VegasInsider.com
VI Mobile Scores and Betting OddsVI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds Be Social
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Golf
Auto
Horses
Soccer
Boxing/MMA
More
Betting Tools

 
Inside the Stats
Editor's Note: Don't miss out on Marc Lawrence's pro football and college football selections on VegasInisder.com this season!

Each week we take a look inside the numbers, from both a statistical and a pointspread aspect, on the college football and NFL cards. 
 
Here are this week’s findings…
 
Puttin’ on the Stats
 
With Halloween now in the rear view mirror, it’s on to the best time of the college football season – the month of November!
 
That’s because the combination of stats and angles combine to bring us the best winning edges of the year.
 
Our “Puttin’ On The Stats” theory is a dandy, and best of all it’s simple and it wins.
 
What we are looking to do from this point of the season out is to ‘Play On’ any team as a dog if they’ve won all – or all but one – of their games in total yards ITS (In The Stats) season-to-date.
 
Conversely, we will look to ‘Play Against’ any favorite that has lost all – or all but one – of their games in total yards ITS.
 
As we head toward Thanksgiving, here’s this year’s list of ‘Play On’ (as underdog) and ‘Play Against’ (as favorite) teams to fatten up on for the balance of the 2013 season:
 
Play On Dogs
 
*Arizona State
*Baylor
*BYU
Cincinnati
East Carolina
*Florida State
Georgia
Louisville
*Michigan State
Northern Illinois
Ohio State
Oklahoma
*Oregon
Virginia Tech
*Western Kentucky
 
Play Against Favorites
 
Central Michigan
Connecticut
Eastern Michigan
Florida International
Idaho
Kansas
*Miami-Ohio
New Mexico State
Purdue
Southern Miss
Temple
UMass
USF
UTEP
 
Important: An *asterisk indicates the team is either 100% -or- 0% ITS this season. Once an underdog loses the stats a second time, or a favorite wins the stats for the second time during the season, they immediately come off the list.
 
There you have it. Now pass the gravy and let the November feast begin.
 
Show Me The Money
 
It’s all about the money when it comes to betting the games.
 
Heading into this week’s action here is a list of the top money-makers and money-breakers and their ATS records in College Football (versus FBS foes) and the NFL this season:
 
Advertisement
College Best Dogs:
South Alabama (4-0), Auburn (3-0), Houston (3-0), Georgia State (5-1), and Temple (5-1).
 
College Worst Dogs: UTEP (0-6), Eastern Michigan (1-7), Arkansas (1-5) and Southern Miss (1-5).
 
College Best Favorites: Wisconsin (5-0), Buffalo (4-0), Minnesota (3-0), Oregon (6-1), Baylor (5-1) and North Texas (5-1).
 
College Worst Favorites: Troy (0-4), Georgia (1-6-1), Fresno State (1-5-1) and Tulsa (1-5).
 
NFL Best Dogs: Dallas (4-0) and Indianapolis (3-0).
 
NFL Worst Dogs: Atlanta (0-4), Pittsburgh (0-3) and Jacksonville (1-7).
 
NFL Best Favorites: San Francisco (6-1).
 
NFL Worst Favorites: Houston (0-3).
  
Vinegar And Oil
 
While they gone the way of 8-track players and typewriters of late, our ‘leaking oil’ theory (playing against favorites who have lost the stats in each of their previous three games) finds the following teams going out as creaky chalk this week:
 
NCAAFB: Boston College, Florida, Indiana, Iowa, New Mexico
 
NFL: Indianapolis and Pittsburgh.
 
These plays now stand at 13-16 ATS overall this season, including 9-11 in CFB and 4-5 in the NFL.
  
Over Powering
 
There have been 72 ‘OVERS’, 58 ‘UNDERS’ and 2 TIES this season in the NFL.
 
On the heels of another commanding 4-0 performance last week, non-conference games (AFC vs. NFC) have been solid gold.  These games have gone 31-11 OVER (73%).
 
This week’s potential non-conference OVERS would be:
 
Oakland at NY Giants
St. Louis at Indianapolis
Houston at Arizona
Miami at Tampa Bay
 
Stat Of The Week
 
Alabama has outscored opponents, 151-0, in the first half of its last six games.

  
HEADLINES
Intertops: Title Game Props
BetOnline.ag: Sunday's NFC Best Bet
BetOnline.ag: SB52 Matchup Odds
DiNitto: OLR - Title Games
Patriots QB Brady practices with gloves
Vrabel interviews for Titans' job
Foles, Keenum have strong connections
Raiders rehire Cable as O-line coach
Steelers select Randy Fichtner as OC
MORE HEADLINES
 
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
NFL Pro Football Handicapper Sports Picks Records
NFL Hot Streaks
11 NFL Wins in a Row
7-0 L7, 11-2 L13 NFL Streak
4-0 LW, 13-5 Totals, 25-11 L7 Sun.
7-2 Run, 24-11 L7 Sundays
6-0 Guarantees, 4-1 Playoffs
9-3 Playoffs, 5-1 L6 Totals
7-1 Playoff Picks, 7-2 L9 G-Plays
6-0 L6 G-Plays, 5-2 Playoffs
12-3 L15 G-Plays, 12-4 L16 Picks
2-0 Sunday, 6-0 G-Play Run
4-0 L2 Sundays, 28-10 G-Play Run
7-2 L9 Picks, 6-1 L7 Totals
9-1 L5 Sun, 14-5 Run, 21-5 GPlays
9-4 L13 G-Plays, +1,845 Picks TY
5-0 Totals, 11-3 G-Plays, 9-4 Picks
9-2 L11 G-Plays, 64% +1,105 TY
2-0 Sunday, 6-1 L7 Guarantees
3-1 L2 Sat, 5-2 L3 Sun, 8-1 G-Plays
6-0 L6 Guarantees, 10-4 L14 Picks
2-0 Saturday, 11-4 L15 G-Plays
10-5, +756 Postseason Record
2-0 Sun, 3-1 L2 Sat, 12-3 G-Plays
4-2 LW, 8-3 L11 Guarantees
4-1 L2 Sundays, 5-0 L5 G-Plays
7-1 L8 G-Plays, 23-13 L36 Picks
6-2 L8 Picks, 12-4 L16 Totals
5-1 L6 Guaranteed Plays
4-1 L5 Picks, 4-0 L4 Totals
3-0 Guarantees, 3-1 Last Week
NFL Pro Football Expert Sports Picks - AFC Championship - Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots
2017 NFL SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Pat Hawkins + 1845
Gary Bart + 1737
Zack Cimini + 1105
Last Week's Leaders
Handicapper Money
Paul Bovi + 400
NeiltheGreek + 362
Doc's Sports + 300
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Zack Cimini 64 %
Michael Black 59 %
Pat Hawkins 59 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Michael Black + 1566
Scott Rickenbach + 1269
Paul Bovi + 787
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
NeiltheGreek + 669
Stephen Nover + 563
Vince Akins + 432
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
Bill Marzano + 531
The Gold Sheet + 460
Jimmy Boyd + 420
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!
VI Gold Membership