CFL Betting Notes - Week 17
October 15, 2013
By David Schwab
The 2013 CFL regular season continues to wind down and we are still waiting to crown a division champion in both the East and the West. Calgary helped stake its claim to the West title with a dominating 40-26 victory over British Columbia last Friday as a 6 ½-point home favorite, but Saskatchewan made the Stampeders wait at least one more week to actually clinch it by knocking off Edmonton 14-9 as a 9 ½-point favorite at home this past Saturday.
In the first of two Monday games in celebration of Canada’s Thanksgiving Holiday, Winnipeg stunned Montreal 34-27 as an 11-point road underdog to prevent the Alouettes from clinching the sixth and final playoff spot. Hamilton then kept its East title hopes alive by beating Toronto 24-18 in a game that closed as a pick.
The following is a brief betting preview for this week’s games in the CFL with the opening pointspread and ‘over/under’ lines provided by 5Dimes.
Friday, Oct. 18
Calgary Stampeders vs. Edmonton Eskimos
Point-spread: Calgary -6
Calgary continues to be the strongest team in the CFL with an offense that is averaging 32.4 points a game to go along with defense that is ranked second in the league in average points allowed (23.3 points). The result is an overall record of 12-3 straight-up and a profitable 10-5 record against the spread. The Stampeders are 5-2 ATS on the road this season.
The Eskimos sunk to 3-12 SU on the year with last week’s loss to Saskatchewan. They have covered in six of their last nine games to improve to 7-8 ATS and the total has gone OVER in 10 of the 15 games. They are just 1-7 both SU and ATS at home this season.
The Stampeders have won the last six meetings SU including a 22-12 road win on Sept. 6 as three-point road favorites. They are now 4-2 ATS over the course of this six-game stretch. The total stayed UNDER the closing 57-point line in that game after going OVER in the previous three meetings.
Saturday, Oct. 19
Toronto Argonauts vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Point-spread: Toronto -6
Total: 53 ½
The Argonauts had a golden opportunity to lock-up the East heading into their home-and-home series against Hamilton, but the back-to-back losses to their division rival has dropped their overall record to 9-6 SU and 8-7 ATS. Toronto is still a healthy 6-2 ATS on the road despite Monday’s loss.
Winnipeg definitely saved some face with its victory over Montreal and it may have found something to build off over the final three games of the season. It was just its third SU win of the year against 12 losses and it has gone a costly 5-10 ATS. The Blue Bombers are 1-6 both SU and ATS at home this season and the total has gone OVER in three of their last four games.
This will be just the second meeting of the season after the Argonauts came away with a 35-19 win as 3.5-point road favorites in Week 4. Toronto is now 4-1 SU in the last five meetings and 3-2 ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven games between these two division foes.
British Columbia Lions vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -4
Total: 50 ½
BC clinched a playoff spot a few weeks back, but it has to be concerned about building some momentum during its final three regular season games. The Lions are 3-3 both SU and ATS in their last six games including a 31-17 loss to Saskatchewan just two weeks ago as three-point home favorites. They are 9-6 SU (7-8 ATS) overall and 3-5 SU and ATS on the road.
The Roughriders have now won their last two games after enduring of four-game skid in the month of September. They trail Calgary by two games in the West at 10-5 SU and they are 7-8 ATS after failing to cover in five of their last six games. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six games.
These two have already met twice this season with the road team winning both SU and ATS. The total stayed UNDER in both contests and it has now stayed UNDER in the last seven meetings. The home team has won the previous four games SU and the series is tied 3-3 ATS in the last six games between the two.
Sunday, Oct. 20
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Montreal Alouettes
Point-spread: Hamilton -2
This will be the first game of a home-and-home series between these two East Division rivals over the next two weeks. Hamilton can clinch a home game in the first round of the playoffs with a win on Sunday after posting an 8-7 record both SU and ATS in its first 15 games. It can still win the East and secure a first round bye with a few wins down the stretch and some help from Toronto.
The Alouettes need just one more win to clinch a playoff spot, but they would need to win out just to get their record to .500 on the year. They are 6-9 SU (8-7 ATS) overall and 3-5 SU and ATS at home this year. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six games.
These two met back in late September with Hamilton coming away with a 28-26 victory as an eight-point home favorite. The total went OVER the 52-point line and it has now gone OVER in four of the last five meetings. The Tiger-Cats have a 4-1 SU edge in the last five meetings and they are 7-2 ATS in the last nine games between the two.
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