NFC Wild Card Notes
January 1, 2018
By VI News
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Saturday, January 6, 2018
NFC – Atlanta at L.A. Rams – 8:15 p.m. (NBC)
Opening Line (1/1/18): L.A. Rams -5 ½ (-120), 49
Current Line (1/1/18): L.A. Rams -5 ½ (-120), 49
Atlanta Road Record: 5-3 SU, 2-6 ATS
L.A. Rams Home Record: 4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS
Head-to-Head: The Falcons pounded the Rams by a 42-14 score on Dec. 11, 2016 in Los Angeles, covering a 4 1/2-point spread while the 'over' (44) cashed. The favorite has cashed in 13 of the past 16 meetings, with the Falcons going 5-2 ATS in the past seven in this series. The 'over' has cashed in 16 of the past 21 meetings, including 5-2 in the past seven meetings in St. Louis/Los Angeles.
Playoff Notes: Atlanta is back in the postseason looking to atone for a late collapse in Super Bowl LI, as they blew a 25-point lead against the New England Patriots to fall 34-28 in overtime. The Rams clinched the NFC West title for the first time since 2003. The Rams are also back in the postseason for the first time since 2004, when they beat the Seahawks in the wild card before bowing against, yep, you guessed it, the Falcons in Atlanta by a 47-17 score.
Total Notes: Atlanta wrapped up the season with five consecutive 'under' results, while hitting the under in 10 of their final 13 outings. On the flip side, Los Angeles hit the 'over' in each of their final five outings. At home, the over was 4-4, including 2-0 in the final two outings. The 'under' is 4-0 in Atlanta's past four against teams with a winning overall record, while going 3-1-1 in their past five playoff road games. The 'over' is 5-2 in the past seven against winning teams for Los Angeles, and 19-9 in their past 28 home games against a team with a winning road mark.
Sunday, January 7, 2018
NFC – Carolina at New Orleans - 4:40 p.m. (FOX)
Opening Line (1/1/18): New Orleans -5 ½, 48 ½
Current Line (1/1/18): New Orleans -6, 48 ½
Carolina Road Record: 5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS
New Orleans Home Record: 7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS
Head-to-Head: The Saints topped the Panthers in Charlotte by a 34-13 score in Week 3, winning as a 5 ½-point favorite as the 'over' cashed. The teams met again on Dec. 3 in the Big Easy, and the Saints won 31-21 as a six-point favorite, again hitting the 'over'. The Panthers are just 1-4 ATS in their past five trips to New Orleans and 0-6 ATS in the past six meetings in this series. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the past seven in this series, while the orad team has cashed in 23 of the past 33 meetings overall.
Playoff Notes: Carolina is back in the playoffs for the fourth time in five seasons. It's also their eighth foray into the postseason since joining the NFL in 1995. They have never faced the Saints in the postseason. The Panthers have won four times in seven road outings in the playoffs all-time. This will be the 11th trip to the postseason for the Saints, and their first time since 2013. New Orleans has won five straight home playoff games since losing in the 1992 NFC Wild Card Game against the Eagles.
Total Notes: The 'over' is 4-1 in the past five playoff games for Carolina, and 5-2 in the past seven games overall. The over has also hit in 21 of the past 26 games for Carolina on a fieldturf surface. The 'under' has hit in four of the past five divisional matchups, however. The 'over' is a perfect 5-0 in the past five playoff home games for the Saints, while going 8-3-1 in their past 12 playoff games overall. The over is also 15-6-1 in the past 22 home games for New Orleans. The over is 4-0 in the past four meetings in this series in NOLA, while going 6-1 in the past seven meetings between these NFC South rivals.
5-0 +555 Sunday, 6-1 G-Plays TY
14-7 Sun., 35-15 Oct., 8-1 G-Plays
16-7 L3 Sun., 9-2 L6 Thurs., +1,886
5-0 L5 G-Plays, 15-6 L21 Picks
4-0 Sunday, 2-0 L2 Guarantees
3-0 Sunday, 6-1 Record L2 Sundays
3-1 Sunday, 9-3 Picks, 6-2 G-Plays
12-4 L4 Sundays, 17-6 NFL Streak
6-3 Sunday, 4-0 Totals, 2-0 G-Plays
13-5 Win Streak, 15-5 L4 Sundays
4-2 Sunday, 10-5 Over/Unders TY
10-1 G-Plays TY, 8-4 L12 Totals
2-0 Sunday, 8-3 Run, 6-2 G-Plays
10-3 Streak, 21-11 (66%) +899 TY
21-12 L33 Picks, 61% +1,105 TY
3-1 Sunday, 13-6 L19 Totals
4-1 L5 Guarantees, 8-3 L11 Picks
4-0 L4 Thursdays, 18-7 L25 GPlays
9-3 G-Plays, 8-4 L3 Sun., 19-10 Run
28-17 (62%) +989 This Season
4-0 L4 G-Plays, 8-4 L2 Sundays
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