CFL Betting Notes - Week 19
October 28, 2013
By David Schwab
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The CFL heads into the final week of the regular season with the playoff picture set for the upcoming quest for this year's Grey Cup title. Toronto locked-up the East Division title and first round bye with last Thursday night's 36-21 victory over Winnipeg as a 10 ½-point home favorite. On Friday night, British Columbia rolled over Edmonton 43-29 as a seven-point favorite at home, but the Lions will still have to go on the road for a first round showdown against Saskatchewan in the West.
Hamilton secured home field advantage for its upcoming first round clash against Montreal in the East by beating the Alouettes 27-24 as a 5 ½-point home favorite in the first of two Saturday games. Calgary secured the West Division title and first round bye in the nightcap by beating Saskatchewan 29-25 in a game that ended as a PUSH.
The following is a brief betting preview for this week's games in the CFL with the opening pointspread and 'over/under' lines provided by TopBet.
Friday, Nov. 1
Montreal Alouettes vs. Toronto Argonauts
Pointspread: Toronto -2 ½
Montreal comes into this final game guaranteed to have a losing record on the year after going 7-10 straight-up in its first 17 games. It has been slightly better against the spread at 10-7 and the UNDER on the total line has a slight 9-8 edge in the 17 games. The Alouettes are 3-3 SU in their last six games and a profitable 5-1 ATS.
The Argonauts' victory over Winnipeg last week in the back-end of a home-and-home sweep raised their overall record to 11-6 SU on the year. They are 9-7-1 ATS and the total has gone OVER in 10 of the 17 games. The good news for the defending Grey Cup champs is the return of Ricky Ray to the lineup. He is ranked fourth in the CFL in both passing yards (2,878) and touchdown throws (21) despite missing several games due to injury.
Toronto has a 2-1 edge both SU and ATS in this season's series with the road team winning all three games. The total went OVER the last time they met after staying UNDER in the previous seven meetings dating back to the 2011 season.
Calgary Stampeders vs. British Columbia Lions
Pointspread: BC -1
Calgary remains the cream of the crop in the CFL heading into the playoffs. It has the best record in the league at 14-3 SU (11-5-1 ATS) and it is currently riding a five-game winning streak into the final regular season game of the year. The Stampeders are the highest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 31.9 points a game and second in points allowed (22.8).
The Lions snapped a three-game losing streak with last week's win over Edmonton. They are now 10-7 SU on the year with an 8-9 record ATS. BC has gone 2-3 ATS in its last five games with the total going OVER in three of those contests. Quarterback Travis Lulay remains questionable for Friday's game after missing the last several games with a shoulder injury.
The home team in this series has won all three meetings this season both SU and ATS, with the total going OVER in two of the three games. The last time they met, Calgary rolled to a 40-26 victory on Oct. 11 as a 6 ½ -point home favorite. The total went OVER the 53 ½-point line.
Saturday, Nov. 2
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Pointspread: Hamilton -2
Total: 52 ½
Hamilton has now won three of its last four games to climb to 9-8 SU on the year. It went 2-2 ATS during this stretch with the total staying UNDER in all four contests. The Tiger-Cats are 8-9 ATS overall and 5-3 ATS on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in 11 of their 17 games this year.
The Blue Bombers have only managed three SU wins this season against 14 losses and they are only slightly better ATS at 5-11-1. They are 1-6-1 ATS at home this season and the total has gone OVER in four of their last six games. Winnipeg remains the lowest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 20.8 points a game.
These two have met three times this season with Hamilton winning all three contests SU. It failed to cover in the first meeting, but it has outscored the Blue Bombers a combined 74-32 in the last two contests. The total has stayed UNDER in two of the three games this season and in seven of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2011.
Edmonton Eskimos vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Pointspread: Saskatchewan -4
Total: 52 ½
Edmonton secured a firm grasp on last place in the West Division with a 3-14 SU record through its first 17 games, but it has still remained competitive with a 7-10 record ATS. It is 5-3 ATS on the road this season and the total has gone OVER in 11 of its 17 games. The Eskimos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and the total has gone OVER in four of their last six games.
The Roughriders had a rough go of it during the month of September with four losses both SU and ATS, but they have turned things around this past month with a 3-1 SU (2-1-1 ATS) record in their last four games. The total has stayed UNDER in Saskatchewan's last six games behind a defense that is ranked first in the CFL in points allowed (21.6).
Saskatchewan will be going for the season sweep this Saturday after beating the Eskimos SU in the first three meetings. Edmonton has a 2-1 edge ATS and the total has gone OVER in two of the three games. The Eskimos are actually 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.