Week 5 Tip Sheet
October 6, 2013
By Kevin Rogers
Chiefs (-3, 38 ½) at Titans - 1:00 PM EST
Kansas City: 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS
Tennessee: 3-1, 3-0-1 ATS
Last week's results: The Chiefs dominated the winless Giants, 31-7, the third victory by double-digits this season. Kansas City has won all three games against NFC East opponents, while allowing 16 points in each of its four contests this season. The Titans cruised past the Jets as 3 ½-point favorites, 38-13, the fourth straight home victory since the end of last season.
Previous meeting result: Kansas City crushed Tennessee, 34-14 in December 2010 as four-point home favorites. Dwayne Bowe hauled in 153 yards receiving and one touchdown, while Chris Johnson was limited to 58 yards on the ground for the Titans. Tennessee has won each of the last two meetings with Kansas City at LP Field.
Betting notes: Since Week 10 of last season, the Chiefs are 10-1-1 to the 'under' the past 12 contests, including a 5-0-1 'under' mark on the highway. The Titans have cashed in just two of the last six opportunities in the home underdog role, while losing three of those games by double-digits.
Patriots (-1, 45) at Bengals - 1:00 PM EST
New England: 4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS
Cincinnati: 2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS
Last week's results: New England put together another solid performance in a 30-23 road triumph at Atlanta last Sunday night. The Patriots cashed outright in their first underdog role of the season, while racking up 448 yards of offense to even up their ATS mark at 2-2. Cincinnati's roller-coaster season continued after getting shut down at Cleveland as short away favorites, 17-6. The Bengals gained only 266 yards of offense, while dropping to 0-2 on the highway.
Previous meeting result: The Patriots have won each of the last four matchups, including a 38-24 victory in the 2010 season opener as five-point home 'chalk.' New England dominated Cincinnati in each of the past two visits to Paul Brown Stadium, winning by 21 and 25 points.
Betting notes: New England has failed to cover four of the last six games in the road favorite role, but the Pats are 5-1 straight-up in this stretch. The Bengals have won five of their previous six home contests, while posting a 7-2 mark to the 'under' in the last nine games at Paul Brown Stadium.
Seahawks (-3, 44) at Colts - 1:00 PM EST
Seattle: 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS
Indianapolis: 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS
Last week's results: Seattle rallied to stun Houston in overtime, 23-20, erasing a 20-3 deficit to cash as one-point road favorites. The Seahawks won in spite of being outgained by 206 yards, while covering nine of 10 games since last December. The Colts routed the hapless Jaguars, 37-3 for their second straight win, while outscoring their last two opponents, 64-10.
Previous meeting result: Indianapolis crushed Seattle at Lucas Oil Stadium in 2009 by a 34-17 count as 10-point favorites. The teams have split the last eight matchups since 1991, with a majority of those games coming when the Seahawks played in the AFC.
Betting notes: Seattle is seeking road wins in successive weeks for the first time since 2007, while posting a 5-10 SU record on the highway under Pete Carroll when coming off a victory. The Colts won and covered in all four opportunities as a home underdog last season.
Saints (-1, 50 ½) at Bears - 1:00 PM EST
New Orleans: 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS
Chicago: 3-1 SU, 1-2-1 ATS
Last week's results: The Saints took care of the previously unbeaten Dolphins on Monday night, 38-17 as seven-point home favorites. New Orleans has cruised to three victories at the Superdome, while limiting each of its four opponents to 17 points or less. The Bears were stymied early in last Sunday's 40-32 defeat at Detroit, as Chicago trailed by as many as 24 points. Chicago turned the ball over four times, while hitting the 'over' for the fourth time in four games.
Previous meeting result: The Bears have won each of the last three matchups against the Saints at Soldier Field, but New Orleans destroyed Chicago at the Superdome back in 2011. The Saints took care of the Bears, 30-13 in Week 2 of the '11 season, which included three touchdown passes by Drew Brees.
Betting notes: New Orleans owns a 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS record in the last seven games in the road favorite role, with the lone SU win/ATS loss coming at Tampa Bay in Week 2. The Bears have drilled the 'over' in six straight games since last December, while posting a 1-6-1 ATS record the past eight games at Soldier Field.
Broncos (-7 ½, 57 ½) at Cowboys - 4:25 PM EST
Denver: 4-0 SU, 3-0-1 ATS
Dallas: 2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS
Last week's results: The Broncos' offense continues to look unstoppable after trouncing the Eagles, 52-20. Denver has topped the 37-point mark in all four games this season, while easily cashing the 'over' each time. The Cowboys blew a 21-10 lead in a 30-21 setback at San Diego last Sunday as a short road favorite, as Dallas hasn't been able to win consecutive games this season.
Previous meeting result: Denver rallied past Dallas as a short home underdog in 2009 by scoring the final 10 points of a 17-10 triumph. Even though these teams meet infrequently, the Broncos have won each of the last four matchups dating back to 1998.
Betting notes: The Broncos have cashed the 'over' in seven of the last eight games since Week 15 of last season, while winning seven consecutive road contests. The Cowboys have covered two of their last three opportunities as a home 'dog since 2010, but have lost each contest straight-up.
You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at firstname.lastname@example.org
Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.
9-3 L3 Sundays, +1,250 TY
9-2 Last 11 NFL Win Streak
7-0 L2 Thurs., 11-4 L15 Totals
10-4 L14 G-Plays, 9-4 L13 Totals
6-3 Run, 18-6 Totals, 22-11 L6 Sun.
10-4 L14 G-Plays, 27-14 L8 Sun.
5-1 Last 6 NFL Selections
8-3 Record Last 3 Sundays
4-0 Streak, 9-4 Totals TY
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10%
off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20%
off Daily Pick packages, and receive access to up to 1,000
Member Plays each month!