Gridiron Angles - Week 6
October 12, 2013
By Vince Akins
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NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND
-- The Vikings are 14-0 ATS since Nov 25, 1990 within 3 of pick at home when facing a team that has averaged at least 32 minutes of possession time season-to-date.
NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND
-- The Broncos are 0-10 ATS since Dec 31, 2006 at home when they won by 1-3 points last week.
TOP NFL PLAYER TREND
-- Tom Brady is 19-0 ATS (+12.1 ppg) in his career when between a 12 ½-point favorite and 3-point dog, vs he did not throw a TD pass against in his last meeting against them. Likely active week 6 against New Orleans.
NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND
-- The Cardinals are 11-0 ATS (+10.6 ppg) since December 1990 as a 6+ point underdog vs a team that has won two straight by double-digits.
NFL SUPER SYSTEM
-- Teams are just 20-32-2 ATS in weeks 6 and 7 of the season coming off their first win of the year last game. Active against Minnesota and Washington.
NFL O/U TREND
-- The Cowboys are 10-0 OU since Jan 09, 2010 at home after playing at home last game.
PICK SIXTY SPORTS WEEKLY TIP
The Detroit Lions head into Sunday’s game with Cleveland needing a win to keep pace in the tight NFC North following Chicago’s 27-21 win on Thursday. Odds on the road fave are teetering at -2 ½ as the football world awaits the status of WR Calvin Johnson. A “green light” and you can bet this line instantly hits -3. It’s the second straight away game for Detroit while Cleveland is playing their third consecutive home game but if your internal odds-making clock reads Advantage: Browns” you might want to consider these two angles:
- In the last seven seasons the 138 teams in the second-half of a two-game roadie where the line is within three points of ‘Pick em’ are 87-46-5 ATS (65-percent).
-- The Browns have a good group of defenders with a playmaker on punt returns (Travis Benjamin) but the Lions are 6-3 ATS in their last nine non-Conference games averaging 36.6 points on offense. At -2 ½ points or less we like the LIONS to cover.