Gridiron Angles - Week 17
December 28, 2013
By Vince Akins
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NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
-- The Saints are 11-0-1 ATS (14.62 ppg) since October 23, 2011 as a home favorite when they won their last two home games.
NFL PLAYER TREND:
-- The Falcons are 9-0 ATS (10.50 ppg) since November 2, 2008 after a loss in which Roddy White had a receiving touchdown.
NFL BIBLE ATS TREND:
-- The Lions are 11-0 ATS (+9.6 ppg) since October 25, 1992 as a road dog when their dps was negative in their last three games.
NFL BIBLE OU TREND:
-- The Eagles are 0-15 OU (-11.1 ppg) since December 25, 2006 when they scored at least 15 points more than expected last game.
NFL O/U OVER TREND:
-- The Cardinals are 14-0 OU (7.43 ppg) since December 05, 2004 as a dog with the total of at least 37 after a game in which they committed at least four turnovers.
NFL O/U UNDER TREND:
-- The Panthers are 0-11 OU (-7.86 ppg) since October 20, 1996 as a 7+ favorite when their ats margin increased over each of their past two games.
NFL SUPER SYSTEM:
-- Teams which game went under by at least 16 points last game and at least 18 two games ago are 36-21-3 OU. Active on Seattle.
PICK SIXTY SPORTS WEEKLY TIP:
One of the key matchups in this week’s all-divisional card is the Baltimore Ravens vs. the Cincinnati Bengals. Baltimore needs to win just to have a chance at the postseason while Cincinnati can win to give itself a shot at the No. 2 seed, pending New England’s result vs. Buffalo. The current line on this game is Bengals -6 and O/U 44.5 and there is an Over/Under scenario “live” with a record of 17 overs, 35 unders and 4 pushes since 1989.
Cincinnati is avenging an overtime loss from earlier this season and coming off a Week 16 win by more than 10 points. The Bengals are expected to use a full complement of starters on both sides of the football and looking back since 2010 we can see that all three Week 17 matchups between these teams finished below 44 points. In what should be a solid defensive game, look for this contest to follow a familiar pattern and stay below the number.
Pick: Take the Ravens-Bengals UNDER 44.5 points