CFL Betting Notes - Week 16
October 13, 2013
By David Schwab
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The march towards this year's Grey Cup Playoffs continued this past weekend in the CFL with a few teams pulling off huge wins to help their cause. Hamilton got the ball rolling last Friday night with a 33-19 victory over Toronto as a 3 ½ -point underdog on the road. Later that night, Saskatchewan snapped a four-game skid with a 31-17 win over British Columbia as a three-point road underdog that secured a spot in the playoffs.
Saturday's action started with Montreal rolling over Edmonton 47-24 as a three-point road underdog to firm up its grasp on the sixth and final seed in the postseason. Calgary tightened its grip on the West Division title with a 38-11 victory over Winnipeg as a prohibitive 16-point favorite at home.
The following is a brief betting preview for Week 16's games in the CFL with the opening pointspread and 'over/under' lines provided by 5Dimes.
Friday, Oct. 11
British Columbia vs. Calgary Stampeders
Point-spread: Calgary -7 ½
Total Line: 53
The Lions are two games back in the West Division title race at 9-5 straight-up on the year. They are 7-7 against the spread after failing to cover in last week's loss. While BC is a tough out when playing at home, it is just 3-4 both SU and ATS on the road this season. The total has gone OVER in four of its last five road games.
Calgary continues to steamroll its way towards the West title with six SU wins in its last seven games on its way to the best record in the CFL at 11-3. It is 9-5 ATS overall including a 4-3 record ATS at home. The Stampeders are the also the highest scoring team in the league with an average of 31.9 points a game.
These two have already met twice this season with the home team winning each game both SU and ATS. Calgary is 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four meetings and the total has gone OVER in three of those games. BC is just 6-14-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings between the two.
Saturday, Oct. 12
Edmonton Eskimos vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -10
Total Line: 54 ½
Edmonton is left to play the role of spoiler after last week's loss to Montreal dropped its overall record to just 3-11 SU on the year. The Eskimos have hung tough ATS with a record of 6-8 and they are 5-3 ATS in their last eight games. They are 4-2 ATS on the road this season and the total has now gone OVER in 10 of their last 12 road games.
The return of running back Kory Sheets to the Roughriders' lineup last Friday added a much needed spark to a sagging Saskatchewan offense. Even after missing the previous few games, he is still ranked second in the CFL in rushing with 1,302 yards. The Roughriders are now 9-5 SU and 7-7 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games.
Saskatchewan won both games on the road against Edmonton this season SU, but they were split 1-1 ATS. The total went OVER in both contest and it has gone OVER in 10 of the last 13 meetings in Saskatchewan. The series is tied 3-3 SU and ATS in the last six games.
Monday, Oct. 14 - Thanksgiving Day
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Montreal Alouettes
Point-spread: Montreal -11
Total Line: 50 ½
Winnipeg has been riding out the string since late summer with just two SU wins in its first 14 games. It is 4-10 ATS and the total has stayed UNDER in six of seven road games this year. The Blue Bombers are averaging 19.9 points a game, while allowing a league-high 32.8 points a game.
The Alouettes continue to climb their way back to .500 on the year with back-to-back victories over Edmonton and Saskatchewan in their last two games. They are 6-8 SU overall with an 8-6 record ATS. They are 3-4 SU and ATS at home and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the seven games.
Montreal opened the season with a 38-33 victory over Winnipeg as a 3 ½-point road favorite. It lost to the Blue Bombers 19-11 the following week as a seven-point favorite at home. This series is tied 5-5 SU in the last 10 meetings with Winnipeg holding a 7-3 advantage ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the 10 games.
Toronto Argonauts vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Point-spread: Hamilton -1 ½
Total Line: 56 ½
Toronto will look to avenge last week's loss in the back-end of this home-and-home series. It still has a two game lead over the Tiger-Cats in the East Division title race at 9-5 SU (8-6 ATS). The Argonauts are 6-1 SU on the road this season while covering in six of the seven games as well. The total has gone OVER in five of these seven road games.
Hamilton's win last Friday night locked-up a spot in the playoffs and evened its mark on the year at 7-7 both SU and ATS. It is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games and the total has stayed UNDER in three of its last four outings. The Tiger-Cats are 4-3 SU at home this season, but a costly 2-5 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in five of those seven games.
These two also met on opening day with Toronto coming away with a 39-34 victory as a 3 ½-point home favorite. It now has a 6-4 SU edge in the last 10 meetings and a 7-3 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in six of the 10 games.
Argos QB Ricky Ray has been upgraded to 'probable' for Monday.