North Notebook
ASA: NFC South Notebook
Marshall: Philadelphia Hype
Rogers: AFC North Preview
MORE HEADLINES
 
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