Gridiron Angles - Week 13
November 29, 2013
By Vince Akins
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NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
-- The Chargers are 10-0 ATS (14.55 ppg) since Oct 14, 2007 at home when one game under 500.
NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
-- The Titans are 0-11 ATS (-8.82 ppg) since Dec 19, 2004 after a game in which they had at least 300 yards passing.
TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
-- Carson Palmer is 0-8 ATS (-14.44 ppg) since December 2011 as more than a two-point dog when he threw for between 205 and 370 yards last week.
NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
-- The Chiefs are 0-17-2 OU (-9.3 ppg) since January 2005 when the total in the game is at least 47.
NFL SUPER SYSTEM:
-- Teams that scored at least 27 points while gaining less than 255 yards last game are 79-52-7 OU. Active on Cincinnati.
NFL O/U TREND:
-- The Panthers are 0-12 OU (-8.21 ppg) since Dec 12, 2004 as a home favorite when they have had a negative dpa in each of their last two games.
PICK SIXTY SPORTS WEEKLY TIP:
The playoff picture is slowly starting to take shape as we flip the calendars to December and following Dallas’ win over the Raiders, Sunday night’s game between the New York Giants and Washington Redskins essentially becomes an elimination game. Washington was already manhandled by the 49ers in the first of its three-game home stand and if they even want anyone to show up for next week’s game against the Chiefs, the Skins better learn to play some defense and quick!
The Giants followed their Week 9 bye with three consecutive home games and they won the first two before getting swept in the season series vs. the Cowboys in Week 12. So far this season, teams who travel after an extended home stand are 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS and 1-5 O/U. The longterm look-back (since 1989) shows a 50-percent record ATS with a slight lean to the under (55-percent) and the more recent record for totals is 27-46 O/U (63-percent UN).
Totals of 44 or more resulted in 6 overs and 18 unders the past six years and when the ATS line is single-digits, either way, that mark reduces to 3-18 O/U (85-percent UN). The Sunday night total is available at 46.5 and for this week’s tip we are taking the Giants and Redskins UNDER.
16-2 G-Plays, 6-1 Totals, 13-7 Picks
5-1 Run, 8-0 L8 Guarantees
6-2 L8 Picks, +2,280 Overall TY
9-3 L12 Picks, +1,685 This Season
4-1 Week 14, 9-2 L11 Picks
9-1 L2 Sundays, 18-9 G-Plays TY
6-2 Sunday, +1,449 Net Profits TY
5-0 Last 5 Guaranteed Run
7-2 G-Plays, 16-7 L10 Sun, 65% TY
11-2 L2 Sundays, 49-24 L12 Sun.
3-1 L4 G-Plays, 5-2 L7 Selections
19-7 Last 26 Guaranteed Plays
5-2 L7 Totals, 8-4 L12 Picks
2-0 Week 14, 3-0 L3 G-Plays
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