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Chiefs at Patriots
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by Kyle Markus

NFL Preview - Kansas CIty Chiefs at New England Patriots

Each year it seems like a fashionable choice to win the AFC pops up early in the season, until the New England Patriots restore order by rising to the top of the pack. The Kansas City Chiefs are the hot team through five weeks as they have started the year undefeated behind an explosive offense. The Chiefs could make a big statement in Week 6 when they hit the road to face the Patriots, but capturing a victory sure won’t be easy.

The playoffs are still a long way away but these two teams are clearly among the top contenders in the AFC. Kansas City has looked like the best team in the conference early on but the oddsmakers know the outstanding track record of the Patriots. Not surprisingly, the Patriots are home favorites in this matchup in NFL wagering.

This NFL football game between the Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots will be held at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts at 8:20 p.m ET on Sunday, October 14th, 2018. The game will be nationally televised on NBC.

We'll have NFL football odds at available for every game of the 2018 NFL season.

Odds Analysis

The Patriots are 3-point favorites in this matchup. The home team generally gets that number of points for the location, which means the talent level has been pegged as even in this one. New England was a 3.5-point favorite earlier in the week but there is some momentum behind Kansas City. The Patriots are the -175 favorites while the Chiefs are listed as the +151 underdogs. The scoring total is listed at 59 points in NFL odds.

In addition to these standard wagers, bettors can take a look at in-game live betting. Pick up on trends and then make some live wagers to help the bankroll.

Key Stat

35. That’s the number of points per game the Chiefs are averaging this season, which is second in the NFL. They have scored at least 27 points in every game this season, including 30 points last time out in an easy win over an elite Jacksonville Jaguars defense. Young quarterback Patrick Mahomes has been fantastic, throwing for 1,513 yards with 14 touchdowns and only two interceptions.

Wide receiver Tyreek Hill is an elite weapon as he has 27 catches for 425 yards and three scores on the year, while tight end Travis Kelce has 28 catches for 407 yards and three scores. The Patriots’ defense is not great and could have a ton of trouble slowing down the Chiefs.

Injury Report

Chiefs safety Eric Reid has been sidelined all season with a heel injury and it figures to keep him out of this one as well. Linebacker Justin Houston also seems likely to be sidelined with a hamstring injury. He has three sacks on the season.

Patriots running back Sony Michel has been limited with a knee injury in practice this week. New England has been hit hard by injuries at the position but Michel has filled in well as the main running back. It would be a key loss if he can’t play but it’s unclear how serious the injury is at this point. Wide receiver Chris Hogan missed practice on Thursday with a thigh injury.

Free NFL ATS Picks

The Patriots always seem to play well in these big-time clashes but the Chiefs have the look of a truly special. The spread really begs for a wager on Kansas City, and a moneyline play on the Chiefs to pull the upset would also be a worthy bet. This is a primetime game so there will be plenty of live betting wagers available throughout the contest.

NFL ATS Pick: Kansas City Chiefs 34, New England Patriots 30

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