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Pick Six - Week 13
Week 12 Record: 1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS
Overall Record: 35-37 SU, 31-38-1 ATS

Lions at Ravens (-3, 43) – 1:00 PM EST

Detroit
Record: 6-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS, 8-3 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 66/1

The Lions had their three-game winning streak come to a halt in a 30-23 Thanksgiving home loss to the Vikings. Detroit had an opportunity to pull off the season sweep of Minnesota and creep within one game of the Vikings for first place in the NFC North, but the Lions couldn’t overcome an early 20-3 deficit. The Lions have cashed the OVER in six of the past seven games, including three straight away from Ford Field. Detroit has performed well on the highway by winning four of five on the road, while eclipsing the 24-point mark four times.

Baltimore
Record: 6-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS, 6-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 40/1

The Ravens aren’t going away in the AFC Wild Card race after holding off the Texans last Monday, 23-16. Baltimore’s offense isn’t impressing anyone (23 points or less four of the past five games), but the Ravens have allowed one touchdown or less in three of the previous four contests. The last time the Ravens and Lions hooked up at Ford Field in 2013, kicker Justin Tucker booted six field goals as Baltimore edged Detroit, 18-16, including the 61-yard game-winner in the final minute.

Best Bet: Lions +3

Vikings at Falcons (-3, 47) – 1:00 PM EST

Minnesota
Record: 9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS, 6-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 10/1

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The Vikings are continuing their push towards the top of the NFC after pulling out their seventh consecutive victory on Thanksgiving at Detroit. Minnesota has covered in each of the past six wins, including five straight as a favorite, as the Vikings own a 1-1 SU/ATS record in the underdog role this season. Not only the defense been great for Minnesota this season, but the offense continues to churn out points by posting at least 30 points in three of the past four games, all away from U.S. Bank Stadium.

Atlanta
Record: 7-4 SU, 5-6 ATS, 6-5 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 16/1

The Falcons have gone through many ups and downs this season, starting 3-0, dropping four of five, but are trending up of late by winning three straight games. Atlanta’s offense, which disappeared during its losing stretch, has come back to life by posting 27, 34, and 34 points the last three weeks. The Falcons pulled away from the Buccaneers late last Sunday, 34-20 to cash as 10 ½-point favorites, while improving to 6-1 against NFC opponents.

Best Bet: Falcons -3

Texans at Titans (-6 ½, 43) – 1:00 PM EST

Houston
Record: 4-7 SU, 7-4 ATS, 6-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 250/1

Houston’s season fell apart when Deshaun Watson suffered a torn ACL in practice in early November. The Texans have lost three of four since a 41-38 setback at Seattle when Watson threw for 402 yards and four touchdowns. Houston has dropped four consecutive road games since beating Cincinnati in Week 2, but the Texans improved to 4-1 ATS on the highway following last Monday’s 23-16 defeat as 7 ½-point underdogs. The Texans destroyed the Titans in their first meeting, 57-14 as 2 ½-point underdogs in Week 4, the sixth win in the last seven meetings by Houston.

Tennessee
Record: 7-4 SU, 4-6-1 ATS, 7-4 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 40/1

The Titans are back in a first place tie atop the AFC South with the Jaguars after Tennessee rallied past Indianapolis, 20-16 last Sunday to cash as three-point road favorites. Tennessee has won five of its previous six games, although the Titans have covered only twice in this span. The Titans have had several close shaves during this recent run with margin of victories coming by 3, 3, 4, and 4. Since finished UNDER the total in Week 1 against Oakland, the Titans are 4-0 to the OVER in their past four games at Nissan Stadium.

Best Bet: Texans +6 ½

Patriots (-8 ½, 48 ½) at Bills – 1:00 PM EST

New England
Record: 9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS, 6-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 5/2

The Patriots’ train kept rolling in a 35-17 blowout of the Dolphins last Sunday to barely cash as 17-point home favorites. New England extended its winning streak to seven games, while covering six times in this span. This division rivalry has been owned by New England over the years as the Patriots have compiled an impressive 17-3 SU and 11-7-2 ATS record against the Bills since 2007. The Patriots have won in their last five visits to Buffalo, while scoring at least 37 points in four of those victories.

Buffalo
Record: 6-5 SU, 6-4-1 ATS, 6-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 80/1

The Bills rebounded from a 30-point setback to the Chargers by knocking off the Chiefs last Sunday as 8 ½-point road underdogs, 16-10. For this time since Week 1, Buffalo outgained its opponent from a yardage standpoint, while putting an end to a five-game OVER streak and three-game losing skid. The Bills began the season with four consecutive home wins before getting routed by the Saints in Week 10 by 37 points.

Best Bet: Patriots -8 ½

Panthers at Saints (-4 ½, 48) – 4:25 PM EST

Carolina
Record: 8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS, 6-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 20/1

The Panthers rebounded from an ugly loss at Chicago in mid-October to run off four straight victories to pull into a first place tie with the Saints atop the NFC South. Carolina held off the Jets last Sunday, 35-27 to cash as 5 ½-point favorites, while finishing off a 4-0 sweep of the AFC East. A low scoring game through three quarters blew up in the final 15 minutes as the teams combined for 27 points, including a pair of non-offensive touchdowns for Carolina. The Panthers own a dreadful 0-5 ATS record in the past five meetings with the Saints, including a 34-13 home blowout to New Orleans as five-point favorites in Week 3.

New Orleans
Record: 8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS, 6-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 12/1

The Saints had their eight-game winning streak end against the Rams last Sunday in a 26-20 defeat as 2 ½-point underdogs. Rookie running back Alvin Kamara produced both touchdowns for New Orleans to go along with 188 all-purpose yards, but dropped its first game away from the Superdome since Week 1 at Minnesota. New Orleans covered in its first seven contests of the season before failing to cash in an overtime victory against Washington in Week 11. Each of the past two meetings at the Superdome have been decided by exact 41-38 scores as New Orleans won last season and Carolina was victorious in 2015.

Best Bet: Carolina +4 ½

Rams (-7, 45) at Cardinals – 4:25 PM EST

Los Angeles
Record: 8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS, 6-5 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 12/1

The Rams rebounded following a 17-point defeat at Minnesota in Week 11 as Los Angeles held off New Orleans, 26-20 to win its fifth game in its past six tries. L.A. seeks the season sweep of Arizona after blanking the Cardinals in London, 33-0 in Week 7 to easily cover as three-point favorites. Running back Todd Gurley rushed for 106 yards and a touchdown, while the Rams held the ball for 39 minutes. The Rams have won four of five games away from the Coliseum this season, while scoring at least 35 points in three of those victories.

Arizona
Record: 5-6 SU, 3-7-1 ATS, 7-4 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 100/1

The Cardinals snapped a two-game skid in a 27-24 home underdog victory over the Jaguars last Sunday. Arizona has yet to win consecutive games this season, while compiling an 0-3-1 ATS record off a victory. The Cardinals are 2-1-1 ATS as a home underdog, but have lost each of their last two meetings at home with the Rams by a combined six points. Three of Arizona’s five wins are by three points apiece, while the Cardinals have not covered in a loss this season and are 0-18 ATS in their last 18 losses.

Best Bet: Rams -7

You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at rogers@vegasinsider.com

Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.

  
HEADLINES
· Rogers: MNF - Giants at Falcons
· Roberts: Bettors win Week 7
· BetDSI: Monday's Top Wager
· Bookmaker: Top Props - Giants at Falcons
· YouWager.eu: Monday's Best Bet
· Williams: Betting Recap - Week 7
· Raiders trade WR Cooper to Cowboys
· Chiefs finish their tough stretch of season
· Eagles in search of new identity
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