Trend leans to Miami on MNF
November 10, 2013
By VI News
This week’s Monday Night Football matchup between Miami (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) and Tampa Bay (0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS) will receive extra attention this week and it’s certainly not for the two teams on the field
The Miami Dolphins will attempt to move past national headlines involving an alleged internal harassment between players, notably offensive linemen Jonathan Martin and Richie Incognito. Martin has left the team for personal reasons and Incognito has been suspended indefinitely.
Looking to pile on Miami’s mess will be Tampa Bay, who is still searching for its first win of the season. The Buccaneers almost pulled off the biggest upset of the season last week but came up short to the Seahawks 27-24 as 16 ½-point road underdogs.
Combining the Bucs’ effort last week and the locker room issues for the Dolphins, some pundits are expecting Tampa Bay to capture its first victory of the season on Monday. That could easily happen but before you run to the betting counter and wager on Tampa Bay, make sure you’re aware of a very strong trend that’s been followed by many handicappers and bettors this season.
Play against any team in their “Next Game” after they played Seattle
If you’ve followed the above trend blindly, you would be looking at a 7-1 record both straight up and against the spread.
The only team to post a win after playing Seattle this season was Arizona, who defeated the Falcons 27-13 at home in Week 8.
Another common theme with the losses has been the points allowed by the teams who just faced the Seahawks. In the eight games this season, the teams have given up an average of 26.9 points per game in the next game.
Miami opened as a 3 ½-point road favorite against Tampa Bay and most betting shops have dropped the number to 2 ½ as of late Sunday.
Week 1 - Carolina vs. Seattle
Next Game: Panthers lost at Buffalo, 24-23
Week 2 - San Francisco at Seattle
Next Game: 49ers lost at home to Colts, 29-3
Week 3 – Jacksonville at Seattle
Next Game: Jaguars lost to Colts, 37-3
Week 4 – Houston vs. Seattle
Next Game: Texans lost at 49ers, 34-3
Week 5 – Indianapolis at Seattle
Next Game: Colts lost at Chargers, 19-9
Week 6 – Tennessee at Seattle
Next Game: Titans lost at home to 49ers, 31-17
Week 7 –Arizona vs. Seattle
Next Game: Cardinals defeated Falcons at home, 27-13
Week 8 –St. Louis vs. Seattle
Next Game: Rams lost at home to Titans, 28-21
Week 9 – Tampa Bay at Seattle
Next Game: TBD
11-5 L4 Sundays, +1,440 TY
3-0 Sunday, 7-2 Guarantees TY
8-1 L3 Thurs., 17-6 L23 Totals
3-1 Sun., 12-4 G-Plays, 10-4 Totals
3-0 Week 13, 10-5 L15 G-Plays
20-8 L28 Totals, 26-13 L7 Sundays
11-4 L15 G-Plays, 30-16 L9 Sun.
2-0 Thurs., 7-3 Run, 10-5 Totals TY
4 Guaranteed Wins in a Row
12-5 L17 Totals, 27-16 L43 Picks
6-3 Last 9 NFL Selections
10-4 Record Last 4 Sundays
2-0 Monday, 14-8 L22 Picks
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