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Week 4 Betting Recap

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Week 4 Results

-- Favorites finish 9-6 straight-up and against the spread.

-- Each favorite that won also covered, including road 'chalk' clubs San Francisco, Indianapolis, Seattle, and Washington.

-- Home underdogs Buffalo, Cleveland, San Diego, and Minnesota (listed as home team in London) all won outright, as home 'dogs went 4-4 ATS. So far this season, home 'dogs own a profitable 12-9 ATS mark, even though these clubs are just 6-6 ATS the last two weeks.

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-- The 'over' hit in nine of 15 games, including a 5-1 'over' record in the four late kickoffs, the Sunday night contest, and the Monday night game. In 13 primetime contests this season, the 'over' is 8-4-1, while hitting in all three night games in Week 4.

Week 4 Notes

-- Five teams remain unbeaten after the first month of the season (New Orleans, New England, Seattle, Kansas City, and Denver). These five undefeated squads are profiting with a combined 15-5 ATS mark, as the Seahawks are the lone 4-0 SU/4-0 ATS team in the league.

-- The Jaguars, Giants, and Steelers are the four teams still looking for a win at 0-4. The three clubs have combined to post a dreadful 0-12 ATS record, including an 0-9 ATS mark in the underdog role. Jacksonville has lost all four games by double-digits, while being listed as 11 ½-point underdogs at 1-3 St. Louis this week. The Giants are listed as a slight home favorite this Sunday against the Eagles, as Philadelphia has dropped three straight.

-- The Titans have won three of their first four games, while posting a 3-0-1 ATS record. Tennessee will be a home underdog for the first time in three contests against unbeaten Kansas City this Sunday. Meanwhile, St. Louis isn't winless, but the Rams are the only 0-4 ATS team that has at least one victory.

-- Chicago, Denver, and Minnesota each eclipsed the 'over' for the fourth straight week, as the these clubs are the last three in the league to own a 4-0 mark to the 'over.' The Chiefs and Buccaneers are the final two teams to register an 'over,' as both Kansas City and Tampa Bay are 4-0 to the 'under.'

LVH adjusts Futures

If the Super Bowl were to be played this Sunday, Jay Kornegay and his staff of oddsmakers at the Las Vegas Hotel and Casino SuperBook would have the AFC favored over the NFC. Last week, the line was a pick 'em but the Broncos' domination and public following made them adjust accordingly.

Super Bowl XLVIII Early Game Line (2/2/14)
AFC -3
NFC         Total 50 ½

The LVH futures have also been adjusted after four weeks of play and most of the attention at the betting counter has been given to the unbeaten teams, at least four of them. Kansas City, who is listed as a 25/1 choice, is the lone undefeated squad still not receiving much attention from bettors. The Chiefs will face the current Super Bowl favorite Denver in Week 11 and Week 13.

Below are the current odds at the LVH SuperBook and the Preseason Odds that were offered prior to Week 1.

Odds to Win 2014 Super Bowl XLVIII
Team Current Odds Preseason Odds
Denver Broncos 2/1 5/1
Seattle Seahawks 4/1 7/1
New England Patriots 8/1 9/1
San Francisco 49ers 10/1 7/1
New Orleans Saints 10/1 18/1
Green Bay Packers 12/1 9/1
Chicago Bears 20/1 25/1
Cincinnati Bengals 25/1 25/1
Houston Texans 25/1 10/1
Indianapolis Colts 25/1 30/1
Kansas City Chiefs 25/1 50/1
Miami Dolphins 30/1 40/1
Dallas Cowboys 30/1 30/1
Detroit Lions 30/1 50/1
Baltimore Ravens 40/1 30/1
Atlanta Falcons 40/1 16/1
Tennessee Titans 50/1 100/1
Washington Redskins 60/1 251
San Diego Chargers 75/1 60/1
Carolina Panthers 75/1 40/1
Philadelphia Eagles 100/1 70/1
Cleveland Browns 100/1 50/1
Arizona Cardinals 150/1 100/1
Minnesota Vikings 150/1 60/1
New York Jets 150/1 70/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 150/1 20/1
New York Giants 150/1 20/1
Buffalo Bills 150/1 100/1
St. Louis Rams 300/1 50/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 500/1 70/1
Oakland Raiders 2000/1 300/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 9999/1 300/1
Odds to Win 2014 NFC Championship
Team Current Odds Preseason Odds
Seattle Seahawks 8/5 7/2
San Francisco 49ers 9/2 7/2
New Orleans Saints 9/2 9/1
Green Bay Packers 11/2 5/1
Chicago Bears 9/1 13/1
Dallas Cowboys 13/1 15/1
Detroit Lions 13/1 25/1
Atlanta Falcons 18/1 8/1
Washington Redskins 25/1 13/1
Carolina Panthers 35/1 20/1
Philadelphia Eagles 45/1 35/1
Arizona Cardinals 70/1 50/1
New York Giants 70/1 10/1
Minnesota Vikings 70/1 30/1
St. Louis Rams 135/1 25/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 225/1 35/1
Odds to Win 2014 AFC Championship
Team Current Odds Preseason Odds
Denver Broncos 5/7 2/1
New England Patriots 7/2 7/2
Cincinnati Bengals 12/1 11/1
Houston Texans 12/1 4/1
Indianapolis Colts 12/1 14/1
Kansas City Chiefs 12/1 23/1
Miami Dolphins 15/1 18/1
Baltimore Ravens 20/1 13/1
Tennessee Titans 25/1 45/1
San Diego Chargers 37/1 28/1
Cleveland Browns 50/1 23/1
New York Jets 75/1 30/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 75/1 9/1
Buffalo Bills 75/1 45/1
Oakland Raiders 1000/1 125/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 5000/1 125/1

  
HEADLINES
Mejia: NFC Preseason Wrap
Mejia: AFC Preseason Wrap
Lawrence: Trends to Watch - September
Lawrence: 2014 NFC Season Preview
Marshall: Ravens rising up
Lawrence: 2014 AFC Season Preview
ASA: NFC North Notebook
ASA: NFC South Notebook
Marshall: Philadelphia Hype
MORE HEADLINES
 
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