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Opening Line Report
October 22, 2007
By Stephen Nover VegasInsider.com
C am Cameron is doing the impossible. The Miami Dolphins head coach is making Nick Saban look like Vince Lombardi.
Saban is back in his coaching element at Alabama. Unfortunately for south Florida, Cameron remains with the Dolphins.
If the Dolphins had one thing going for them it was running back Ronnie Brown. Now he’s gone for the season with his annual injury.
It’s time for the Dolphins to leave the country, which is exactly what they’re doing. Miami and the New York Giants meet on Sunday in London. Hopefully this matchup won’t strain U.S. and Great Britain relations.
The Giants were minus 9 on Monday. The line probably isn’t getting lower. Mike Seba, a senior oddsmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants, made New York minus 11. The Giants have won five in a row.
“With the way the Giants are playing right now, it looks like this is going to be an ugly game for Miami,” Seba said.
Is there any other type of game for the Dolphins? The team is starting Cleo Lemon at quarterback, dealt away its best wide receiver, Chris Chambers, has a defense that got old fast with a beat-up secondary and now doesn’t have their lone playmaker, Brown.
Yet the Dolphins haven’t wrapped up the No. 1 overall draft choice yet. That’s because the St. Louis Rams also are 0-7.
The Rams are missing key members of their offensive line, but Marc Bulger returned this past week and now it could be time for Steven Jackson to join the lineup. The Rams are hosting the surprising 3-3 Cleveland Browns. The Browns opened minus 3.
“I can see Cleveland being the favorite,” Seba said. “But there’s no way Cleveland can be three if Jackson comes back. Cleveland plays no defense and the Rams are home in their dome.
“If Jackson and the rest of the Rams skill guys play, the line is going to come down to one or two.”
The total seems low at 43 ½. The Browns rank last in defense surrendering an average of 413 yards. Cleveland, however, has been averaging 32 points since Derek Anderson took over at quarterback in Week 2. The ‘over’ is 5-0-1 in the Browns’ six games this season.
“There are going to be lots of ball in the air that’s for sure,” said Seba, who made the total 47.
The Chicago Bears could have their confidence and swagger back after upsetting Philadelphia. The Bears opened minus 4 hosting Detroit. The line was up to 5 by late Monday morning. The Lions scored 34 points in the fourth quarter to beat the Bears, 37-27, during Week 4.
“It’s a revenge spot for the Bears and they’re off the following week,” Seba said. “All the incentive is with the Bears and that’s where the money is going to go.”
Seba predicts the line will climb to 5 ½ and possibly 6. The Bears have defeated the Lions the past two years at Soldier Field by a combined margin of 72-13.
The line could climb, too, on another favorite – New England. The Patriots not only are 7-0, but have covered all of their games. New England was as high as minus 16 ½ on Monday morning hosting Washington.
“It wouldn’t surprise me if the line goes to 17,” Seba said.
It used to be the Patriots weren’t a huge public team despite all their Super Bowl trophies. This year they are. Recreational gamblers love to root for offense and the Patriots are sure providing that averaging 39.8 points per game.
No team has come close to even hanging in against the Patriots. New England’s narrowest margin of victory is 17 points against the Browns.
“The Patriots have my highest power rating,” said Seba, who has been making power rankings for more than 20 years as a professional oddsmaker.
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