Tech Trends – Week 4

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College Football - Week 5

Week 4 of the NFL season kicks off on Thursday, Oct. 1 and we've identified betting trends and angles for all 16 matchups. We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)

Thursday, Oct. 1

DENVER at NY JETS

  • Broncos on 20-8 “under” run since mid 2018 (11-8 “under” for Fangio).
  • Denver also 5-2 last 7 vs. points away.
  • Jets 0-3 SU and vs. line in 2020.

Tech Edge: “Under” and Broncos, based on extended “totals” and team trends.

Sunday, Oct. 4

INDIANAPOLIS at CHICAGO

  • Bears on 6-14 spread skid since late 2018, but they’re 3-0 SU and 2-1 vs. line early in 2020.
  • Chicago also on 18-8 “under” run since mid 2018.
  • Bears 2-4 as underdog since 2019 after covering 4 of preceding 5 in role.

Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

NEW ORLEANS at DETROIT

  • After covering last seven as visitor in 2019, Saints dropped first road game this season (at Raiders).
  • New Orleans also on 8-2 “over” run since late 2019.
  • Lions also “over” 13-6 since 2019.

Tech Edge: “Over” and Saints, based on “totals” and team trends.

ARIZONA at CAROLINA

  • Kliff Kingsbury 12-6-1 vs. spread since taking over Cards in 2019.
  • Panthers won at Chargers last week but on 2-8-1 spread skid since mid 2019.
  • Carolina 0-4-1 last five vs. points at Charlotte.
  • Panthers also “over” 7-1 last eight home since mid-2019 (2-1 “over” for Rhule).

Tech Edge: Cards and “over,” based on team and totals” trends.

JACKSONVILLE at CINCINNATI

  • Jags have covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 as 'dog.
  • If Bengals chalk note 1-5 mark last six in role since early 2018.
  • Cincy also “over” 5-2 last seven since late 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to “over” and Jags, based on “totals” and team trends.

CLEVELAND at DALLAS

  • Browns 6-12-1 vs. line since 2019 (1-2 early this season for Stefanski).
  • Also, no covers last 4 or 5 of last 6 as an underdog.
  • Cowboys “over” 6-3 last nine at Arlington, also just 3-8 last 11 overall as chalk.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

MINNESOTA at HOUSTON

  • Vikes “over” 8-3 last 11 in reg season.
  • Texans just 3-6-1 last ten as chalk.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

SEATTLE at MIAMI

  • Hawks 6-2-1 vs. spread last nine on reg-season road.
  • Also on 17-8 “over” run since late 2018.
  • After Jags win, Dolphins now 11-4 last 15 as 'dog.
  • Miami also “over” 7-3 last 10 since mid 2018 (though 1-2 “under” to begin 2020).

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

LA CHARGERS at TAMPA BAY

  • Bolts only 3-7-1 last 11 vs. spread away (0-0-1 this season).
  • Bruce Arians Cards and Bucs teams “over” 29-13 their last 42 games.

Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Bucs, based on “totals” and recent trends.

PITTSBURGH at TENNESSEE

  • Steel was 5-0-1 its last six as a 'dog in 2019 minus Big Ben, Tomlin now 10-1-1 as 'dog since 2018.
  • Pitt also “under” 14-6 last 20 since late 2018.
  • Titans 1-4 last five as chalk and 0-3 vs. line in 2020 9though 3-0 SU!).

Tech Edge: Steelers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

BALTIMORE at WASHINGTON

  • Into Monday vs. Chiefs, Ravens had won last 14 SU in reg season and were 11-1 vs. number last 12 reg season games before loss to Chiefs.
  • Wash only 7-13 last 20 on board since late 2018 (spanning three coaches).

Tech Edge: Ravens, based on team trends.

NY GIANTS at LA RAMS

  • G-Men covered at Bears, now 11-3 as visiting 'dog since 2018.
  • Rams were only 2-3 as home chalk LY and yet to be favored in 2020.

Tech Edge: Giants, based on team trends.

NEW ENGLAND at KANSAS CITY

  • Belichick barely failed as underdog at Seattle but still 13-4 as 'dog since 2010.
  • Chiefs have covered last three reg.-season meetings.
  • After Monday at Baltimore, KC 12-0 SU, 11-1 vs. line last 11 since mid 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Patriots, based on Belichick underdog trends.

BUFFALO at LAS VEGAS

  • Bills 8-2-2 vs. spread as reg season visitor since mid 2018.
  • Note Buffalo “over” first three in 2020 after 13-4 “under” mark last season.
  • Raiders also “over” first three in 2020 after 6-1 “unders” to close 2019.

Tech Edge: Bills and “over,” based on team and recent “totals” trends.

PHILADELPHIA at SAN FRANCISCO

  • Birds 3-8 vs. line last 10 since mid 2019, also only 4-6 as underdog since 2018.
  • Philly also “over” 7-1 last 8 away.
  • Niners “over” 5-2 last seven reg season at Santa Clara.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

Monday, Oct. 5

ATLANTA at GREEN BAY

  • Falcons 8-4 vs. line since mid 2019 (1-1 in 2020), also “over” 3 in a row.
  • Pack “over” last five since late 2019 and 5-1 last six vs. points at Lambeau.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.


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