Week 10 Tips
November 7, 2013
By Kevin Rogers
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Eagles at Packers - 1:00 PM EST
Philadelphia: 4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS
Green Bay: 5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS
Last week's results: The Packers were dealt a major blow as Aaron Rodgers suffered a broken left collarbone in Monday's 27-20 home loss to the Bears. Rodgers left the game in the first quarter and is expected to miss at least four weeks, which will hurt Green Bay in this tight NFC North race. The Eagles are trying to string together some wins and started with a bang in last Sunday's 49-20 rout of the Raiders as a one-point underdog. Nick Foles tossed seven touchdown passes, as Philadelphia rebounded after scoring just 10 points in its previous two games combined.
Previous meeting results: The Packers eliminated the Eagles from the playoffs in the 2010 Wild Card round, 21-16 as one-point road underdogs. Philadelphia is visiting Lambeau Field for just the second time since 2004, as six of the last seven meetings have finished 'under' the total.
Betting notes: The last time the Packers failed to cover in successive home games came back in 2008, as Green Bay has won 10 consecutive games at Lambeau Field off a loss. The Eagles have won four of five road contests this season, while owning a modest 2-1 ATS record as an underdog.
Seahawks at Falcons - 1:00 PM EST
Seattle: 8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS
Atlanta: 2-6 SU, 2-6 ATS
Last week's results: The Seahawks rallied from a 21-0 deficit to stun the Buccaneers, 24-21, but Seattle didn't cover as heavy home favorites. Seattle has now won 12 straight home contests, while maintaining the top record in the NFC. The Falcons stumbled again on the road, falling at Carolina, 34-10 as 10-point underdogs. Atlanta has been outscored, 61-23 in its last two losses, while losing five of its past six overall.
Previous meeting results: The Falcons held off the Seahawks in last season's epic NFC Divisional Playoff contest, 30-28. Atlanta built a 20-0 halftime lead, but Seattle came all the way back to grab a 28-27 lead with 30 seconds remaining. The Falcons kicked a 49-yard field goal for the win, but failed to cover as three-point favorites.
Betting notes: The Seahawks own a solid 4-1 record away from home this season, while covering three times in the favorite role. The Falcons are 2-2 SU/ATS at the Georgia Dome, while winning and covering 11 straight home games coming off a loss.
Lions at Bears - 1:00 PM EST
Detroit: 5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS
Chicago: 5-3, 2-5-1 ATS
Last week's results: The Bears picked up a key divisional road victory on Monday by knocking off the Packers, 27-20 as 10-point road underdogs. Josh McCown threw two touchdown passes in place of the injured Jay Cutler, while Matt Forte rushed for 125 yards and a score. The Lions are fresh off the bye, as Detroit is still in good spirits after stealing a victory from the Cowboys two weeks ago, 31-30. Detroit failed to cover as three-point favorites, as the Lions have alternated wins and losses in their last five games.
Previous meeting results: The Lions jumped out to a 30-13 halftime edge, as Detroit held off Chicago, 40-32 to cash as three-point home favorites in Week 4. Chicago turned the ball over four times, including three interceptions from Cutler. The Bears have won five straight home meetings with the Lions, but Detroit has covered in three of the last five visits to Soldier Field.
Betting notes: The Lions have cashed the 'over' in four of the last five games overall, but Detroit is 3-1 to the 'under' on the highway this season. Since the start of the 2012 season, the Bears are just 2-7 ATS against NFC North opponents.
Panthers at 49ers - 4:05 PM EST
Carolina: 5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS
San Francisco: 6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS
Last week's results: The Panthers stayed hot by winning their fourth straight game, a 34-10 rout of the rival Falcons. Carolina has scored at least 30 points in each of its last four victories, while limiting its last four opponents to 15 points or fewer. The 49ers have won five consecutive games, while coming off the bye after trouncing the Jaguars in London two weeks ago, 42-10.
Previous meeting results: These teams haven't met since 2010, when the Panthers slipped past the Niners, 23-20 as short home underdogs. Carolina hasn't visited Candlestick Park since 2004, as the Panthers knocked off San Francisco, 37-27.
Betting notes: The Panthers have hit the 'over' in three of four road games this season, while posting a 6-0 ATS record as a road underdog since the start of 2012. San Francisco has covered five straight games, while going 'over' the total four times during this hot streak. The Niners have won seven of their last eight games at Candlestick since tying the Rams last November, as San Francisco has cashed six times in this stretch at home.
Broncos at Chargers - 4:25 PM EST
Denver: 7-1 SU, 4-3-1 ATS
San Diego: 4-4 SU, 5-2-1 ATS
Last week's results: Denver is fresh off the bye week, while dropping 31 fourth quarter points in its previous game against Washington, a 45-21 triumph as 11-point favorites. The Broncos snapped a three-game ATS slide in the win over the Redskins, as Peyton Manning tossed four touchdowns and three interceptions. The Chargers also played the Redskins in their last game, but San Diego fell in overtime to Washington, 30-24. The Bolts were making their third trip to the East Coast already this season, while allowing their most points since Week 2 at Philadelphia.
Previous meeting results: Last season, the Broncos swept the season series from the Chargers, which included a remarkable comeback in San Diego. On a Monday night in October 2012, Denver erased a 24-0 halftime deficit to stun San Diego with 35 unanswered points in the second half of a 35-24 triumph. The Chargers have lost three of the last four home meetings with the Broncos.
Betting notes: The Broncos have cashed the 'over' in all eight contests this season, while scoring at least 33 points in each contest. The Chargers haven't lost consecutive games this season, putting together a 3-0 SU/ATS record off a defeat.
You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at email@example.com
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