Value Plays - Week 6
October 12, 2018
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NFL Week 6 Value Plays of the Week
Week 6 of the NFL season is already underway, with the Philadelphia Eagles back to .500 on the year after laying a beating on the New York Giants, whose season now looks dead in the water.
There are a few other teams teetering on the brink of insignificance as we look forward to the games on Sunday. There are a lot of must win games on the schedule, some of which might feature into our value plays for the weekend.
Let’s jump right in and look at 4 games where you might just be able to make some money at very decent odds, as usual, all odds, props and futures are sponsored by YouWager.eu
Houston Texans (-10) vs. Buffalo Bills
There is a lot to be said for momentum in professional sports, and it’s fair to suggest that the Houston Texans have it at the moment. They lost the opening 3 games of the season, but they have now won back to back games, with both of those victories coming in OT. I think that this team is due for a breakout game and I would not be surprised to see it come this weekend. They are in as a 10-point favorite over a Buffalo Bills team that is doing better than most folks expected. Still, this looks like a solid mismatch, which is why I am all over the Texans to cover.
Chicago Bears (-3 ½) at Miami Dolphins
The Miami Dolphins are a team in real danger of heading into a tailspin of they don’t get things turned around quickly. They got off to a very positive start this season, winning their first 3 games, but back to back losses to the Patriots and the Bengals have them reeling. The offense has gone very cold very quickly, which is not good news against a Bears defense that is establishing itself as one of the best units in the league. The signing of Khalil Mack looks like a stroke of genius, as he is already putting up MVP style numbers. I like Chicago to cover the spread on the road.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (OVER 57)
Even this early in the season, this is a crucial game for both of these teams. The Falcons in particular need some help, as they are off to a 1-4 start to the season, with their latest defeat being a rather humbling 41-17 loss to the Steelers on the road. It’s not overstating things to say that their season could be over if they lose this one, especially with the Saints and Panthers continuing to pick up wins at the top of the NFC South. The Bucs have cooled off a little after a great start to the season, but their offense may be able to get good again going against a banged-up Falcons secondary. Let’s take the OVER at odds of -110.
Indianapolis Colts (SU) at New York Jets
If we are going to see an underdog win this weekend, why not the Indianapolis Colts. They are on the road in the Big Apple, facing a New York Jets team still struggling to get the best out of their rookie QB Sam Darnold. The young man has had some positive moments, but for the most part, he is struggling to adapt to life as an NFL starter. The Colts have not been winning games, but they are having Andrew Luck throw the ball a lot. I think he might just be able to victimize the Jets D, which is why I am taking the Indianapolis Colts SU at odds of +115.
5-0 +555 Sunday, 6-1 G-Plays TY
14-7 Sun., 36-16 Oct., 8-2 G-Plays
16-7 L3 Sun., 9-2 L6 Thurs., +1,776
14-5 Win Streak, 15-5 L4 Sundays
5-1 L6 G-Plays, 15-7 L22 Picks
4-0 Sunday, 2-0 L2 Guarantees
3-0 Sunday, 6-1 Record L2 Sundays
4-1 L5, 10-3 Streak, 6-2 G-Plays
12-4 L4 Sundays, 17-6 NFL Streak
6-3 Sunday, 4-0 Totals, 2-0 G-Plays
4-2 Sunday, 10-5 Over/Unders TY
10-2 G-Plays TY, 8-4 L12 Totals
2-0 Sunday, 8-3 Run, 6-2 G-Plays
10-3 Streak, 21-11 (66%) +899 TY
5-1 L6 Guarantees, 9-3 L12 Picks
21-12 L33 Picks, 61% +1,105 TY
3-1 Last Sunday, 13-7 L20 Totals
4-0 L4 Thursdays, 18-8 L26 GPlays
9-4 G-Plays, 8-4 L3 Sun., 19-11 Run
6-2 L8 Picks, 3-1 L4 Guarantees
4-1 L5 G-Plays, 8-4 L2 Sundays
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