Gridiron Angles - Week 16
December 21, 2013
By Vince Akins
NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
-- The Giants are 16-0 ATS (10.62 ppg) since September 26, 1999 on the road if not favored by more than nine, when they are facing a team that has allowed at least 12 yards per completion season-to-date.
NFL PLAYER TREND:
-- The Bears are 13-0 OU (12.96 ppg) since November 13, 2011 the week after a win in which Matt Forte didn’t have a 20+ yard reception.
NFL BIBLE ATS TREND:
-- The Cowboys are 16-0 ATS (+10.5 ppg) since 1998 when they are off a Sunday game in which they allowed 400-plus yards of offense and at least 35 points.
NFL BIBLE OU TREND:
-- The Lions are 15-0 OU (+12.7 ppg) since November 2007 facing an opponent which controlled the ball for less than 26:30 last game.
NFL SUPER SYSTEM:
-- Teams coming off a game where the total was at least 49 and the game went under the total by at least 12 points are 32-57-1 OU. Active with Detroit and Baltimore.
NFL O/U OVER TREND:
-- The Rams are 12-0 OU (7.92 ppg) since September 25, 2005 at home after a game in which they sacked the opposing quarterback at least 4 times.
PICK SIXTY SPORTS WEEKLY TIP:
Try as it might, December is yet to curb the high scoring trend of this year’s NFL games and the past two weeks our records show a tally of 21 overs and 11 unders. The overall record since Week 13 which includes November (Thanksgiving) and December games is 28-20 O/U (58-percent) and one of the unders was the first meeting between the Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints (UN 47). The 34-7 loss brought Carolina’s eight-game winning streak to an end but last week vs. New York, the Panthers took a double-digit lead into the half and won 30-20.
The Panthers were quick to remind fans that the 27-point blowout to New Orleans was more a fluke than anything but they still have a lot to prove. This angle has produced a modest 53-38-2 O/U record since realignment but you’ll note an upward trend of 9 overs and 4 unders the past two seasons (69-percent OV). In four games this year (3-1 O/U) the three overs have each cleared the bar by double-digits (23.3 avg) and in this rematch we expect both offenses to have some success.
Pick: Take the Saints-Panthers OVER 46 points
5-1 Playoffs, 14-4 Run, 64% +2,205
10-1 NFL Guaranteed Streak
4-0 LW, 17-5 Totals, +1,652 TY
6-1 L7, 17-6 Run, 9-3 G-Plays
8-1 L9 G-Plays, 10-4 L14 Picks
2-0 Last Sunday, 10-3 G-Plays TY
6-1 Divisional Round Record
2-0 Sunday, 7-2 L9 Guarantees
6-2 Playoffs, 19-9 L28 G-Plays
6-2 Last 8 NFL Guarantees
26-10 Last 36 Over/Unders
3-0 Sunday, 5-1 L6 Selections
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