Gridiron Angles - Week 5
October 5, 2013
By Vince Akins
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NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
-- The Packers are 10-0 ATS since January 23, 2011 on grass sur- face vs a divisional opponent
NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
-- The Chargers are 0-10 ATS since December 20, 2009 as a favorite after playing as a dog.
TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
-- Michael Vick is 0-8 ATS in his career following a game where he threw for at least 170 yards while completing less than 15 passes.
NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
-- The Titans are 0-10-1 ATS (-13.2 ppg) since January 2008 when coming off a win and facing an opponent on a 3+ game winning streak.
NFL SUPER SYSTEM:
-- Teams which are favorites after winning by less than 17 points as a home dog are 59-88-1 ATS. Active on San Diego.
NFL O/U TREND:
-- The Cowboys are 12-0 OU since December 10, 2006 at home when facing a team completing at least 65.1% of their passes on the season, which threw for less than 385 yards last game.
PICK SIXTY SPORTS WEEKLY TIP:
The theme for Sunday’s game between the Baltimore Ravens and Miami Dolphins is “Bounce Back” as each team looks to shake off an ugly showing in Week 4. Baltimore’s 25-20 loss at Buffalo was plagued by turnovers while Miami fell victim to a Saints team who have not lost at home on Monday Night Football since 2008. The Dolphins turned the ball over four times, gave up 413 passing yards, failed to protect their quarterback and lost the turnover battle 4-to-1 yet oddsmakers are still doling out the token the 3-point home field advantage in this game against the reigning Super Bowl champs. So much for “wearing a target” all season! Small non-divisional home faves on grass are 57-104-7 ATS (35-percent) since 2008 and Miami with a bye on-deck, here is an angle to consider that is 17-3 ATS since 2009 when backing the road dog (Ravens): Miami’s pass protection ranks dead last in the league (18 sacks allowed). Ryan Tannehill, meet Terrell Suggs. Take BALTIMORE to cover.
11-0 Run, 16-2 G-Plays, 12-4 Totals
6-0 G-Plays, 13-3 L7 Sun, 18-6 Run
3-0 Sun, 11-3 L5 Sundays, 14-6 L20
28-15 L6 Sundays, 62% +1,737 TY
+1,149 NFL Net Profits TY
15-8 L23 G-Plays, +1,974 Overall
3-0 L3 Guarantees, 7-3 L10 Totals
9-2 L11 G-Plays, 4-1 L5 Picks
5-2 L7, 15-7 Guaranteed Plays TY
6-3 L9 G-Plays, 35-20 L9 Sundays
7-3 L10 Picks, 61% +791 Overall
13-7 L4 Sundays, 6-2 L8 G-Plays
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