Trends to Watch - November
November 3, 2017
By Marc Lawrence
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Courtesy of the 2017 PLAYBOOK magazine and the well-oiled machine (aka our sports database), here are the best and worst situational roles for NFL teams during the month of November.
Keep an eye on (Good): Buffalo is off to good start to the season and has been a very strong wager over the years this month at 31-19 ATS. Unfortunately, they only have one such game at home and that is on Nov. 12th against New Orleans.
Bad: Cleveland and the now Los Angeles Rams have not done well at home as we head into the second half of the season. The Browns are 11-24 ATS and lucky for them just have Jacksonville (11/19). The Rams have shown great improvement and will try and better a miserable 17-37 ATS mark versus Houston (11/12) and two weeks later against the Saints.
Keep an eye on (Bad): It has not been the kind of season Oakland and the New York Giants expected. It might stay the same or get worse with the G-Men 20-33 ATS in New Jersey. The Rams pay a visit on the first Sunday of the month and Kansas City on the 19th.
The Raiders are 18-32 ATS and have revenge game with Denver (11/26), after giving up home game the week before against New England (Mexico City).
Good: It might surprise even avid football bettors to know the Houston is 19-8 ATS in the road whites. The Texans have sojourns to L.A. (Rams) on the 12th and on the last Monday of November to Baltimore.
Keep an eye on (Good): Chicago has been a rough roadster to take on at 37-21 ATS and we will find out exactly how they hold up when in Philadelphia (11/26).
The Carson Chargers have said they feel like they are playing 16 road games this season with no home field advantage. The Bolts are very respectable 30-20 ATS in true road contests and are at Jacksonville (11/12) and Dallas on Thanksgiving.
Usually by this time of year, Tampa Bay is out of playoffs talk and plays loose and is 35-23 ATS. They have a pair of division roadies in the Bayou on Nov. 5th and in Atlanta (11/26).
Indianapolis is solid 34-18 ATS away, but that was with much better clubs than this one taking on Houston (11/5).
Keep an eye on (Bad): The Lions have not performed well out of the Motor City this month with 17-29 ATS record and will be in Green Bay (where they are 1-25 SU in their last 26 visits) on the first Monday night and in Chi-Town 13 days later.
Bad: It's been years since Washington was good favorite this time of year as 14-29 ATS record attests. They will be favored over the Giants on a now meaningless Thanksgiving evening encounter and possibly when hosting Minnesota (11/12).
Keep an eye on (Bad): Oakland has not handled this role well and is 17-29 ATS. However, the only time they figure to hand out points is there last home game of the month vs. the Broncos.
The Rams are desultory 16-26 ATS handing out digits. With improved squad they might do better and should be favored at the Giants (11/5), Houston (11/12) and New Orleans (11/26). None of these are certain, so please check with this in mind.
Keep an eye on (Good): We have quite a few teams and possibilities, so let's get to them. After a bye week to start November, Chicago could be home underdogs against Green Bay and Detroit, but not necessarily. However, for sure they will be at Philadelphia (11/26) and let's see how they do with 40-26 ATS.
It's been a disappointing campaign thus far for Denver and it might not improve for a while as underdogs at Philly (11/5) and home against New England (11/12). At least the Broncos are 19-12 ATS in the role and we will have to see what the sportsbooks say about their confrontation at Oakland (11/26).
Tampa Bay is a strong 43-25 ATS catching points this month and has two division games in which they will seek to improve that record at the Saints (11/5) and three weeks later in Atlanta.
Minnesota is 27-17 ATS as dogs and might have one such assignment at Detroit on Thanksgiving.
Bad: Even when the Giants have had better teams than this year's bunch they were 13-31 ATS as underdogs. That is not a good number having to play the L.A. Rams (11/5), K.C. (11/19) and on a short week at Washington (11/23).
Keep an eye on (Bad): Detroit 24-40 ATS and has a couple of iffy s to be underdogs, at Chicago (11/19) and home to the Vikings in Thanksgiving, depending on how they are playing at the time.
Shocking to see Cleveland with 18-29 ATS record right! After Week 9 bye, the Browns will dogs in order at Detroit, vs. Jacksonville and at neighboring Cincinnati.
Keep an eye on (Good): New Orleans has cleaned up nicely in the NFC South at 28-15 ATS and has Tampa Bay in town on the 5th.
As mentioned here, Oakland fits a couple bad trends in November, yet they are 29-19 ATS in division. You will have to decide which of the angles listed is correct when they battle with Denver (11/26).
Keep an eye on (Bad): The Browns seem to be bad at everything and they are 12-20 ATS against AFC North foes. They will be in southern Ohio to face the Bengals (11/26) this month.
Tennessee checks in at 18-28 when in division skirmishes and will be in Indianapolis three days after Turkey Day.
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