CFL Betting Notes - Week 18
October 21, 2013
By David Schwab
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There are just two weeks left in the 2013 CFL regular season and while we already know which six teams will be competing for this year’s Grey Cup, the final pieces of the playoff picture continue to be put in place. Last Friday night Calgary took another step towards clinching the West Division title with a 27-13 victory over Edmonton as a five-point road favorite. The following night Toronto put itself in excellent position to claim the East title with a 26-20 win over Winnipeg in a game that ended as a PUSH.
Last Saturday night, Saskatchewan made its presence felt with a 35-14 pasting of British Columbia as a four-point home favorite. The final game in Week 17 saw Montreal top Hamilton 36-5 on Sunday as a 1 ½-point home favorite in a possible first-round playoff preview in the East Division.
The following is a brief betting preview for this week’s games in the CFL with the opening point-spread and ‘over/under’ lines provided by 5Dimes.
Thursday, Oct. 24
Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Toronto Argonauts
Point-spread: Toronto -11 ½
The Blue Bombers can only play the role of spoiler in this one at 3-13 straight-up (5-10-1 against the spread), but the big question this week is can they hang tough against Toronto for two weeks in a row especially since the back-end of this home-and-home series is on the road where they are 4-4 ATS?
Toronto has yet to clinch the East Division title but last week’s win opened-up a two game lead over Hamilton with two games to play. The Argonauts are 10-6 SU on the year and 8-7-1 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in their last three games after going OVER in the previous four contests.
Counting last week’s victory, Toronto has won six of the last seven meetings SU and it is 4-2-1 ATS. It will be going for the season series sweep after beating Winnipeg 35-19 on July 19 as a 3 ½-point road underdog. The total went OVER the 51 ½-point line in that game but it stayed UNDER the 53-point line this past Saturday.
Friday, Oct. 25
Edmonton Eskimos vs. British Columbia Lions
Point-spread: BC -7 ½
Edmonton is the other CFL team riding out the string at 3-13 SU and it appears to have already raised the white flag on the season with a 1-3 record ATS in its last four games. The Eskimos are 7-9 ATS overall including a 5-2 record ATS on the road this season. The total has gone OVER in 10 of their 16 games.
BC needs to quickly build some momentum for the postseason after losing its last three games both SU and ATS. It has fallen to 9-7 SU overall and 7-9 ATS which means it will most likely be on the road for its first playoff game. The Lions are healthy 6-1 SU at home this season with a 4-3 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four home games.
The Eskimos have dropped the last four meetings SU and they are 1-8 SU in the last nine games between the two. BC has also covered in seven of those nine meetings including both of the previous games this year. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the last five meetings.
Saturday, Oct. 26
Montreal Alouettes vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Point-spread: Hamilton -5 ½
Total: 53 ½
Montreal showed some definite signs of life in the win over Hamilton in the home-and-home series opener after losing four of its previous six games SU. It is now 7-9 SU on the year and 9-7 ATS. It was the just the second time that the Alouettes scored 30 points or more since a 37-30 loss to Toronto on Sept. 8.
The Tiger-Cats brought a 6-3 SU record in their last nine games into last week’s contest and they were 7-2 ATS during the same stretch of games. They are now in danger of losing home field advantage for the first round of the playoffs with another loss this Saturday afternoon at 8-8 both SU and ATS on the year. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of those 16 games.
These two East Division rivals have now split the first two games of this season series with the home team winning each game SU, but Montreal has covered in both. The home team has now won nine of the last 10 meetings SU with Hamilton holding a slight 6-4 edge ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings.
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Calgary Stampeders
Point-spread: Calgary -4 ½
A Roughriders’ victory this Saturday would give them the tiebreaker in the season series against Calgary and the West Division title should they both end up with the same SU record on the year. They have now won their last three games after suffering through a four-game skid in the month of September. They are 11-5 SU and 8-8 ATS with the total staying UNDER in six of their last seven games.
The Stampeders still have a two-game cushion in the West title race at 13-3 SU (11-5 ATS) and they are riding a four-game winning streak into this huge division showdown. They have also covered in each of those games with the total staying UNDER in three of the four contests. Calgary has just one SU loss in its last nine games.
Head-to-head in this rivalry, the home team has won seven of the last eight contests SU with Calgary holding a slight 4-3-1 edge ATS. The total has gone OVER in both meetings this season and in five of the last six games between the two.