January 6, 2014
By Mike Rose
Divisional Round Breakdown
There are only eight teams left standing in the fight for the Lombardi Trophy, and today at Vegas Insiders, we're breaking down the four games with some great trends to remember for each of the games.
No. 6 New Orleans Saints at No. 1 Seattle Seahawks
The Line: Seattle -8 (47.5)
The Seahawks won the first meeting of the year 34-7, and they still have only lost one game at home in the career of QB Russell Wilson. They've got four straight ATS wins against teams with a winning record at home, and they are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 against teams with winning records. New Orleans did cover last week against the Philadelphia Eagles, but that ended a skid of six straight ATS losses away from home. New Orleans has gone just 5-11 ATS in its last 16 playoff games. The 'under' is 5-0 in New Orleans' last five road games, and it is 5-0 in Seattle's last five games played since their Week 12 bye.
No. 4 Indianapolis Colts at. No. 2 New England Patriots
The Line: New England -7.5 (53)
These two teams didn't meet this season, and this is the only matchup of the weekend where the two teams haven't squared off. Last season though, New England won 59-24 when these clubs met. There have only been two other teams in NFL history who have come back from down 24 points or more to win playoff games. The next week, those teams are 1-1 SU and ATS with extremely mixed results. The Buffalo Bills stormed into the AFC Championship Game after beating the Houston Oilers. The San Francisco 49ers collapsed and lost by 35 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Pats are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 playoff games, and they have played 10 of those 11 games here at Gillette Stadium (2-8 ATS). New England went 6-2 ATS this season at home. The 'under' has cashed in Indy's last six playoff games, but the 'over' is 44-18-1 in New England's last 63 games played on field turf. The 'over' is also 3-0-1 in New England's last four playoff games played in the Divisional Round of the postseason.
No. 5 San Francisco 49ers at No. 2 Carolina Panthers
The Line: San Francisco -1.5 (43)
The Panthers are the only home underdogs this weekend, and this game also represents the lowest 'total' of the week to boot. The Niners didn't score an offensive touchdown in a 10-9 loss at home to these Panthers earlier this year. Carolina has only been to the NFC Championship Game two other times in its history. San Fran has been there in consecutive seasons. The Panthers are 11-1 SU and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Niners have won seven games in a row and are 4-2-1 ATS in those games. The 'under' is 8-1 in Carolina's last nine games, but the 'over' is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in this series.
No. 6 San Diego Chargers at No. 1 Denver Broncos
The Line: Denver -10 (54.5)
The Broncos are the biggest favorites of the weekend, and this one has the highest 'total' on the board even though both games this season were decided by one score and neither got into the 50s. San Diego is the only team to win in Denver this season. The Bolts have gone 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 playoff games. The Broncos are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight against AFC West teams, but both the loss and the push came against San Diego. The 'under' is 6-2 in the Chargers' last eight games overall, while Denver has pushed four straight playoff games past the closing number.
5-1 Playoffs, 14-4 Run, 64% +2,205
10-1 NFL Guaranteed Streak
4-0 LW, 17-5 Totals, +1,652 TY
6-1 L7, 17-6 Run, 9-3 G-Plays
8-1 L9 G-Plays, 10-4 L14 Picks
2-0 Last Sunday, 10-3 G-Plays TY
6-1 Divisional Round Record
2-0 Sunday, 7-2 L9 Guarantees
6-2 Playoffs, 19-9 L28 G-Plays
6-2 Last 8 NFL Guarantees
26-10 Last 36 Over/Unders
3-0 Sunday, 5-1 L6 Selections
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