Gridiron Angles - Week 8
October 26, 2013
By Vince Akins
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NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
The Redskins are 11-0 ATS since Jan 07, 2006 as a dog of more than a point when they have had a positive dpa in each of their last two games.
NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
The Steelers are 0-10 ATS since Oct 22, 2006 as a road favorite when they had fewer than ten incompletions last game as a favorite.
TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
LeSean McCoy is 10-0 OU (+6.5 ppg) in his career coming off a game where he caught at least six passes.
NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
The Packers are 10-0 ATS (+10.1 ppg) since December 1997 when they are off a FG+ win last week in which they benefitted from 95+ yards of penalties.
NFL SUPER SYSTEM:
In at least week five of the season, when one team is averaging at least 31.14 ppg and the other team is averaging at least 23.5 ppg., games are 55-32 OU. Active on Denver.
NFL O/U TREND:
The Steelers are 10-0 OU since Dec 20, 2007 on the road when they suffered at least three sacks in each of the last two weeks .
PICK SIXTY SPORTS WEEKLY TIP:
As teams start moving into the second round of their divisional matchups we can start factoring an element of revenge into equation and this week, the New York Giants are heading into Philadelphia looking for some payback after a 36-21 loss to the Eagles in Week 5. New York is playing on a short week after one of the more painful Monday nighters in recent memory and looking for win No. 2 on the season while trying to end its streak of eight-straight road losses dating back to Week 10, 2012.
This is a short turnaround situation meaning that the previous meeting was only two or three weeks ago and when the first game played “Over” the total, the general trend in game 2 shows 18 overs, 25 unders and a push. A closer look shows that Week 17 games went 0-5 O/U which makes sense since a lot of these games may have been less meaningful. Weather could also factor. That also means that before Week 17 the record is 18-20-1 O/U and look what happens when we apply conditions to the total and visiting team’s record:
Games with a total of 40 or more involving road teams with poor records show 10 overs, 2 unders and a push with the home team scoring an average of 32.9 points. Michael Vick’s health is key to this contest but keep an eye on that total. If Vick starts, consider backing the Giants and Eagles OVER 51 points.
5-1 Playoffs, 14-4 Run, 64% +2,205
10-1 NFL Guaranteed Streak
4-0 LW, 17-5 Totals, +1,652 TY
6-1 L7, 17-6 Run, 9-3 G-Plays
8-1 L9 G-Plays, 10-4 L14 Picks
2-0 Last Sunday, 10-3 G-Plays TY
6-1 Divisional Round Record
2-0 Sunday, 7-2 L9 Guarantees
6-2 Playoffs, 19-9 L28 G-Plays
6-2 Last 8 NFL Guarantees
26-10 Last 36 Over/Unders
3-0 Sunday, 5-1 L6 Selections
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