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October Trends

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Editor's Note: Don't miss out on Marc Lawrence's pro football selections on VegasInisder.com this season. Click to win!

September
 
Although the rosters change with each season, NFL teams have a tendency of repeating themselves – especially when it comes to the point-spread wars.
 
With the leaves starting to fall, let’s take a look at some of the ‘Good’ and ‘Bad’ pro football team trends that have occurred in the month of October in the NFL since 1990.
 
HOME TEAMS
 
Keep an eye on (Good): Pittsburgh will definitely be tested to keep this long stretch of excellent play going (28-15 ATS) with this year’s squad. They will be home just once and that will be a bitter battle with Baltimore.
 
Even when Kansas City has been dreadful, they have still managed to play well at Arrowhead with a 27-18 ATS mark. They will have three chances to improve on this record with Oakland, Houston and Cleveland coming to town for barbeque and football.

Keep an eye on (Bad): After making the playoffs the past two years, and starting 2-0 SU and ATS at Paul Brown Stadium in 2013, Cincinnati will be after real improvement on a 14-27 ATS mark this month again New England and the Jets.
 
AWAY TEAMS
 
Good: Atlanta has been regarded as a Play On home team for a number of years now, but actually they are 27-13 ATS as visitors in October. They will have one chance to prove themselves the last Sunday of the month in the Arizona desert.
 
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Keep an eye on (Good):
The last time the New York Giants looked this bad was the latter two-thirds of the 2009 season. Nevertheless, the G-Men have been money on the road and they will seek to improve upon 26-14 ATS record. They will undoubtedly be catching points at Chicago and at Philadelphia.
 
New England is a crisp 25-16 ATS in road affairs and tough test in Cincinnati and a return match in New Jersey with the Jets, where they are 12-2 ATS.
 
Bad: Arizona is a historically odious road team no matter the time of year, but this month, they are an insufferable 12-24 ATS. The lone trip to Frisco does not figure to be pleasant for the Redbirds.
 
Keep an eye on (Bad): Here we find two teams with a lousy past in October. One figures to improve and the other, not so much. Seattle (16-31 ATS) will be in the road uniforms three times, twice against division foes Arizona and St. Louis.
 
Thanks to a bye week, Tampa Bay (14-26 ATS) only has to travel to Atlanta for a road excursion this month of year. 
 
FAVORITES
 
Keep an eye on (Good): Given how St. Louis has played this season, it be difficult for them to improve on 19-11 ATS record this month. Looking at the schedule, they will only have one chance when they are home against Jacksonville on Oct. 6.
 
Bad: Because of a Halloween encounter, Cincinnati will play five games in October. The Bengals have been inconsistent and might not be favored as often as was once presumed.  They will likely be a small favorite versus Buffalo and a larger favorite at home against the Jets. This is probably more than enough as Cincy is 8-18 ATS supplying others with points.
 
Keep an eye on (Bad): Tampa Bay is in the midst of another miserable campaign, which is exactly how they play in the role of favorite with a 15-25 ATS mark. We will see what oddsmakers think of the Bucs at home against Philadelphia and Carolina and wager accordingly.
 
DOGS
 
Good: Given how Pittsburgh and the New York Giants have played thus far, their past history acknowledges they are almost nicely suited to be underdogs. The Steelers are 20-7 ATS and the Giants are 20-9 ATS, unfortunately in most cases it was with far better teams than what we have seen in 2013.
 
Keep an eye on (Good): For years, Carolina has relished the underdog role in the second month of the season with a 25-14 spread record. Depending on circumstances, they might not have many opportunities, with trip to Minnesota and Tampa Bay the only possibilities. 
 
Keep an eye on (Bad): The Vikings are 12-22 ATS on the receiving end of points and could in this role at the N.Y. Giants and home versus Green Bay the second half of the month.
 
DIVISION
 
Keep an eye on (Good): Atlanta may be off is a disappointing start, yet is 20-11 ATS in division conflicts and has the Buccaneers at home on Oct. 20.
 
The New York football Giants are 23-12 ATS and will have two chances to turn their season around with a home and home against the Eagles.
 
 

  
HEADLINES
Lawrence: Trends to Watch - September
Lawrence: 2014 NFC Season Preview
Marshall: Ravens rising up
Lawrence: 2014 AFC Season Preview
ASA: NFC North Notebook
ASA: NFC South Notebook
Marshall: Philadelphia Hype
Rogers: AFC North Preview
Browns WR Gordon suspended for 2014
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